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YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

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Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#771

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sacrificing myself? lol ... Doesn't really make sense. You might want to read the guidelines or stay on 8chan? ... https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

"it does not hurt me to wear a mask and it might help people," This is a very slippery slope argument. I'm not sure you fully thought it through.

I thought it through. I don't say you have to do any of it. It's my personal decision. If that's a slippery slope for you, i don't get it.

1. there is sufficient evidence that masks (as one measure) can reduce infection (especially together with other measures: vaccinations, social distancing etc.)

2. I decide for myself that I will do what keeps other people save. I didn't tell you what I think about politics or what

Did I tell you to wear a mask? No. I just told you what the scientific consensus on mask wearing is. you are free to do whatever. Eat a burger and directly go swimming ... I don't care. Just don't tell me "Swimming after a full meal is the best you can do." "Driving without a seatbelt is super secure." If you do that I will just tell you that you are wrong. That's all I did.

Where's your slippery slope?

You tell me that I am wrong and I should change my opinion, seamingly based on your political believes (see the political blog you posted before). You could not bring one decent study that underlies what you believe in.

Again, I'm super happy to say: i'm wrong. you are right. I don't want to wear a mask all day out of the house. Yet, what you are offering are no scientific arguments (anectodes and QAnon Stuff (the blog you posted had QAnon conspiracies on it). Again, you can believe what you want, yet don't expect me to change my opinion based on conspiracy theories.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#772

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Saying cloth masks are effective in the context of (K)N95 masks is even worse misinformation. Even the CDC's website on masks points out you should really be using (K)N95's, and that cloth masks are completely ineffective when wet, which they get after 15 minutes or so of breathing through them. Edit: map is just Sydney. Australia is currently attempting to contain the spread of the Delta strain. You can see the map…

There is little reason to doubt a well fitted (K)N95 or other counterpart works well. But cloth masks are unproven to help and there are many other variables that could be in play here. For instance, people who wear masks might spend much less time within 6' of each other, be more likely to be vaccinated, or some other confounding factor to mask effectiveness. Also I've not seen a single cloth mask particulate test t…

For instance, people who wear masks might spend much less time within 6' of each other, be more likely to be vaccinated, or some other confounding factor to mask effectiveness.

Neither of those factors are true where I am and there are very few new cases. I don’t deny that there could be confounding factors. But, and I’m using the word literally correctly here, my supermarket is literally operating as normal with social distancing almost impossible. You can’t even walk past someone in an aisle correctly distanced.

And forget about getting vaccinated. It’s very hard to get an appointment here.

I’m not sure what other confounding factor is powerful enough to counteract hundreds of people in close proximity breathing the same air if cloth masks have an insignificant effect.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#773

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To address several of your points: > Basic science if you don't measure something (e.g. how many people wear masks) you don't know anything. Fairly simple isn't it? So phone call in's are measuring...phone call ins, it measures neither covid tests nor mask usage? Seems like it's measuring even less? > scientists are all wrong, because my gut tells me I'm right I think the pro-mask people are listening to their gut mo…

now we are getting somewhere... away from personal insults (and ad hominem attacks). Honestly, if you show me proof about your position, I easily flip. that's the point of science, I'm happy to be proven wrong. That's what I like about HackerNews as well. Yet, what you showed so far makes me rather worry. I used nature papers from medicine (these are super hard to publish ... I have friends who tried. You need to be…

Your post was super patronizing and filled with assumptions.

You clearly didn't read the article I posted, go check out that Swiss article again.

It's a bunch of 10 articles from Oxford, Plos One, American journal of Medicine, and other legit sites that refute effectiveness of masks.

Mass effectiveness is not settled fact.

> The expert in COVID-19, who made a test detecting it recommends wearing masks.

The main test is a PCR test. And he didn't invent the test.... A guy named Kary Mullis did. AND won the Nobel. And Kary Millis HATED Fauci.

Also the entire swedish epidemiology team recommends against mask mandates.

You pick and choose your experts and I'll pick and choose mine.

The point is mask effectiveness is not a settled conclusive fact and these fascist authoritarian know it all mindsets are getting really old.

