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Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

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Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Another issue is, other targets may not provide neutralizing immunity and may facilitate ADE. I don't think we've seen ADE in natural infection yet, so it may just be a theoretical issue, but I also don't know if we've really looked for ADE in natural infection either. We do know that other similar coronavirus vaccine candidates (a candidate for SARS-COV-1) exhibited ADE in primate studies. So since the spike protein…

For people curious about ADE (a fascinating topic that so far doesn't seem to have caused problems with SARS-CoV-2), here is some excellent background reading that covers many of the points made in the above comment, with citations and deeper discussion: https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/02/12/an...

I remember when this whole thing originally broke out, ADE was my biggest fear. Even when China was talking about a 2-3% infection fatality rate, it's like ok.. well that's not going to shatter society. But ADE... the prospect that getting it a 2nd time would raise the IFR to who knows... 20+%? That was scary.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#162

Not to disagree with the effectiveness of immunity gained by getting Covid-19, but also: "The evidence shows that protective antibodies generated in response to an mRNA vaccine will target a broader range of SARS-CoV-2 variants ... compared to antibodies acquired from an infection." https://directorsblog.nih.gov/2021/06/22/how-immunity-genera... "Vaccination offers longer, stronger immunity" https://www.jhsph.edu/cov…

We can cherry pick papers all day long to support or refute the idea that having had Covid19 is equivalent/better/worse than getting the vaccine. Anyone being honest can see that the jury is still out on the issue. But I can state 2 things with certainty. 1) having had it does offer some degree of immunization. 2) there is a lot of evidence that those spike proteins do damage. Given that, I dont know why some people…

> there is a lot of evidence that those spike proteins do damage

Citation needed.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know this thread is catnip for the antivax contingent that reliably appears, but this argument has several problems. First, our vaccines provide a stronger immune response than infection, as has been well documented by now[1]. Vaccination on top of prior infection boosts the response[2]. Second, the harm from the vaccine is minimal, and comparing it with an amputation is ridiculous (in spite of the large number of…

No. Stop it. It's not simple enough. Stop this crazy obsession. Adverse reaction are real. Here's a woman who has had her legs amputated[1] a few days after receiving the second dose of the Pfizer vaccine. Stated cause: she contracted COVID. More cases like it, blood clots, heart inflammation, sudden death. You all know this is happening, don't you? Close your eyes and sweep it under the rug. Keep ignoring the uncomf…

Adverse reactions are real, but they are orders of magnitude less likely than those caused by Covid itself and Covid is capable of causing basically all the same long tail harms the vaccines can.

Which makes sense--many of them are made of some part of the virus, so how can they be more deadly than Covid itself if they're just a piece of it?

It's weird to me that people aren't willing to trade a 2% risk for a 0.0002% risk when both have similar types of horrible outcomes.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#164
post #31

Immunity persists for a while but doesn’t seem to stop the new variants. Another study shows that re-infection with Covid is a lot more likely in unvaccinated people than in vaccinated.

Data from Israel shows that vaccinated people have a 6.72 times higher chance to get infected than previously infected people: https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/309762

That's interesting!

> More than 7,700 new cases of the virus have been detected during the most recent wave starting in May, but just 72 of the confirmed cases were reported in people who were known to have been infected previously – that is, less than 1% of the new cases.

> Roughly 40% of new cases – or more than 3,000 patients – involved people who had been infected despite being vaccinated.

Optimistically both vaccine and natural immunity are good, but the numbers above seem to indicate that natural immunity is significantly better.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#165

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> In this particular case, the potential for harm from the vaccine is quite low (this is borne out by the data), Which is why a common anti-vax argument is sow doubt about the harmful effects. I noticed a few options: a) conspiratorial: "the government is lying about side harm" b) anecdotal: "I personally know at least 3 people who couldn't walk after the vaccine. Do you call me a liar?" c) hyper-skepticism: "how can…

It seems to me very reasonable to worry about long-term outcomes when we are talking about vaccinating every man woman child. Maybe its got precedence but damn if its not worrying, and honest skepticism ought to be treated with respect not derided.

Reasonable skepticism should not be derided. But I would say (a) the skepticism is borderline, and (b) poor decision making is what is being derided.

So why is the skepticism borderline? Well we have over 100 years of data showing that vaccines I’m general are safe and effective. The safety and effectiveness of vaccines has drastically improved during that century - especially in the last 20 years. mRNA vaccines is a new platform, but all the preclinical and clinical data tee have shows they are safe and effective, and if we were going to see long term effects (which would be related to abnormal inflammatory / immune) response; it is highly likely we would have seen some indicator by now. Which specific long term effects are people even worried about?

And this brings us to why it is a poor decision. SARS-COV2 rewires your innate immune response, and has been observed to cause abnormal inflammatory/ immune responses that cause to death and long term disability with alarming frequency. So it seems like extremely poor judgement to be worried about long term effects from the vaccine more than the virus. The first concern is largely unsupported by the data, while the second is unquestionably supported by the data.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#166

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As far I’m aware this is an American thing. I’m from Finland (no vaccine pass yet) but travelling in Germany/Austria right now. They have the concept of 3G (don’t ask me to translate) but basically you can’t eat, drink or stay anywhere without either a vaccine, recovery or negative test. There is a pop up antigen test facility about 100m from the restaurant where anyone can go get a quick negative result and go do th…

Most of the pushback I hear here (Italy) about the ability to just get tested as an alternative to vaccine certification is the cost. It's perceived as a tax on the freedom to not vaccinate.

