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US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

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81–90 of 168 posts

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#81
post #30

It's a misleading way of calculating the number, since it refers to all of the future debt obligations, including Social Security out many decades -- but also ignoring the fact that we'll be collecting taxes all that time. It's a bit like concluding that you're a million dollars in debt because you are going to need to buy food for the rest of your life. I suppose it's true -- it is something you need to plan for. Bu…

> The meaningful number is 2033, the year Social Security is projected to run out of money. This is the year the trust fund runs out of money, at which point Social Security won't be able to meet its full obligations, only what it can cover with current payroll taxes. Social Security can't run out of money unless the taxes that support it are eliminated. "Social Security won't be available for you Gen X'ers" is misle…

Removing the income cap is really a clear way to mitigate this problem greatly. From what I understand it doesn't fix it entirely.

I wonder if we could put SS on capital gains, even at 1%. That would help this include investment gains.

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#83
post #30

It's a misleading way of calculating the number, since it refers to all of the future debt obligations, including Social Security out many decades -- but also ignoring the fact that we'll be collecting taxes all that time. It's a bit like concluding that you're a million dollars in debt because you are going to need to buy food for the rest of your life. I suppose it's true -- it is something you need to plan for. Bu…

Wouldn’t the date it runs out of money be pushed out further due to increased deaths during the pandemic?

That might be confounded a bit by https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/survivors/.

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#84
post #11

Nobody cares anymore. People are working, resources are being extracted, created and traded, economies are rolling. Money is there to facilitate that, but on its own it's pretty much worthless. Just wish inequality wasn't so fucking huge.

This is a fair point.

Treating things like Social Security and Medicare obligations as unfunded debt is akin to me declaring that I have a large amount of debt because I have to pay for food and clothe myself from now until I die.

It's money I will pay, most certainly, but it's only an obligation to myself to sustain my life at some reasonable standard. Much like Medicare and Social Security, it will be paid for with money I earn in the future as I live my life.

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#85
post #30

It's a misleading way of calculating the number, since it refers to all of the future debt obligations, including Social Security out many decades -- but also ignoring the fact that we'll be collecting taxes all that time. It's a bit like concluding that you're a million dollars in debt because you are going to need to buy food for the rest of your life. I suppose it's true -- it is something you need to plan for. Bu…

> But that doesn't make "$146T" a meaningful number.

If you have to pay annuity to a relative until they die, I don't think it reflects a good picture of your net worth to ignore that number either.

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#86
post #30

It's a misleading way of calculating the number, since it refers to all of the future debt obligations, including Social Security out many decades -- but also ignoring the fact that we'll be collecting taxes all that time. It's a bit like concluding that you're a million dollars in debt because you are going to need to buy food for the rest of your life. I suppose it's true -- it is something you need to plan for. Bu…

> The meaningful number is 2033, the year Social Security is projected to run out of money. This is the year the trust fund runs out of money, at which point Social Security won't be able to meet its full obligations, only what it can cover with current payroll taxes. Social Security can't run out of money unless the taxes that support it are eliminated. "Social Security won't be available for you Gen X'ers" is misle…

As someone who makes far in excess of the $100k income cap, I find the income cap to be bonkers. I funnel a lot of that excess into my own investments, and maybe that’s the point, but $100k sure ain’t what it used to be. Why not make it $250k?

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#88

If I were to accept the numbers as real and accurate. Am I correct to assume $951k over my "working" lifetime? Assuming if I start working at 18 and stop at 67, is that 951K "owed" over that time period? ~20K/yr in taxes owed to repay the debt. Is this correct thinking? Asking for a friend. :)

Yes, but better since with inflation the “real” dollars are lower. At 3% inflation that 20k in 30 years is like 8k now.

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#89
post #60

If I were to accept the numbers as real and accurate. Am I correct to assume $951k over my "working" lifetime? Assuming if I start working at 18 and stop at 67, is that 951K "owed" over that time period? ~20K/yr in taxes owed to repay the debt. Is this correct thinking? Asking for a friend. :)

That's the amount that went into the private sector. It's literally how much money went into the private sector, every penny of it. To put it another way, if the government didn't spend, then the private sector would get less income. Or, every American would be fiscally poorer. One's spending is another person's income.

What matters is velocity of money, and to be fair that number has gone down.

Re: US Published National Debt: $28T. The Truth: $146T. Each Taxpayer's Share: $951k

#90
post #61
post #21

Sounds like we need to start taxing the rich a lot more to pay it off.

Yeah, just strangle the golden goose and we'll eat like kings tonight. Tonight.

Oh no, whatever shall we do without if we no longer have rich people but still have all their assets?
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