Earlier quoted context omitted.
Odd that some people don’t notice things like this... https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shrinkflation Do you actually track spending or just don’t notice?
A gallon of milk is still a gallon of milk. A pound of carrots is still a pound of carrots. It sounds as if your basket of goods is different from mine. Most of the examples on that Wikipedia page are sugary foods, which I just don't buy a lot of.
There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
61–70 of 409 posts
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#62Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes, inflation is real, and since I’m on a fixed income I noticed that despite cutting out luxuries and limiting meat purchases, my groovy bill went up and I still lost weight.
Insufficient data - supports several modeks. If you are trying to lose weight, shifting away from sugary & processed foods & meat to high-quality fresh fruits, vegetables, nuts, etc. can definitely increase your grocery bill while reducing your weight in a very healthy way. Food bill may go down by going directly to farmers, but travel & fetching costs increase. Or, it could be an unhealthy shift towards more process…
I had a fixed grocery budget, and over months, I lost weight due to a caloric deficit. Literally I bought less food with the same money and the result was just over a pound a month lost .
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#63Our job in life is to engage in value creation. When money is decoupled from value creation, your long-term bet is that it will lose its value, as value creation is what actually matters in the “real” world. This is also why “crypto” (the asset class, not technology) is so corrosive, because it makes people who have done approximately nothing to create value in society, but who’ve enjoyed a massive boost in monetary…
I mean the crypto folks bought in at the right time? It's like finding oil under your land. For some reason you bought into it and that's takes some type of skill.
Plenty of people have also lost money on crypto and oil speculation.
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#64The “woe is me, how do I know how to invest?” drivel in this article is solved by a sufficiently diversified portfolio. The article even admits that these shenanigans have no impact on the larger market — so invest there. If you want to take on more risk, great — but with great risk comes lots of market manipulation. The wider public is now learning what every MBA is taught in investment theory classes: investing is…
The S&P 500 P/E ratio is up over 40, a number it has seen only twice before and both immediately before crashes. P/E is an imperfect measure, especially during a genuine crisis that results in fewer goods being produced, but the idea that "it will take 40 years to produce enough profits to return your money" is a little scary. The pandemic is certainly contributing, but it's been heading this direction since well before the pandemic.
The broad market is still probably your best bet long term, and even if now isn't a great time we all know that timing doesn't really work. Stick it in a broad index and forget about it remains the best advice. But that advice eventually undercuts itself, if everybody invests in every company regardless of its merits just because it's listed. The listing itself is becoming a skew.
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#65Money is stored wealth, the ability to buy goods and services in the future. The problem seems to be that we live in a time of societal upheaval. The future of stored wealth becomes cloudier and more uncertain the further you go out in time. So, what is the best place to store wealth? Will my wealth be eroded by inflation? Will the companies I invest in become obsolete by technology or market-manipulating nation stat…
My answer to these questions and other unknowns about the fed, fiscal policy, America and its role in the world, the economy etc. is that the future will be a lot like the present, but more so. So extent the current trends into the future. Sure, things sometimes change, even dramatically such as the fall of the USSR or 911, but we are living in a steady-state world in which the underling trends do not change. Inflati…
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#66Our job in life is to engage in value creation. When money is decoupled from value creation, your long-term bet is that it will lose its value, as value creation is what actually matters in the “real” world. This is also why “crypto” (the asset class, not technology) is so corrosive, because it makes people who have done approximately nothing to create value in society, but who’ve enjoyed a massive boost in monetary…
I agree with your last statement, but I think you are mixing cause and effect. Crypto is exploding because our system is already corroded. Starting with the creation of the Fed, and tracing through endless money printing and complex financial instruments which let well-connected companies and politicians create paper wealth out of nothing, we've decoupled money from value. Savings pay no interest, manual labor doesn'…
There's a wealth of uninformed investors and they're all hearing stories about crypto millionaires and how much it went up and FOMO narratives about it.
People haven't been transacting in crypto basically at all - it's not even a blip in the popular discussion about it, except as a flimsy justification for why its value is not tulip-mania.
The only thing in effect is the ultimate truth of investing: the market can stay irrational a lot longer then you can stay solvent. No one was "surprised" when the housing bubble collapsed in 2008, and no one will be "surprised" when crypto collapses, but as we saw in 2008 when the returns get high enough even the "sensible" investors can't justify to their stockholders/board why they're not jumping in on the apparent "easy" money.
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#67Money is stored wealth, the ability to buy goods and services in the future. The problem seems to be that we live in a time of societal upheaval. The future of stored wealth becomes cloudier and more uncertain the further you go out in time. So, what is the best place to store wealth? Will my wealth be eroded by inflation? Will the companies I invest in become obsolete by technology or market-manipulating nation stat…
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#68Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#69Our job in life is to engage in value creation. When money is decoupled from value creation, your long-term bet is that it will lose its value, as value creation is what actually matters in the “real” world. This is also why “crypto” (the asset class, not technology) is so corrosive, because it makes people who have done approximately nothing to create value in society, but who’ve enjoyed a massive boost in monetary…
Re: There’s Nothing to Do Except Gamble
#70Earlier quoted context omitted.
My answer to these questions and other unknowns about the fed, fiscal policy, America and its role in the world, the economy etc. is that the future will be a lot like the present, but more so. So extent the current trends into the future. Sure, things sometimes change, even dramatically such as the fall of the USSR or 911, but we are living in a steady-state world in which the underling trends do not change. Inflati…
I bet the romans said the same thing
But in the wake of that, the idea that you're going to be holding onto much of anything that'll matter globally is laughable.