Does anyone have educated views on desalinization tech? That seems to be the few ways out of this that's totally within our control. I imagine we'll rob Peter to pay Paul with it via extincting a bunch fish we didn't mean to in desal turbines or something unexpected like that, but that aside..
Desalinization works just fine--if you have an ocean nearby.
In California, desalinization plants keep getting built and will eventually be able to handle the water needs of people near the coasts.
However, there is no way desalinization can ever support farming. And that's 80+% of the water consumption.
Either you shut down the farms now or when the water runs out--that's the only option.