It might benefit you to think that you might be wrong or at least question the narrative from an opposing mindset to see where/if holes in your argument exist.

Science is about questioning not about being a know-it-all.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#774

Earlier quoted context omitted.

now we are getting somewhere... away from personal insults (and ad hominem attacks). Honestly, if you show me proof about your position, I easily flip. that's the point of science, I'm happy to be proven wrong. That's what I like about HackerNews as well. Yet, what you showed so far makes me rather worry. I used nature papers from medicine (these are super hard to publish ... I have friends who tried. You need to be…

Your post was super patronizing and filled with assumptions. You clearly didn't read the article I posted, go check out that Swiss article again. It's a bunch of 10 articles from Oxford, Plos One, American journal of Medicine, and other legit sites that refute effectiveness of masks. Mass effectiveness is not settled fact. > The expert in COVID-19, who made a test detecting it recommends wearing masks. The main test…

Yes I'm patronizing because you have a problem with reading.

The expert in COVID-19, who made a test detecting it. Drosten was in the team who MADE the test for COVID-19, yes they use a PCR test. I never claimed he invited it. Kary Mullis did not make the test for COVID-19 ...

That about summarizes your problem. About the articles ... another commenter already pointed out the problems with them:

1. Study : Influenza not COVID 19 (different, no aerosol transmission ) 2. Faceplam: The authors were in the nature article I posted . This was discussed. https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reaction-to-paper-... 3. The authors say themselves that most people wear not wearing the masks ... "his trial was unable to provide conclusive evidence ... most likely due to poor adherence to protocol." 4. Says what I claim: "The evidence regarding the effectiveness of medical face masks for the prevention of COVID-19 in the community is compatible with a small to moderate protective effect" 5. Strangely they focus on the Danish study (which has problems see top). They did not address any of the nature studies (as well as others from the Lancet posted on this thread), so they might need to reevaluate :) (Also they missrepresent the Danish study ... it's just about infection transmission. 6. is about influenza again (no over-air transmission lol) 7. here's a good article that also discusses these claims: https://www.pnas.org/content/118/4/e2014564118 (it's from 2021). The article is full of missing citations and claims that are false. https://masks4all.co/cidrap/ "It claimed, without any references, that “sweeping mask recommendations… will not reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission, as evidenced by the widespread practice of wearing such masks in Hubei province”. No references or data were provided to back up this claim.

Looking at the actual data, however, shows that it supports the opposite conclusion – masks may have been critical in controlling the Hubei outbreak. A report from Guo Yi in HK01 pointed out that up until Jan 22 most people in Wuhan were not wearing a mask."

8. that's the best. All 3 authors from the study paper: ""We understand that some people are citing our perspective article as support for discrediting widespread masking. In truth, the intent of our article was to push for more masking, not less. It is apparent that many people with SARS-CoV-2 infection are asymptomatic or presymptomatic yet highly contagious and that these people account for a substantial fraction of all transmissions. . Universal masking helps to prevent such people from spreading virus-laden secretions, whether they recognize that they are infected or not."

9. about cloth masks... we are wearing medical (surgical )masks 10. Prof. Dr. Ines Kappstein is not working as a professor in virology, epidemiology. She is heading the Hygiene department for a Clinic in Passau (she's not teaching and not researching ...). I know her, I lived in Passau ... lol ... to have her cited here is super funny. She's definitely no expert.

I pick my experts and you pick random people ... good luck. That's ridiculous. lol :)

Prof. Dr. Ines Kappstein versus Christian Drosten. ... lol

I have nothing to say anymore. It's clear that you don't know what expertise in a field means (you pick a the head of a hygiene department in a small German hospital over the expert on SARS and COVID).

Good Luck.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#775
post #604

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You will find literally zero papers credibly claiming otherwise. Of the papers cited in the WHO meta-analysis of face masks and infection [1], all of the (three!) papers from a non-health-care setting had a confidence interval overlapping 1.0 (i.e. "no benefit"). Of those in a health-care setting, about half had confidence intervals overlapping 1.0 (i.e. "no benefit"): https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/arti…

Not improved?? I just checked nature... https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0843-2 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02801-8 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24115-7 Seems pretty clear to me.

