The Lancet just published a study yesterday on natural infection still causing symptoms one year later (“long Covid”) for 49% of unvaccinated people. I’ll stick to the vaccine.
I assume you're referring to this study. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6... They studied hospitalized patients, who by definition had severe symptoms. We would expect more severe symptoms to take longer to resolve. I don't know the exact numbers in China but in the US 95% of cases were never hospitalized. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burd... The study also count…
Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
131–140 of 371 posts
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#132This feels like an irresponsible title on behalf of the author. People don’t get the vaccine strictly on the strength of the vaccine. It’s considering the risk of getting COVID, understanding the long term side effects, and minimizing risk for those around you. It’s also about avoiding mutations of the virus as the higher availability of the virus only provides more opportunities for it to mutate into something more…
Based on the number of deaths, a very large percentage of people have already had COVID. Given that there is a non-0% chance of death or harm from taking the vaccine, why should they then get vaccinated? They are already less of a risk to themselves and others than someone who has been vaccinated.
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#133This feels like an irresponsible title on behalf of the author. People don’t get the vaccine strictly on the strength of the vaccine. It’s considering the risk of getting COVID, understanding the long term side effects, and minimizing risk for those around you. It’s also about avoiding mutations of the virus as the higher availability of the virus only provides more opportunities for it to mutate into something more…
> This feels like an irresponsible title on behalf of the author The title describes the content of the article. I think people should be treated as adults (esp. on HN). We should be able to discuss Covid-19 science and data without always fearing misinterpretation from anti-vaxxers.
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#134Earlier quoted context omitted.
What is the harm? "I'm very worried about getting Covid, but I'm also worried about the vaccine, so I'll get Covid to protect me against Covid?" This is an important public health topic to model how the pandemic proceeds as more and more are naturally infected.
Some folks are looking for any excuse to not get the vaccine.
Do individuals have a right to their own body?
Does a collective or a technocrat have a right to coerce an individual into a medical procedure?
If we answer "yes" to the second question, only then does it become relevant because we must next ask:
Is there a limit to what a collective or technocrat can medically impose upon an individual, where and why do we draw this line?
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#135Is it still possible to detect whether you had COVID in the past, after already getting the vaccine?
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#136The Lancet just published a study yesterday on natural infection still causing symptoms one year later (“long Covid”) for 49% of unvaccinated people. I’ll stick to the vaccine.
* among patients hospitalized with severe illness in one Wuhan hospital between Jan and Feb 2020, self-reporting at least one symptom from a long list, such as fatigue, joint pain, etc, vs 33% of a control group without Covid infection reporting the same. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...
Multiple recent large scale studies have estimated an asymptomatic proportion lower bound of at least ~33% [1], and an upper bound of 65% (and even higher for young adults) [2]. This implies a significant proportion of people infected by SARS-COV-2 will not experience any noticeable symptoms.
Furthermore, there is strong evidence that infections and cases are massively under-reported (by 10x to 100x) [3][4], so it's exceedingly likely that such estimates are underestimates of the true asymptomatic rate.
[1] The Proportion of SARS-CoV-2 Infections That Are Asymptomatic https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/full/10.7326/M20-6976
[2] Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the general population: Analysis of nationwide serosurvey data in the Netherlands https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10654-021-00768-y
[3] Evaluating the massive underreporting and undertesting of COVID-19 cases in multiple global epicenters https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S253104372...
[4] Undiagnosed SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity during the first 6 months of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States https://stm.sciencemag.org/content/13/601/eabh3826
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#137Good news for survivors, but this is going to make battles about vaccine passports much worse as anti-vax covid survivors demand exemption from the program.
I'm not a fan of any form of authoritarianism really, let alone the overtly authoritarian "papers please" brand of it. One of the key parts of a free country is that you can be anywhere within it without some nosy government inspector (in person or by proxy electronically) demanding that you justify your presence there.
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#138Long term it seems pretty straightforward. It is almost certain COVID will become endemic, and no known form of immunity whether from vaccination or prior infection confers sufficient permanent immunity against infection to stop re-infection but prior immunity (from vaccine or prior infection) does greatly reduce the chances that your infection will give you serious illness. You assumption therefore should be that ov…
> The question then is whether you want your first infection to be with or without prior immunity. If you want that first time to be with prior immunity get vaccinated as that is the only known way to get immunity before your first infection. You get vaccinated against an extremely specific variant, that does not guarantee any immunity for other variants unlike immunity from infection. Did you get vaccinated every ye…
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#139Earlier quoted context omitted.
> This feels like an irresponsible title on behalf of the author The title describes the content of the article. I think people should be treated as adults (esp. on HN). We should be able to discuss Covid-19 science and data without always fearing misinterpretation from anti-vaxxers.
Sorry, no. This is why there are anti-vaxxers to begin with. Communication is key. Scientists and health professionals fail at it. Listing cold facts does not effectively communicate to the broad public, because they receive the message not by learning the new facts to change their word view, but by trying to fit it in their world view. Messaging is critical in public communication.
Re: Having SARS-CoV-2 once confers much greater immunity than a vaccine
#140Long term it seems pretty straightforward. It is almost certain COVID will become endemic, and no known form of immunity whether from vaccination or prior infection confers sufficient permanent immunity against infection to stop re-infection but prior immunity (from vaccine or prior infection) does greatly reduce the chances that your infection will give you serious illness. You assumption therefore should be that ov…
> The question then is whether you want your first infection to be with or without prior immunity. If you want that first time to be with prior immunity get vaccinated as that is the only known way to get immunity before your first infection. You get vaccinated against an extremely specific variant, that does not guarantee any immunity for other variants unlike immunity from infection. Did you get vaccinated every ye…