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Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

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Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Cryptocurrency, as wasteful as it might appear, is like a drop in the ocean compared to the data centers of Google, Facebook, Microsoft, etc. It isn't, as 'mytherin points out. > Likes on Facebook provide much less value to society That's absurdly untrue. For all the warts of big social media players, they still provide tremendous social value - rich long-distance communication, organizing ad-hoc groups of people (…

Very well written

Thank you.

I do think there is a lot of value in cryptocurrency research. The theoretical insights gained into ways of provably ensuring consensus in an untrusted environment, or tamper-proofing information, are already useful.

But that could all be done in a research setting (as it mostly already is) - we don't need every piece of such research to be immediately deployed in the form of a get rich quick scheme. So I'd strongly support an official, government-backed moratorium on the use of all cryptocurrencies, until researchers figure out a way to make one that isn't an exponentially growing, insatiable power sink.

We can test out the research incrementally in form of systems that don't pay people to grow chains. Like some of the project ideas I've seen thrown around big, non-financial companies - e.g. making it easier to ensure supply chain integrity. While in general I'm strongly suspicious of anything that even mentions "blockchain", some of these ideas don't look that stupid (but then, I'm not a domain expert in these areas, so the blockchain-backed solutions may all just be hot air).

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#122

Sample size 1: every 3 months I need to buy a large hard drive (14TB+). I buy external USB ones since they are the cheapest. Since it was due, in the last couple of weeks I was scanning prices in Romania daily, in case I get lucky with a discount. In the last week, prices surged 60-100%, and stock disappeared for 4 TB+. I panicked and after a lot of scanning I managed to buy a slightly smaller one than I needed with…

I would strongly suspect that corporate bulk orders are not currently affected, so Backblaze won't care until it gets much, much more dire.

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#123
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ethereum are the GPU's. Bitcoin utilizes ASIC's designed only for Bitcoin. This is an eventual e-waste issue, but not a GPU supply issue.

There was a period between about 2011 and 2014 when the fastest way to mine bitcoin was on a GPU and it did cause a shortage in cards: https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/12/11/amds-graph...

Ah yes, those days, I mined two bitcoins and sold them for $100, then got bored...

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#124
post #34

I've never built a PC. I expect the crytpocurency bubble to collapse because my tech ignorant accountant friend asked what I know about building a crypto mining rig. What should I read to prepare myself to take advantage of the cheap used high end hardware that will hit the market do build a Windows or Linux system for my own pleasure.

Cryptocurrency is a logical response to central banks around the world trying to print their way out of their bad decisions instead of putting the ultra wealthy in their place.

That's why crypto isn't going anywhere and this will only get worse.

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well the simple past tense / 3rd person of "chier" is precisely "chia", spelled exactly like that. The herb/plant "chia" always sounds a bit weird to my ears because it makes me think of the verb tense... "Il chia" / "He shat". So GP is totally correct.

GP is maybe “technically” correct, but given that «chier» is a slang verb mostly used orally while passé simple is almost never used orally and never in casual context, which means that you'll never use that tense on this verb in practice. “He shat” will 99.99% of the time be translated to «il a chié» ( passé composé ).

Thanks. I’ve never in my life heard “il chia”. And you wouldn’t formally write something so informal.

Anyone curious can verify that google translate doesn’t even understand “il chia” and google translate is quite good on French.

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#126
post #34

I've never built a PC. I expect the crytpocurency bubble to collapse because my tech ignorant accountant friend asked what I know about building a crypto mining rig. What should I read to prepare myself to take advantage of the cheap used high end hardware that will hit the market do build a Windows or Linux system for my own pleasure.

Cryptocurrency is a logical response to central banks around the world trying to print their way out of their bad decisions instead of putting the ultra wealthy in their place. That's why crypto isn't going anywhere and this will only get worse.

>Cryptocurrency is a logical response to central banks around the world trying to print their way out of their bad decisions instead of putting the ultra wealthy in their place.

I don't understand what you're trying to say. To me this sounds like political rhetoric not an argument.

Are you saying that cryptocurrency can replace central banks? Are you saying that cryptocurrency is some kind of revenge or punishment against central banks and wealthy? Are you saying something else??

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#127
post #75
post #34

I've never built a PC. I expect the crytpocurency bubble to collapse because my tech ignorant accountant friend asked what I know about building a crypto mining rig. What should I read to prepare myself to take advantage of the cheap used high end hardware that will hit the market do build a Windows or Linux system for my own pleasure.

Presumably you're familiar with ebay? (I wouldn't necessarily trust parts that have been worked to death btw)

I don't know how to make a shopping list and put the parts together.

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#128
post #37
post #34

I've never built a PC. I expect the crytpocurency bubble to collapse because my tech ignorant accountant friend asked what I know about building a crypto mining rig. What should I read to prepare myself to take advantage of the cheap used high end hardware that will hit the market do build a Windows or Linux system for my own pleasure.

I wouldn't count on it collapsing any time soon. Not with everyone from Visa to Time magazine jumping on the bandwagon >I've never built a PC. Definitely worthwhile. Basically lego for adults. Tons of good info here https://old.reddit.com/r/buildapc/

>I wouldn't count on it collapsing any time soon. Not with everyone from Visa to Time magazine jumping on the bandwagon

"Jump on the bandwagon" Meaning: to support a cause only because it is popular to do so.

Sounds like a bubble. I encourage more people to jump on the bandwagon. I'm not in a hurry to get my new computer and the bigger the bubble gets the more cheap hardware will be available when it pops.

https://www.ecenglish.com/learnenglish/lessons/why-do-we-say...

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#129
post #126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cryptocurrency is a logical response to central banks around the world trying to print their way out of their bad decisions instead of putting the ultra wealthy in their place. That's why crypto isn't going anywhere and this will only get worse.

>Cryptocurrency is a logical response to central banks around the world trying to print their way out of their bad decisions instead of putting the ultra wealthy in their place. I don't understand what you're trying to say. To me this sounds like political rhetoric not an argument. Are you saying that cryptocurrency can replace central banks? Are you saying that cryptocurrency is some kind of revenge or punishment ag…

It's literally how it started.

> The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks

Re: Thoughts on a “HDD shortage” from an industry insider

#130
post #126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Cryptocurrency is a logical response to central banks around the world trying to print their way out of their bad decisions instead of putting the ultra wealthy in their place. I don't understand what you're trying to say. To me this sounds like political rhetoric not an argument. Are you saying that cryptocurrency can replace central banks? Are you saying that cryptocurrency is some kind of revenge or punishment ag…

It's literally how it started. > The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks

What is the literal connection between that headline and the how cryptocurrencies started?
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