Since we're on the subject, how do people think the Tether situation will play out?
Some agency orders a freeze on Tether which triggers a panic of USDT -> BTC -> USD trades, creating a situation where 1 BTC = ~200K USDT and 1 BTC = ~20K USD. I don't expect this to happen in 2021.
The only way the Tether peg could possibly be realistic is if massive amounts of institutional investors were engaging in really unusual settlement procedures to buy into Tether. I've heard stories about Tether having it's investors operate accounts on it's behalf or something, which sounds incredibly farfetched compared to the more likely idea that they're just not bothering maintaining anything close to a reasonable reserve requirement for their peg. After all, nobody can really pull money out of Tether.