The Leung et. al. paper (first link) should never have passed editorial review. Look at figure 1: the only significant result in the entire paper (1a, panel 3) is based on four data points. I don't know if this is p-hacking, per se, but it's not a robust result. And not that I give the paper a lot of credence, but it's worth nothing that the overall trend across all pathogens is that masks are ineffective against aerosols.

Link two is a news article and contributes no data.

Link three is a survey of people self-reporting a bunch of different things, where they've thrown out 32% of the data for non-response, selected the ones who did respond (bias!) and used that to make claims about face masks. Moreover, their data shows that as people wear face-masks more often, their chance of getting Covid goes up! This paper has so many confounders and potential sources of bias that it simply cannot be taken seriously.

When I said that the research literature on masks over 2020 hasn't gotten any better, these kinds of papers are exactly what I meant. They're terrible, they're littered with methodological and data analysis flaws, and provide no useful information to the debate. If these "seem clear to you", you don't understand what you're reading and lack the ability to assess research literature.

Sadly, top-tier journals publish a lot of garbage, particularly when that garbage is topical and will get press. You cannot use "Nature paper" as a badge of quality. You still have to read and understand the paper.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#776
post #604

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You will find literally zero papers credibly claiming otherwise. Of the papers cited in the WHO meta-analysis of face masks and infection [1], all of the (three!) papers from a non-health-care setting had a confidence interval overlapping 1.0 (i.e. "no benefit"). Of those in a health-care setting, about half had confidence intervals overlapping 1.0 (i.e. "no benefit"): https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/arti…

The paper you linked to says, in its summary section, "For the general public, evidence shows that physical distancing of more than 1 m is highly effective and that face masks are associated with protection, even in non-health-care settings, with either disposable surgical masks or reusable 12–16-layer cotton ones, although much of this evidence was on mask use within households and among contacts of cases." But I as…

That is their interpretation of the meta-analysis, yes ("summary section" == "discussion section"). That is not a statement of fact, but of the authors' opinions about the facts reported. The data stands on its own -- though in this case, since it's a meta-analysis with fancypants statistical re-weighting of the data, the line between "data" and "analysis" is decidedly blurred.

> But I assume you mean that the meta analysis didn't claim masks were useless, those three underlying papers did? I'm not sure what those three were, though, maybe I missed it. I found all the papers used but there were like a dozen in the non-health-care setting.

The data they have presented, aggregating ~all of the prior research literature on masks, shows a weak effect, at best. Only by mixing data from different settings (mostly hospitals) and different types of masks (from cloth to respirators) and re-weighting the conclusions do they arrive at this claim of even weak effectiveness.

Do masks work? Based on the literature, the only honest answer is "maybe they have a small effect, but the evidence isn't very good."

Compare this to what you see repeated in the media and by "experts". The truth is...most of these people haven't read the papers, and are just repeating what they've heard.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#777
post #741

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> what is the risk of wearing a mask? that you look silly? Fortunately, "lack of silliness" is not the standard of evidence for a medical intervention. There are a great many things that we might impose on others that might have some impact. There are, in fact, an infinite number of these things. Your desire to do these things "just in case" does not justify their imposition on other people. But more importantly: we'…

Wearing a mask is a medical intervention for you?? wearing a mask is not about protecting you, it's protecting other people. If you don't value other people's lives, don't wear one it won't help you personally. Ok ... so where is the evidence that they don't work? Current scientific consensus is on my side of the debate: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0843-2 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-0280…

> Ok ... so where is the evidence that they don't work?

I provided you with the link to the WHO meta-analysis of all research literature surrounding masks prior to the pandemic. Here it is again:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...

This covers 172 publications on masks and disease leading up to the pandemic. It is far more comprehensive than any particular paper or editorial you cherry-pick to support your arguments.

The best you can possibly say is that there is poor evidence supporting a small marginal effect. And that's if you combine all of the data in an illogical way and ignore that cloth masks and respirators are not the same, and that n95 masks in hospitals are not at all the same as bandanas in the subway. If you limit the argument to the question of non-respirator masks outside hospitals, there's no supporting evidence at all.

