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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#411

The economy will bifurcate into two sections: a corporate economy that builds platforms, and an individualist economy that uses those platform for creative purposes. Think YouTube + video creators, Spotify + artists, Netflix + more long tail video content, Substack + writers, TikTok + influencers, Doordash + indie chefs, Apple + indie developers. I believe this will feel like visible people are losing jobs and making…

Isn't Netflix the odd one out there? They control both the platform and the content.

They’re buying smaller and smaller projects as time goes by, catering to more niche audiences. They understand that they’re in a unique position to work the long tail. Having tiktok like individuals creating content on Netflix is the logical extension of their current strategy, alongside some shows with broader appeal.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#412
post #260

The economy will bifurcate into two sections: a corporate economy that builds platforms, and an individualist economy that uses those platform for creative purposes. Think YouTube + video creators, Spotify + artists, Netflix + more long tail video content, Substack + writers, TikTok + influencers, Doordash + indie chefs, Apple + indie developers. I believe this will feel like visible people are losing jobs and making…

Damn I never thought about indie chefs! I heard about ghost kitchens which I think is brilliant but building and promoting your individuality as a chef unlocks a whole new world of possibilities.

I think the more savvy term for it is cloud kitchens.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#413

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't Netflix the odd one out there? They control both the platform and the content.

They’re buying smaller and smaller projects as time goes by, catering to more niche audiences. They understand that they’re in a unique position to work the long tail. Having tiktok like individuals creating content on Netflix is the logical extension of their current strategy, alongside some shows with broader appeal.

Hmm, I think I get your point. But still, I don't see if it will ever be as effective a market for individual creators as youtube.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#415
post #260

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Damn I never thought about indie chefs! I heard about ghost kitchens which I think is brilliant but building and promoting your individuality as a chef unlocks a whole new world of possibilities.

I think the more savvy term for it is cloud kitchens.

Cloud kitchens are actual commercial kitchens run by corporations. Indie chefs just cook out of their own homes.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#416

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They’re buying smaller and smaller projects as time goes by, catering to more niche audiences. They understand that they’re in a unique position to work the long tail. Having tiktok like individuals creating content on Netflix is the logical extension of their current strategy, alongside some shows with broader appeal.

Hmm, I think I get your point. But still, I don't see if it will ever be as effective a market for individual creators as youtube.

It won't be a market, but it will be a living. Netflix can pay people a contract or a salary to produce content.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#417
post #260

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Damn I never thought about indie chefs! I heard about ghost kitchens which I think is brilliant but building and promoting your individuality as a chef unlocks a whole new world of possibilities.

I think the more savvy term for it is cloud kitchens.

I think Kalanick (the Uber cofounder) trademarked that.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#418
* Tesla FSD will kill someone causing a major development setback

* By the end of 2021 most cars will still use combustion engines

* A one-in-a-lifetime trip to space will become affordable for 5-10% of the population.

* Bitcoin will surpass $100k value

* Drone based delivery will not happen

* Nuclear fusion will not happen

* 25% of laptops will be using ARM

* Many small businesses will die. Amazon and other huge corporations will become even significantly bigger

* Jeff Bezos will be worth over $1T

* Facebook won't die but it will loose over 50% of it's users.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#419

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>A Reddit competitor emerges and wins majority marketshare So many have tried and failed already. I would really wish that to happen though.

What's wrong with Reddit?

I don't like the way the site is trying to force you to use the mobile app.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#420

Prolonged lockdowns and new habits kill 75% of small businesses and greatly increase inequality as the richest 10% stay at home saving/investing instead of spending. This will trigger an economic collapse which will bring down the eurozone. Germany will want country rated euros to avoid having to bail Italy. House prices in Europe will drop to a rent / value rate similar to the USA, as property owners scrap for money…

If I had a euro for every time I've heard a prediction of the collapse of the euro I'd be rich by now.

Let's hope a that a Euro collapse won't lead into the 3rd WW in 3-5 years. People have _very_ short memory and are very eager to point fingers at each other.
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