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California population declines for first time in more than a century

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Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#61
The other thing to remember is you generally expect population growth. Even if the decline isn't significant, it means theirs no growth.

This is a good thing. California is a horrible horrible place for most working class people. You will never get ahead.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#62
post #54
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No need for highrises; just take all the places where 40' single-family houses are allowed, and allow 40' multifamily houses.

Why no need for highrises?

High rises don't necessarily help much with adding additional population, the real key is consistently higher density being allowed. Barcelona is an absolutely beautiful city with amazing transit and amenities, all without any high rises at all.

Really the key is to ban single unit detached homes, get rid of setbacks, get rid of parking minimums, establish parking maximums, even.

Basically, the entire planning profession has gotten every single thing wrong. Take any limit they have established, and reverse it, IMHO. All that feeder street nonsense has destroyed an entire century's worth of planning.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#63
post #18

Paradise on Earth and home to the world’s brightest-future industry; California could easily grow to 100M residents if it simply allowed housing to be built to accommodate all the people who want to live here. And it would be a net win for the climate, because most of them would be coming from much less eco-friendly places.

I'm usually a huge cheerleader for most things California, but I think this comment is missing some important considerations. Namely, people don't just need housing, they also need food, energy, water, transportation, waste management, employment, education, health care, and space for recreation. Every new home that goes up requires a lot of infrastructure to support a healthy population.

And people don't want to be evenly distributed throughout the state. There's still plenty of space in Fresno! But, many of the people who live there wish they lived somewhere else. Lots of people all want to live in the same places; doing some math based off 2010 census numbers, the San Francisco Bay Area currently has an average population density of about 912 people per square mile [1]. That may be getting asymptotically close to the carrying capacity for those areas for people who want to live suburban lifestyles.

California might be able to carry 80 million people, twice its current population, but that will require solving California's population distribution problem -- making some undesirable places a lot more desirable.

[1]: http://www.bayareacensus.ca.gov/bayarea.htm, includes Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Solano, and Sonoma counties.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#64
post #31
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Paradise on Earth and home to the nation’s fastest-growing industry; California could easily grow to 100M residents if it simply allowed housing to be built to accommodate all the people who want to live here. And it would be a net win for the climate, because most of them would be coming here from much less eco-friendly places. Are you in agreement with changing zoning laws to accommodate many more high rises e.g…

No need for highrises; just take all the places where 40' single-family houses are allowed, and allow 40' multifamily houses.

I'm ok with taller buildings if we ever finally allow more CLT construction in this state. Our building code is antiquated and silly, and the construction industry itself is probably the least innovative or capable industry in the entire US, which is probably to be expected with the way we've treated it to such awful boom and bust cycles.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#65
post #6

Finally some good news for CA natives. It sucks not being able to afford to live where you grew up. Maybe this will ease the housing market a bit?

I'm for building reasonably priced housing, and apartments.

In CA, Governor Neusome signed some sort of mandate, that put hard limits (build more you NIMBY's) on new housing.

It was done for the right reasons. A lot of his wealthy supporters could care less about rent, but he doesn't seem to be able to be bought--yet.

It's tied to state funds? I would like to know more, but too lazy to do research.

Our little towns, in Marin County, are scrambling for a solution to enable more housing. I shouldn't have used "scrambling". I don't think they really care. They own their homes, but they need funds.

Ok---that said, I don't know how they can think about building anything because of the water shortage?

Not having enough water is huge. They could offer incentives for digging wells I guess?

I am glad Neusome made putting in a mother in-law units much easier. We need more low/middle income housing. We need less mansions though. Neusome is a rich boy, but has progressive values. I went to school with him, and he knows what a struggle life can be sometimes. Yes--even for a rich boy, I felt sorry for him a bit at certain points in his life. He was actually voted most Fashionable in the year book.

Fun fact for those that know nothing about Marin County. Most of you have probally heard of Bolinas before? The town without a sign. A town the locals want kept a secret?

The history of building in Bolinas is kinda interesting. Years ago a bunch of hippies, and other brilliant creative people, saw what a beautiful area Bolinas is, but they knew it could be ruined by overbuilding. They knew it was a far commute, but people would suffer with the long drive to SF because it was such a idyllic location.

The hippies got themselfs on the town council. (I use hippies in the best sence. The world needs more hippies.)

They passed a law that the size of their town would be mandated by water hookups.

There is a hard set number of water hookups, and they went quick. A few years ago a small plot of land with a water hookup became available. Just a tiny piece of land, but it had a legal water spigot. It went for a huge amount money.

Mu point is without more water, I don't know how these housing mandates will work?

A desalination plant might work?

Would I mind seeing a desalination plant instead of San Quentin--yes. San Quentin is a prison right near the bay. It's old, and just a prison to be honest. A lot of those guys could be in a minimum security prison, in better living conditions, but that's another story.

I would like to see some Stimulus money being spent on a desalination plant.

I know nothing about the technology though. I just know water is something very important.

I do feel the wealthy, and those living in mansions, should pay more for water than the rest of us.

(Yes-- I'm all over the place today. I guess I'm nervous over reopening? I need to take a walk.)

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#66
post #54
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No need for highrises; just take all the places where 40' single-family houses are allowed, and allow 40' multifamily houses.

Why no need for highrises?

Much of Paris only allows 4-5 story buildings, but Paris is more dense than NYC where skyscrapers are allowed

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#67
I'm a PhD student at Caltech. I'd love to stay in CA and become a prof at one of the world-renown universities in the state. The cost for a nice house is > $800K in all of the cities hosting these universities; on top of that, the state income tax on a prof's salary is 9-10%. CA is basically telling me (and millions of other millennials) that we are not wanted here.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#68
post #29
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Paradise on Earth and home to the nation’s fastest-growing industry; California could easily grow to 100M residents if it simply allowed housing to be built to accommodate all the people who want to live here. And it would be a net win for the climate, because most of them would be coming here from much less eco-friendly places. Are you in agreement with changing zoning laws to accommodate many more high rises e.g…

I’m in favor of higher density and I’d have no problem tying it to practical mass transit - thus encouraging developers to work to expand mass transit so they can redevelop land to higher density.

Unfortunately countless coastal communities will happily watch their children flee so that they can keep their "beach bungalow vibe" or whatever other delusion they have. Meanwhile we will keep building huge roads and parking lots to accomodate their lifestyle.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#69
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why no need for highrises?

High rises don't necessarily help much with adding additional population, the real key is consistently higher density being allowed. Barcelona is an absolutely beautiful city with amazing transit and amenities, all without any high rises at all. Really the key is to ban single unit detached homes, get rid of setbacks, get rid of parking minimums, establish parking maximums, even. Basically, the entire planning profes…

We don't even need to ban single-family houses; we just need to repeal the laws that ban everything else. People who want to pay extra for SFHs will continue to be able to do so, but crucially, people who want to put something else on their land would be able to as well. Those folks would build enough housing to accommodate at least a doubling of the state population.

Re: California population declines for first time in more than a century

#70
post #7
post #4

or govt solution: keep raising taxes and letting violent criminals out and allowing third world quality of life

> and letting violent criminals out Of all the problems we face, insufficiently low incarceration rates aren't one of them.

so true!! we need to let more people out like this:

https://mobile.twitter.com/DionLimTV/status/1390418462820814...

the stabber was being oppressed and just took out his oppression. we shouldn’t arrest him either. we just let him out for his previous violent crime

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