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‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

theguardian.com

131–140 of 339 posts

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#131
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If they're crediting you for that energy at anything close to the retail electricity rate you're effectively getting a really generous subsidy. Because solar is so cheap but only produces electricity sometimes and at pretty much the same time everywhere in the region, the actual cost of electricity when your solar panels are producing heavily and feeding back into the grid is much, much lower than when they're not pr…

Our system generates about 10 MWh per year (10 million watts of electricity). Our house isn't that big (1800 sq feet) and we have all LED lights and the highest energy saving appliances. We don't use anywhere near that many watts in a year. Our surplus credits easily cover our energy costs during Winter.

> (10 million watts of electricity)

10 million watt-hours of electricity

Your system would produce 10 million watts if it did 10 million watt-hours per hour.

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#132
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How much was your system?

Not op but we just installed 12kw system in Seattle and will have cost us $23k after federal tax credit. Approximately $2/watt. Get quotes from 3+ credible local companies. Also check energysage.

If you have a mortgage then you are effectively borrowing $23k from the bank for the period of your mortgage - so the total interest could be a significant chunk of money.

Assuming that you have some leeway to pay your mortgage off quicker (depending on your exact terms).

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#133

Relevant quote: "Every time you double producing capacity, you reduce the cost of PV solar by 28%." Current worldwide PV manufacturing capacity is roughly 165 GW [1] [2], with a utility scale price close to $0.01/kWh [3]. Manufacturing capacity is doubling every ~4 years. Global PV capacity in service is ~600 GW. IEA Average global annual capacity additions in main and accelerated cases, 2023-2025: https://www.iea.or…

I think researchers underestimated how much solar simply “makes sense” to the average person. Once the price is reasonable enough, people are very easily able to latch onto the idea of using what they already know and feel - the sun’s heat. Whenever I mention the solar panels in my parents house, the first question is always about the price. When I tell them they will break even in a few years, their next question is…

I don't think we misunderstood that part.

When people can make or save money easily, then it will sell, if they can't it won't.

So the 'tipping point' was always going to be when it became practical to industry, then business, then consumers etc..

We're still not quite there yet as it will 'really happen' when homeowners can go to Home Depot, pick up what they need and have it up and working same day. When that happens, it will Solar Armageddon, the good kind.

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#134

Relevant quote: "Every time you double producing capacity, you reduce the cost of PV solar by 28%." Current worldwide PV manufacturing capacity is roughly 165 GW [1] [2], with a utility scale price close to $0.01/kWh [3]. Manufacturing capacity is doubling every ~4 years. Global PV capacity in service is ~600 GW. IEA Average global annual capacity additions in main and accelerated cases, 2023-2025: https://www.iea.or…

Is the cost reduction empirical observation, or determined by estimates regarding economies of scale

Empirical, and it's applied while PV has fallen in cost by 2 1/2 orders of magnitude.

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#135
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can easily offset that changing the angle the panels are installed at. People think in terms of maximum total output but tracking solar show significant power is available late in the day. As solar keeps getting cheaper the question shifts further from how do I get maximum power to how do I maximize my investment. Which is a slightly different and far more complex optimization problem.

Yeah you're right. But, tracking solar (and solar with fixed positioning that maximises energy output later in the day) largely applies for more sophisticated sites such as commercial and industrial. I've seen such setups that forego around 20% of solar energy production to maximise production during more expensive time of use windows (including offsetting time of use demand charges). Residential installations are us…

> One up and coming trend which might have a significant impact on this is for residential retail tariffs to be directly linked, at 30min resolution, to the wholesale energy market prices.

From what happened in Texas recently that sounds like a nightmare for consumers. https://www.npr.org/2021/03/06/974417969/texas-wont-reduce-1...

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#136
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is the ratio of solar panel area to floor area for your home?

The panels cover less than half the roof. The house is a 25x50 foot rectangle. So... Maybe 15 feet x 40 feet of panels?

Wow that's amazing. You've inspired me to look into this for my area even though I've never considered it before.

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#137
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure :) 500B€ (yes, half a trillion !) invested in wind turbines in Germany over 20 years. Check the result https://www.electricitymap.org/zone/DE , Germany is ~300g of CO²/kwh, France is 50g. Why ? Because when there is no wind, no sun, you need power. And then you're burning gaz or coal. So you "erase" all those 0CO² days. Also solar panel efficiency fades over time, you loose 50% of efficiency after a few decades.…

I thought it was because Germany shut down its nuclear power plants and ramped its coal generation up? [1] Germany poorly managing its power grid doesn’t imply that renewables aren’t economically rational; it implies Germany makes irrational national policy. France is primarily nuclear powered, as you point out with their low CO2 emission footprint (compare the generation mixes of both countries in ElectricityMap, I’…

Germany's fossil fuel use for grid generation was steady after Fukushima. Coal use declined. After 2017, coal use fell off a cliff (as CO2 allowances became more expensive in Europe.)

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#138
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If they're crediting you for that energy at anything close to the retail electricity rate you're effectively getting a really generous subsidy. Because solar is so cheap but only produces electricity sometimes and at pretty much the same time everywhere in the region, the actual cost of electricity when your solar panels are producing heavily and feeding back into the grid is much, much lower than when they're not pr…

Our system generates about 10 MWh per year (10 million watts of electricity). Our house isn't that big (1800 sq feet) and we have all LED lights and the highest energy saving appliances. We don't use anywhere near that many watts in a year. Our surplus credits easily cover our energy costs during Winter.

That sounds great. What kind of heating system?

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#139
post #25
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Please do the math, check how much you'll need to cover the consumption of a small city for a night. It sure would be nice if we had a transnational energy infrastructure, as the sun is always shining somewhere. Think DESERTEC and Gobitec but for the whole planet.

Oh yes, thousands of km of high power copper cables. Crossing west-to-east Europe with electricity is already loosing 30% of it. Let's transport electricity from Australia to India ! And for wind, it's the same issue, when there is wind in Finland, there is wind in Spain. So you can't "balance thing" between countries.

Power lines don't use copper. They're aluminum with a steel core.

Re: ‘Insanely cheap energy’: solar power continues to shock the world

#140
post #63
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think that you don't see how much land you actually need. Maybe in America there is plenty of space, but in Europe it's way more difficult. To replace one nuclear reactor, you need ~ half of Paris in solar panel. And still need energy "at night". Yes heating water, or cooling places are nice. But your trains ain't gonna work "only when there is sun". If you need backup at one moment, you need 0C0² backup and basica…

I don't think much thought has been given to the cost structure of nuclear peak plants. A nuclear facility which only generated power part of the time should have a longer service life and generate less waste per unit time. Meaning the high capex decommissioning process may be pushed back decades or more.

It makes sense that a nuclear peaker plant could last longer, but it's probably a challenge to sell an investment where the payoff comes after the investors are dead. In the short to medium term, that unused capacity is lost profit.

Maybe with a carbon tax, this could work... otherwise natural gas peakers will take all the money off the table.

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