The cost is not only in money, but also in time, and requiring more upfront planning. Legitimate concern imo.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#167
post #19

Its important to keep studies like this in mind when talking with people who refuse to take the vaccine because they "already had COVID". In a very real sense, if natural antibodies are durable, persistent, and effective; the vaccine is an unnecessary medical procedure. Doctors would not cut off your legs for no reason; that would be unethical. The vaccine is a medical procedure like any other; if the benefit is ques…

As far I’m aware this is an American thing. I’m from Finland (no vaccine pass yet) but travelling in Germany/Austria right now. They have the concept of 3G (don’t ask me to translate) but basically you can’t eat, drink or stay anywhere without either a vaccine, recovery or negative test. There is a pop up antigen test facility about 100m from the restaurant where anyone can go get a quick negative result and go do th…

To a first approximation, the American thing is to not have any requirements for entry. There's a few employers and cities departing from that policy.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#168
post #111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am a believer in vaccines, but you're mischaracterizing the first link by selective omission. You've cut out the critical words of the sentence (emphasized): > The new evidence shows that protective antibodies generated in response to an mRNA vaccine will target a broader range of SARS-CoV-2 variants carrying “single letter” changes in a key portion of their spike protein compared to antibodies acquired from an inf…

Thanks for trying to bring more precision to the discussion. I also cited that blog post elsethread, and, having reviewed it, agree it's not the single best piece of evidence. It establishes a narrow result which suggests a generally better immune response from vaccines, but does not prove it. If I had to cite a single preprint to support the assertion, it would probably be this one: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/1…

Thanks for the citation, I hadn't seen that paper yet.

I agree it predominantly speaks to antibody levels. For others reading who don't already know - antibody levels are used as proxy to measure immune protection, but currently there is no scientific consensus that increasingly higher antibody levels correspond to increasingly better protection. Similarly, it is difficult to determine at what antibody levels an individual is "protected enough". So answering those questions is an ongoing scientific endeavor.

With that said, the literature is rapidly approaching (and likely has already established) scientific consensus that vaccination increases many components of the humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 infection. But for the reasons I previously stated, this has not been proven to translate into better protection or additional benefits for previously infected individuals.

So while antibody levels are a useful measure, another important factor is the robustness of the vaccine induced immune responses in comparison to the response induced in naturally infected individuals. There is a relevant section in the paper you cited titled 'mRNA vaccines induce higher Ab levels and greater Ab breadth than natural exposure to infection'.

My takeaway is that the authors are concluding that the vaccine induces a more robust antibody response because "the vaccine induced significant cross-reactive Abs against the SARS spike and SARS RBD". However they also clearly state that the vaccine does not induce antibodies against the nucleocapsid protein, which natural infection does.

For these reasons I feel that characterizing the vaccine induced immune response as "more robust" doesn't really paint an accurate picture. Especially when it has yet to be proven that this difference in immune response is actually beneficial for health outcomes in people infected with the virus.

Here are some key excerpts:

- "The nucleocapsid protein (NP) is an immunodominant antigen for which the antibody response increases in concordance with natural exposure (Figure 2A,3A and 4)."

- "However, nucleocapsid is not a component of the mRNA vaccines and consequently there is no vaccine-induced increase in Ab against this antigen. Accordingly, anti-spike antibody levels increased in vaccinees while the nucleocapsid protein Ab level remained constant."

- "Natural exposure in seropositive people induces high antibody levels against nucleocapsid protein (NP), full-length spike (S1+S2) and the S2 domain. Antibodies against S1 and the RBD domains are lower."

- "Vaccinated individuals have high Ab levels against full-length spike and the S2 domain of SARS-CoV-2 spike, and significantly higher antibody levels against S1 and the RBD domains compared to naturally exposed individuals."

- "In natural exposure there was no significant cross-reactivity against SARS S1 or the RBD domains. Surprisingly, the vaccine induced significant cross-reactive Abs against the SARS spike and SARS RBD."

- "Vaccination induces a more robust antibody response than natural exposure alone, SUGGESTING that those who have recovered from COVID benefit from the vaccination with stronger and broader antibody response."

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#169

I wonder if having had different less deadly coronaviruses also gives some immunity?

I saw someone citing this a few days ago: having had the common cold recently can lessen your covid symptoms. He didn't source it, but on its face, it seems to make sense.

Re: Longitudinal analysis shows durable immune memory after SARS-CoV-2 infection

#170

...more or less like most infections, as has been known for centuries. And yet, due to the current "anything which doesn't make people more fearful must be suppressed" attitude, this kind of thing is news. Or would be, if the U.S. newsmedia were willing to report it, which I suspect they will not.

Is this offering anything more substantive than you own bias and suspicions? Is there any response that could get you to consider that the comment "anything which doesn't make people more fearful must be suppressed" is as harmful or even more harmful than the media itself? Asking because I'd like to better understand how to address people with your beliefs in the future.

Not the poster you are replying to, but I'll bite, out of curiosity about your thinking...

> Is this offering anything more substantive than you own bias and suspicions?

My take-away from the article is that they found all the bits of the immune system primed for long term protection after covid infections. Which is not entirely unexpected, this is what happens with sars, also.

> Is there any response that could get you to consider that the comment "anything which doesn't make people more fearful must be suppressed" is as harmful or even more harmful than the media itself?

I got pretty fed up the news other day when the front page of the BBC led with the an article about leaked CNN memo and three unnamed employees who were fired for not getting vaccinated, and another about Jennifer Aniston apparently cutting off contact with unvaccinated friends. I felt manipulated. I consider stuff like this to be propaganda, not news. It reminded me that I need better sources for covid information, like statnews.com, to get away from such things.

I'd rather see more facts and less adjectives in the news. I'd rather that politicians justify their actions based on numbers, not vague statements. It doesn't seem like the general public is trusted with the facts, but are rather fed a lot of alarmist information.

I imagine the parent poster's assumption is that it would be front page if this study said that natural immunity expires quickly, but we won't see this good news about long lasting immunity on the front page.

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