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Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

reuters.com

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Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#291
post #162
post #60

I wish to see a satellite photos to see a traffic jam from the above. It is definitely not too common to see that many ships waiting in queue to entry the Suez canal [0]. [0]: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:32.3/cente...

https://www.reddit.com/r/Damnthatsinteresting/comments/mf705... https://www.reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/comments/meopv9/s...

That's Bay of Bengal, not Suez. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/sujeeva-salwatura-49341a36_fa...

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#292

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Boring, facts and research based industry/financial news exists. But it can cost upwards of a couple hundred thousand dollars per year. If you want real news, you'll have to pay for it.

What are your recommendations for real news? I've heard FT, WSJ, and the economist, and am looking to finally commit and sign up instead of relying on free. You get what you pay for is true in this case, and I don't wanna put drama based narratives in my head, which form my perception of the world.

I meant more industry specific news rather than general news. Organizations that cover niche topics, usually catering towards businesses or investors rather than the general public. In my case it's things like Covenant Review, Xtract Research, Debtwire, Reorg, etc. There are likely similar services catering to shipping and logistics that would provide better analysis on this situation than most general news organizations.

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#293
post #240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Container ships can easily have an unpredicted wait of 1-2 weeks just entering port, happens all the time and isn't major news. Few days in the Suez canal isn't going to do anything to cargo.

While the Ever Given may not have an issue, the HAJH AMINA which is waiting in the Great Bitter Lake is a livestock carrier that should have been unloading in port yesterday.

Sure but the same principles apply - delays happen, and livestock ships are equipped to keep livestock alive with food and water well stocked in case they can't enter port for days(which again, happens all the time, sometimes papers aren't exactly right and the livestock has to wait on the ship until cleared for offloading)

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#294
post #247

Lots of articles quote a $XXX billion dollars per day figure, but those numbers are normally for "worth of goods delayed" which, while interesting, doesn't tell the story to me. Are there any estimates as to the actual cost of this "mishap", due to e.g. spoilage, financial/contractual repercussions of late deliveries, personnel/fuel costs?

I work on an IoT product, and operations is already talking about potential production delays because of this. There's already a global plastic shortage, and this is only going to make things worse.

The silver lining there is that more companies should be able to absorb a double delivery when three weeks of goods all show up at once.

Most businesses can’t just skip a week and then process twice as much raw goods to catch up.

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#295
post #141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Probably the actual cost will require an army of accountants and lawyers at a dozen major logistics corporations arguing with each other for months to even try to compute. I doubt us regular uninvolved people will ever get a "real" number. How do you even try to calculate and reveal the cost associated with say a manufacturer in the middle of a supply chain deciding to source their parts from a different vendor for t…

Agree it's incalculable, I don't mean that in the "it's too big of a number" sort of way but in the "we can't possibly know" kind of way: 1) The scale and depth of the disruption makes it impractical to figure in any kind of accurate way and 2) The disruption will have introduced hypotheticals that nay spiral out themselves (butterfly effect style) e.g. some retailer may have lost a customer who went elsewhere, some…

> 2) The disruption will have introduced hypotheticals that nay spiral out themselves (butterfly effect style) e.g. some retailer may have lost a customer who went elsewhere, some supplier may have lost a retailer who went elsewhere, etc

And some retailers and suppliers may have gained customers

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#296
post #90

Oh hey, they fixed it, - without destroying or imposing significant additional damage to any of the cargo - without destroying or imposing significant additional damage to the ship - without taking multiple weeks - without needing to ship a trillion dollars'+ worth of equipment halfway around the world It's refreshing to see high-end engineering performed so competently.

Some tug boats did sail in from far away places.

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#297
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well the biggest luck event in this case, is that there was a dredger pretty close to the ship. If you dont have a dredger and you need to ship one there we would have wait much more time

Knowing nothing about it, would it be safe to assume that the Suez Canal would always have a dredger around? Or is that not how that works?

Yeah, they have dredgers around for maintenance of the canal. This clip was from at least 6 months ago. https://youtu.be/P6st0k7KJmk

From the YouTube clip, it def seems like it's normal to see them when passing through the canal.

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#298

Lots of articles quote a $XXX billion dollars per day figure, but those numbers are normally for "worth of goods delayed" which, while interesting, doesn't tell the story to me. Are there any estimates as to the actual cost of this "mishap", due to e.g. spoilage, financial/contractual repercussions of late deliveries, personnel/fuel costs?

the livestock loss will be interesting to research as it was highlighted there was a significant number of ships carry live cargo.

Odd, the Sun has a great article on this floating job

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/14484562/suez-canal-ship-reflo...

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#299
post #252

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If we count only missed revenues for Egypt, this incident cost them about US$100 million. Canal revenues were US$27.2 billion in the last 5 years ( https://www.reuters.com/article/egypt-economy-suezcanal/egyp... ) which is US$15 million in revenues per day, and the canal was closed for 7 days.

It’s probably less than that because many transits would have just been delayed, not entirely cancelled.

They run the canal at maximum capacity indefinitely. Due to the lack of downtime, any delays are in effect the same thing as a cancel from the perspective of the canal owners.

Re: Suez Canal says traffic in channel resumes after stranded ship refloated

#300

Lots of articles quote a $XXX billion dollars per day figure, but those numbers are normally for "worth of goods delayed" which, while interesting, doesn't tell the story to me. Are there any estimates as to the actual cost of this "mishap", due to e.g. spoilage, financial/contractual repercussions of late deliveries, personnel/fuel costs?

There is a term for the cost of just holding something you can't move: the carrying costs. Different commodities have different carrying costs, so you can look at the forward prices for wheat, oil, pork bellies and so on and get a sense for how much it costs to hold on to something for a week or a month etc.

(On rare occasions the curve is inverted)

It won't tell you how much it costs this tanker to delay delivery by a week but it will tell you on average how much "the market" values a week's delay.

It is still a chore to go through and tally all the goods but I think a few main goods (oil, wheat, coffee etc) would account for a large chunk of it and if the carrying costs as a whole would give a sense of the order-of-magnitude of the economic loss.

The loss itself may be distributed between various risk sharing parties like insurance companies and so forth.

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