Ask HN: Predictions for 2021? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#421

Post by akritrime » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 1:18 PM UTC

sudhirj wrote: post #416

akritrime wrote: post #413

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hmm, I think I get your point. But still, I don't see if it will ever be as effective a market for individual creators as youtube.

It won't be a market, but it will be a living. Netflix can pay people a contract or a salary to produce content.

Yeah. But it is still Netflix controlling both end, they are just extending their supply chain to include more indie creators but at the end of the day who gets to get on the platform and how much they can earn isn't a direct function of that creator and their audience. That economy is not a directly individualistic economy like the other examples. But I would really like to see a mix of kickstarter and patreon for indie creators that can run parallel to the OTT platforms, enabling them to create more ambitious projects and enabling their audience to directly support it.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#422

Post by akritrime » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 1:24 PM UTC

sudhirj wrote: post #415

akritrime wrote: post #412

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the more savvy term for it is cloud kitchens.

Cloud kitchens are actual commercial kitchens run by corporations. Indie chefs just cook out of their own homes.

Ah, I was not aware of that distinction

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#423

Post by sudhirj » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 1:30 PM UTC

akritrime wrote: post #421

sudhirj wrote: post #416

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It won't be a market, but it will be a living. Netflix can pay people a contract or a salary to produce content.

Yeah. But it is still Netflix controlling both end, they are just extending their supply chain to include more indie creators but at the end of the day who gets to get on the platform and how much they can earn isn't a direct function of that creator and their audience. That economy is not a directly individualistic economy like the other examples. But I would really like to see a mix of kickstarter and patreon for i…

I think Kickstarter itself is a pretty popular way to get projects running https://www.studiobinder.com/blog/kickstarter-film-projects/

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#424

Post by akritrime » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 1:40 PM UTC

erik_seaberg wrote: post #417

akritrime wrote: post #412

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the more savvy term for it is cloud kitchens.

I think Kalanick (the Uber cofounder) trademarked that.

Any source on that? I tried searching for it, seems like Kalanick does have a new venture called CloudKitchens but can't find anything on whether the phrase 'cloud kitchen' itself is trademarked.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#425

Post by derangedHorse » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 1:42 PM UTC

yen223 wrote: post #41

csomar wrote: post #10

Historical 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 2017: none? 2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767 2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723 2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 2013: none? 2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201 2011: https://news.ycomb…

Click the link for 2020 cmd-f 'virus': 0 results Predictions are hard

To be fair, there were only 8 responses

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#426

Post by derangedHorse » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 2:19 PM UTC

* Increased tension with North Korea and China, with the latter making trade deal reforms that will cause a spike in the cost of tech

* New applications built on web assembly (like Figma) will emerge and previously

* A plan will be solidified for space travel to the moon and Jeff Bezos will pour more of his money into Blue Origin

* A new foldable iPhone will be released

* Tech exodus from California continues as tax laws mixed with the WFH paradigm shift makes the area less attractive to migrants

* Fake news will cause a major scandal with the advancement of deep fake technology and the proliferation of fake articles made by one of the ever-evolving language models

* Waymo will continue to expand to more cities and progress the state of self driving technologies in the US

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#427

Post by glenstein » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 3:51 PM UTC

whateveracct wrote: post #154

glenstein wrote: post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I want to believe, however I think Joe Manchin will stand in the way. I also think Joe Biden won't do anything to stop the filibuster.

Biden has nothing to do with the filibuster tho

Huh? He has everything to do with the filibuster.

He will work with Democratic senators to set their agenda during his term, and part of that is decisions regarding whether to keep the filibuster or whether to push to end it, or to work around it. He can express his will via the bully pulpit, and via communication & coordination with Senate Dems, the same way basically any president has been able to convey their agenda to the senate for as long as we've had presidents and senators.

Obama and Harry Reid had this exact conversation over whether to continue using a filibuster, and Obama listed it in his autobiography as a regret that he didn't accept Reid's suggestion to nuke the filibuster.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#428

Post by sjg007 » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 5:03 PM UTC

Covid gets worse, a lot worse especially in kids.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#429

Post by terse_malvolio » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 6:26 PM UTC

yen223 wrote: post #41

csomar wrote: post #10

Historical 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 2017: none? 2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767 2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723 2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 2013: none? 2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201 2011: https://news.ycomb…

Click the link for 2020 cmd-f 'virus': 0 results Predictions are hard

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_catastrophic_risk

This is older

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#430

Post by inigoalonso » Sat, Jan 02, 2021, 6:46 PM UTC

nnadams wrote: post #403

inigoalonso wrote: post #292

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you have anything publicly available to read about this project? Or any background on what inspired you?

We wanted to do more simulations with Simulink models to help cut back on physical prototypes. We started tracking time spent to get the results of these simulations. Most of our engineers' time was spent finding the right models, setting them up, and configuring these simulations. They didn't have much time left to do modeling and testing work. At first we just created some "Bill Of Models" to define systems and sim…

Thanks for the response, it is a very interesting approach, it sounds more practical than the typical MBSE way of building top down SysML diagrams and adding simulation models afterwards. Are your models liked to other product data in a PLM system or similar for traceability? I'm researching adjacent issues around the flexibility of product platforms and the integration of new technologies in later product variants and model-based approaches to decision making in that regard are fascinating.