Paradise on Earth and home to the world’s brightest-future industry; California could easily grow to 100M residents if it simply allowed housing to be built to accommodate all the people who want to live here. And it would be a net win for the climate, because most of them would be coming from much less eco-friendly places.
I agree so strongly with this sentiment. There is always such a defeatist attitude on these threads that assumes California is somehow full and unchangeable. Outside of the three metro areas, it's basically empty! Separately, in the metro areas, there's a lot of room for infill density. Three years back, I made the rational choice to leave because I could barely see a way to home ownership - not to mention having a f…
California population declines for first time in more than a century
381–390 of 543 posts
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#382Earlier quoted context omitted.
"But I haven't seen California take meaningful steps to solve any of these" Yeah, the thing is there are political and regulatory efforts to deal with these, but most people don't hear/read about them, unless they are super wonky. So the people who tend to get involved are the wealthy people who benefit financially from the outcome, and the occasional non profit. The latter is where you can actually make an impact fo…
If you rely on nonprofits to solve homelessness, you are essentially allowing a nonprofit homelessness industry to exist and funding it with tax dollars.
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#383Earlier quoted context omitted.
The overcrowding you describe is endemic in California. Likely, nearly all you food is produced by people living in overcrowded housing, worse than you describe. What you describe is common for the people who serve you food in restaurants, and restock the shelves, and do pretty much all the stuff that makes society run these days in California. And we got to that point without concrete boxes at all. Avoiding density…
> Let's imagine that we build so that we don't have to hear our neighbors' partying. I’ve heard (and been kept awake by) my neighbors in every single place I’ve lived that’s not a detached home. Even the fancy condo with super thick walls/floors/ceilings only made it rarer. If nothing else, this is why I want a single family home and hate the idea that this is the desirable future. Invest in remote work and let peopl…
Somebody advocating for something they've never experienced but demand that it be the future despite most people who have experienced it saying it can be soul destroying.
Grow your smaller cities and stop pumping everything in mega cities.
Parents comment reminds me of the people drooling at the mouth for Tokyo style housing despite being told the truth by westerners who have lived/live there.
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#384I'm a PhD student at Caltech. I'd love to stay in CA and become a prof at one of the world-renown universities in the state. The cost for a nice house is > $800K in all of the cities hosting these universities; on top of that, the state income tax on a prof's salary is 9-10%. CA is basically telling me (and millions of other millennials) that we are not wanted here.
CA tax system is mainly set up for retirees - high tax rates for current income, low tax rates for long-term property ownership. Someone who no longer works for W-2 income, but lives off social security, pension or investment portfolio would flourish in CA. It's interesting how AZ and FL get the reputation of being great places for retirement, even though their tax system highly encourages current income and penalize…
So California isn't a great place for retirees. It is among the worst and far inferior to Florida.
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#385We short-circuited the process, accepting a long commute and moving out to the suburbs of a satellite city near DC (Annapolis). Bought a house for less than 1/3 of what my colleagues are spending. Could make my mortgage payment if my wife quits her job, I change jobs, etc. We live around couples with young kids, just like us, with normal middle class jobs. It’s amazing.
But thanks to the Fed printing money property values in the area are shooting up. The house next door, which is a bit smaller than hours, recently sold for double what we paid in 2016. I’m worried it’s going to destroy the neighborhood so only upper middle class people can live here. This must stop.
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#386Earlier quoted context omitted.
Erm, no. There's a carbon cycle. Trees trap carbon. When they die, trees release carbon. Unless you bury dead trees underground (e.g. as paper, furniture, etc., in deep landfills), in terms net amount of carbon capture, there's no difference between a massive forest fire, periodic controlled burns, decay, etc. They differ in time cycles. Even a sequoia will eventually die and release its carbon back into the atmosphe…
This strikes me as a reasonable argument. I wonder why it doesn't work for agriculture, which is regularly criticized for e.g. the carbon in livestock feed?
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#387Earlier quoted context omitted.
I’m not sure I understand your statement that traffic is bad because housing density is too low for the population. Certainly just increasing density with no other controls just increases traffic congestion. The best approach would be increasing density while decreasing reliance on personal transportation. https://www.transformca.org/transform-blog-post/our-take-gre...
Increasing density will naturally decrease reliance on personal motor-vehicles because more journeys become walkable.
Fancy way to say 'car'.
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#388Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is 9.3% on income after $58k until $300k (single filing), but the first $58k is taxed at a lower rate, so you never get anywhere near an effective 9% rate. That’s just the way marginal rates work, Republicans throw out the top tax rate to argue that California is high taxed, but it turns out the taxes are very progressive (the first $100k is taxed very lightly). He should have tenure. The UC system doesn’t pay tha…
I mean yeah, it’s marginal, but $45k-58k is taxed at 8%, then $33k-$46k is taxed at 6%. Those aren’t low rates compared to other states, especially considering the COL.
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#389Earlier quoted context omitted.
$50,000 in 1970 is worth $350,000 in 2021 dollars. So in reality the house has doubled in price.
And I guess what we think are great salaries in the tech industry today, were salaries of a postman or a factory worker back then?
Not sure what that's got to do with anything we're talking about.
Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century
#390Earlier quoted context omitted.
populations don't always rise, and the boomers have implemented policy and stuck around long enough to kneecap the next generations and prevent younger people from starting families. america has dropped below replacement birth rate in the past few years, despite younger parents actually wanting to have more children
As long as living standards are lower elsewhere, you can just get replacements from other countries. You spend less this way as well and don't have to raise and educate people. You can also call people racists if they don't like it.