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Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

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Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#471
post #456

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s not really the concern. Foot travel is ridiculously slow. This virus travels by air, first class.

People board buses and planes once they cross the border.

Not likely planes. The most mobile people are the richest.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#472
post #352

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Now we're getting into value systems. - How much do you value your life? - How much do you value the trip? - How much do you worry about spending two weeks in a hospital? - How much do you mind memory lapses and brain fog from long COVID? From what you wrote, it's clear we have at least somewhat different value systems. Since you're an avid traveler, you should realize that's good, common, and healthy.

The subtle implication of your comment seems to be that I value my life and health less than you do? If so, I think that's unfair. But I'm happy to roll with it. If, in the face of substantial evidence that two doses of one of the mRNA vaccines remain highly effective at preventing hospitalization and death 8 months on, you still cannot tolerate the potential that you could end up in a hospital in a developing countr…

I don't think you've traveled so much if you think that's the implication, or at least not for long enough to soak in how values differ between cultures.

No. That's not the implication.

I don't know you well enough to tell you what the differences in our value systems are.

Since you do ask, if I were to speculate, I would guess you value your life and comfort more than I value mine. I was never fearful of dying of COVID, or of hospitalization, even pre-vax. Americans place an exceptionally high value on their own life and comfort relative to most cultures. I've also been in several hospitals in developing countries, and that's also not something which has really concerned me.

On the other hand, I suspect I am much more concerned about long COVID than you are.

And no, we don't know much for sure about COVID, but we have to work from best available evidence. If there's e.g. a 50% chance that a booster shot increases protection from 30% breakthroughs to 15%, and a 50% chance it does nothing, that means I've reduced my odds of breakthrough by (30-15)*50% = 7.5%.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#473
post #257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Anecdotally, the CEO of my company just died of Covid.

Anecdotally, my uncle who was otherwise healthy died months after getting the jab. And my sister's husband came down with some major fatigue/fever issues recently after the jab. So again, I took my chances based on the facts I had, yet I will get downvoted because they aren't in lock step with most of HN.

So, at first you claimed you didn't want to get the vaccine because a friend got it and still got sick. Now you claimed your uncle died from it and your sister's husband got serious sick from it. I wonder why you didn't mention that at first to make your point, instead of using the much less serious case about your friend. Make me skeptical about everything you said.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#474

The whole booster conversation seems like a political game. If you have a vaccine, then your risk of death is far below that of the flu (statistically). If you don't have a vaccine by now, you want covid instead and this booster conversation is irrelevant. Kids are banned from taking anything. So I expect booster or no booster, frankly it just won't matter much at the population scale. I also don't understand the mas…

Why are all your suggestions about protecting people? Don't you realise there is a huge profit opportunity?

If big pharma can get billions of people signed up for regular booster shots and new vaccines, they will become enormously powerful.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#475
post #468

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The CDC seems dangerously close to a no-win scenario. Present truth and facts backing policy: Not managing public perception correctly. Tell public what needs to be done but omit details: Conserve N95's with "masks don't work" all over again.

This. Even here in Germany it's a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" scenario. It's entirely polarized.

You cant tell the truth because it will just be 'fuel for the anti-vaxers'. Not telling the truth being also fuel for the anti-vaxers.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#476

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As long as they don't impose to me (40 y.o.) to catch a plane... fine with me I am getting very wary of the whole situation. "As soon as we get a vaccine we are good". Now we have the bloody thing, I got injected with it hoping to get back to normal: "We need a booster shot" I was always pretty rational about it, but this is becoming a farce

There is a good chunk of society that absolutely refuses to move on.

Yea, They can easily end this by just getting the jab, but choose not to. I'm starting to think the anti-mask, anti-vax crowd actually loves COVID and stay-at-home and all these restrictions. With COVID, these people imagine themselves as powerful freedom fighters, knowers of The Truth, battling the authoritarian government, standing lone against evil, occasionally martyrs for the cause--just like Braveheart! Without this imagined COVID tyranny, they're just normal schmucks like the rest of us.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#477

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Doctors and nurses don't get built in a year.

That seems like such an excuse. A year and a half is plenty of time to get creative. Pull people out of retirement. Let nursing students do more. Pay truckloads of money to all of them. I dunno. Figure it out. These folks are supposed to be the “experts”… what have they been doing this whole time? Saying “no it cannot be done” is just not a valid excuse.

> Pull people out of retirement, Pay truckloads of money

So take the most vulnerable age group (old people) - and stick them on the front lines, looking after fat lazy middle aged people who are too lazy to get a 50cc jab.

They are retired doctors, they are not retards.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#478

Earlier quoted context omitted.

IFR is a better metric than CFR: https://bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s... The overall IFR is misleading, given how age-stratified the risk is: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2918-0

I absolutely adore when publicly available data sourced from government agencies gets downvoted. Since March of 2020 any kind of statement suggesting covid isn’t as bad as some make it out to be is met with fierce vitriol. The number of times I’ve been called “dangerous” for posting well sourced data that clearly shows the IFR of covid is not 1-2%… It’s as if people believe that any good news will result in others “n…

I remember when I first saw that USC dataset, it was mind blowing. Any public health official worth their salt should be absolutely horror struck that the public's perception of the risk profile of a disease is off by multiple orders of magnitude. Their entire job is to accurately inform the public about public health risks, and that dataset is proof that they've failed more spectacularly than I would have thought possible. They should be working around the clock to try to amend their failure, and earn back the trust they've thrown away.

Strangely, despite all the pearl clutching about "misinformation", this data-backed and quantifiable instance of covid misinformation never gets brought up. As a result, I now consider government / public health institution claims to be politically calculated fearmongering or propaganda until proven otherwise, and likely not worth my time to pay attention to. I'll update my opinion about them if their stance toward "correcting misinformation" starts to include misinformation like the above as well.

I'm not holding my breath.

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#479
post #440
post #408

Earlier quoted context omitted.

PCR doesn’t differentiate between live and dead virus molecules, which makes it less than diagnostic for active infection without symptoms, right?

That distinction isn't as important for evaluating vaccine efficacy. It wants to measure if the person was infected, not if the person is infectious.

If a trial subject is exposed to virus and the vaccine works to trigger an effective immune response, how does PCR know the difference between virus molecules neutralized by vaccine response and those neutralized otherwise?

Re: Vaccine experts: Covid-19 booster shots aren't needed now

#480
post #95

I think this reporting is dancing around the issue, that the vaccine supply is most concentrated in countries that have essentially reached their maximum vaccination percentage. By not providing access to those developing or smaller countries, larger countries are shooting themselves in the proverbial global foot. I don’t think countries like the US and Canada aren’t trying to do that, I just think these experts woul…

> I don’t have the luxury of waiting for a patient to test negative before seeing them in the emergency room or clinic.

Agreed that it makes total sense for HCWs to get a booster, but also why are you seeing patients before they test negative? Every patient could be getting a $5 antigen test as they walk in the door. The fact that this is not being done is just one more missed opportunity.

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