Spamming the comments with links to the same two papers from 2020 -- neither of which are good (see my other response) -- is not a rebuttal. The only high-quality paper on masks in 2020 was the Danish mask study, which was a well-controlled, high-quality RCT, and failed to find evidence for a protective effect:

https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817

Despite exasperating claims to the contrary, it is unlikely to be true that masks are magical one-way valves, with protective effect in one direction but not the other -- particularly if the virus is spread by aerosols, which are not blocked by poorly fitting masks.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#778

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That doesn't scale, though. Who's going to do the research as to what parts of the claim are true? Does YouTube have people with the medical research knowledge to do this? Do they have people with the knowledge who don't already have firmly entrenched positions on this question ?

It definitely scales. Snopes does a great job. People aren't all that creative when it comes to embellishing facts or perpetuating rumors.

Well this didn't age well

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#779

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your post was super patronizing and filled with assumptions. You clearly didn't read the article I posted, go check out that Swiss article again. It's a bunch of 10 articles from Oxford, Plos One, American journal of Medicine, and other legit sites that refute effectiveness of masks. Mass effectiveness is not settled fact. > The expert in COVID-19, who made a test detecting it recommends wearing masks. The main test…

Yes I'm patronizing because you have a problem with reading. The expert in COVID-19, who made a test detecting it. Drosten was in the team who MADE the test for COVID-19, yes they use a PCR test. I never claimed he invited it. Kary Mullis did not make the test for COVID-19 ... That about summarizes your problem. About the articles ... another commenter already pointed out the problems with them: 1. Study : Influenza…

I tried to address your claims but only got through a few before seeing they were either cherrypicked or outright scientifially wrong.

> Yes I'm patronizing because you have a problem with reading.

You're patronizing because you arrogantly think it's impossible that you're wrong.

1> Influenza not COVID 19 (different, no aerosol transmission )

Are you saying Influenza doesn't have aerosol transmission?

2>Faceplam: The authors were in the nature article I posted

I don't know what you mean by this. I didn't see the authors in the first article you posted.

> This was discussed. https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reaction-to-paper-

Good counterpoint. And interesting. However, community compliance is a huge part of mask effectivness, no?

> 3. The authors say themselves that most people wear not wearing the masks ... "his trial was unable to provide conclusive evidence ... most likely due to poor adherence to protocol.

Community compliance is a huge part of mask effectivness at the community level, no?

>Says what I claim: "The evidence regarding the effectiveness of medical face masks for the prevention of COVID-19 in the community is compatible with a small to moderate protective effect"

Quit cherry picking, the next sentence after the one you posted:

"""Most, but not all, studies show a favourable effect for medical face masks for protecting against COVID-19. However, this effect was not statistically significant in several studies, and the quality of the evidence was assessed as low in several studies, so the results should be interpreted with caution."""

> Kary Mullis did not make the test for COVID-19 ... PCR tests are all the same test just with a different amplified region of DNA. Drosten may have posted the region of DNA but Kary Mullis invented the test.

Are you familiar with how PCR tests work?

Mask effectiveness is not conclusive.

I really hope you get some help with your ego and obsessive tendencies and amphetamine abuse. Good Luck to you as well.

Re: YouTube suspends Rand Paul for seven days

#780
post #667

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, any rational conversation about Japan has to start with the observation that cases are at an all-time high right now: https://www.asahi.com/topics/word/%E3%82%B3%E3%83%AD%E3%83%8... I don't think changing rates of masking can explain that change. > Anecdotal, how do you explain the non existing flue season (last autumn ) and the low incidences in Japan? We got higher rates during the Olympic. I haven't seen any…

anything that interfere with droplet dispersion is better than nothing ... no? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwOwMsCc6NA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GAvO_QdO9eM Seems basic to me ... If the droplets from me don't reach to the first person in the cinema I cannot infect them.

Masks work in healthcare settings due to proper mask usage and training.

The problem is at the community level.

The current world mask usage is: "Wear a filth rag on your face until the waiter brings the breadsticks".

This could actually be doing more harm than good.

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