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Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

reuters.com

681–690 of 699 posts

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#681

It's interesting that this mentions lithium iron phosphate batteries as a "breakthrough technology". That echoes what BYD in China has been saying recently.[1] Lithium-iron isn't a new technology. It was popular for industrial power tools for a while. It is safer than lithium phosphate, not being prone to thermal runaway, but has less energy density. BYD has been able to get the energy density per unit volume up, but…

Foxconn is actually making a car platform themselves

https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Automobiles/Foxconn-aims-fo...

Tesla and others are already using LFP as well btw.

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#682
post #664

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes. Because there is theory and case studies to back how often a company like Toyota will fail to pivot

That's arguing only critically examining one side. How many theories and case studies are there documenting how a company failed to execute something it's never done before, and has no competency at?

too many to know about and count. Way more than the side I am highlighting. But this isn't just "a company", it is Apple. I know everyone doesn't believe in them, even if you ground yourself in their track record of execution.

I would also challenge the notion of "no competency at all". This isn't like a great chess player thinking they can use that skill to become a great football player. This is more like one of the best baseball players becoming a great football player [1]. Things are different but there exists a lot more similarities than you think. And if you are one of the greatest of all time (which is true for both Bo Jackson and Apple) there is a non-zero chance you can pull it off.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bo_Jackson

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#683

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I can assure you that only in the instrument cluster and the central console area you have the same amount of complexity as in a smartphone. Now add the rest of the car. Not only that but the regulatory standards of EV in US/EU/Asia varies so widely that I don't see how they can get a product to Market in less than 5-10 years unless they're just making EV clones of what is already out here or partner with a Manufac…

This is such a clueless comment. Tesla, a start-up with zero experience in cars managed to make cars without any issue at all and become one of the most popular luxury car makers in the world. So Apple, the world's most valuable company, isn't going to be able to make their own car? You're dreaming.

> without any issue at all and become one of the most popular luxury car makers in the world.

I've followed Tesla since the Roadster days, and I lost count how many times they've almost gone Bankrupt. The only one here that is clueless is you if you think it was without 'issue.' Hell, I worked for Kimbal who is on the Board at Tesla and he openly talks about how many times Tesla almost went under in the few interviews/podcasts he's been on. What echo chamber do you live in to think there was no issue?

> This is such a clueless comment.

I've been in Motorsports with close ties to manufactures since I was 17, and then went on to work for Volkswagen Audi Group (the largest manufacture of cars by scale) and then to BMW and then back to VW because of Diesel-gate, then Nissan in various capacities from technician to supply chain. Then I tried my hand at Tesla during Model 3 ramp up and saw FIRST HAND why/how the delay in ramp was occurring in 2017 with 2 trips to the Fremont Factory before deciding to decline and focus on SpaceX instead.

What experience do you have in that Industry to call it clueless?

I know Apple cultists are as rabid as Elon worshipers, but the two combined are completely toxic.

> I doubt anyone here would say Apple couldn't make their own car, but the idea of Apple mass manufacturing a brand new car in four years is a bit crazy. In your example, Tesla took nearly a decade of focus and half a billion in capital to begin small production of the Model S.

In 3 years? A prototype to build hype and take pre-orders that still needs all the regulatory compliance to be on the road ahead of it, sure; a refined 49-1 street legal product that's mass produced with scaled production line, distribution channels and supply chain to accommodate domestic, let alone international, deliveries: HELL NO!

Money alone won't buy you that, especially if COVID is still shutting/delaying down so many factories, International supply lines and look at the distribution system Tesla had to INVENT because it refused to play by the dealership system.

You FAANG guys live in an unrealistic bubble and think because it works for mobile/computers, and I laugh when I say 'works' because look at India, it should work for several ton vehicles with way more complexity and red tape than you can possibly imagine.

You're comparing vastly different Industries that have little to nothing in common.

Nissan just announced that it will be making its EVs in Japan [0] instead of Sunderland, so unless Apple decides to detract from its business model built on slave labour in Asia, chances are it will not happen.

0: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nissan-picks-japan-over-sunde...

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#684

Price: $250k Battery life: changes depending on if we have a new model Color: Rose gold or black

Also Apple gets a 30% cut of everything you buy while using the car. /s

The auto pilot also drives you to the most expensive store for each item that you need

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#685
post #664

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's arguing only critically examining one side. How many theories and case studies are there documenting how a company failed to execute something it's never done before, and has no competency at?

too many to know about and count. Way more than the side I am highlighting. But this isn't just "a company", it is Apple. I know everyone doesn't believe in them, even if you ground yourself in their track record of execution. I would also challenge the notion of "no competency at all". This isn't like a great chess player thinking they can use that skill to become a great football player. This is more like one of th…

> it is Apple [...] track record of execution

Granted! My personal guess is this turns out much like Google Fiber: a capital- and regulation-heavy endeavor that Apple (and their investors, used to tech margins) aren't culturally or financially willing to commit to for a long enough haul.

But an effort which eventually pays off by frightening existing players into cutting better partnership deals with Apple.

From a quick peek, Apple runs ~25% pre-tax margins. For reference, Ferrari has ~20%, as the highest in the industry. And ~10% or less seems standard.

So in the end, if Apple is more successful than Ferrari at selling vehicles profitably, they'll still be making less money than they're used to on the investment.

That doesn't seem like something investors are going to be willing to let Apple endlessly torch cash in pursuit of, competing against firms with decades of experience, when the alternative is returning it directly to them via dividends, buybacks, etc.

And that's not even getting into the optics of labor-relations with manufacturing that Apple would have to very publicly expose, vs their more hidden technology supply chain.

The more I think about this, the more it seems like the only viable "Apple car" is a limited-volume halo project, built on top of an existing manufacturer's platform -- which would mirror their approach to technology, in many ways.

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#686

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Let me help you. I offered "Lights" as a design requirement unique to vehicles with respect to phones. Without any explanation it leaves the door open to a surface level counter point "Phones also have lights" that requires a functioning brain and the most basic level of reasoning. Lights on modern vehicles (high beams, low beams, DRLs, blinkers, brake lights) are certainly not simple components, especially those on…

Lights are highly regulated but they're very straightforward regulations to follow. If you're not even going to bother to write out a sentence then it's not worth responding to it seriously, because it's hardly a reasonable objection in the first place; any random engineer could handle it solo.

Audi, BMW, GM, Ford dedicate entire teams to lighting, so no, a random engineer could not handle it solo.

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#687

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Let me help you. I offered "Lights" as a design requirement unique to vehicles with respect to phones. Without any explanation it leaves the door open to a surface level counter point "Phones also have lights" that requires a functioning brain and the most basic level of reasoning. Lights on modern vehicles (high beams, low beams, DRLs, blinkers, brake lights) are certainly not simple components, especially those on…

Lights are highly regulated but they're very straightforward regulations to follow. If you're not even going to bother to write out a sentence then it's not worth responding to it seriously, because it's hardly a reasonable objection in the first place; any random engineer could handle it solo.

I keep coming back to this in my head, thinking about how superficial this counterpoint is. Sure, if your requirement is that you pass regulatory muster, then lighting is "simple" in that you can buy an off the shelf bulb, socket, and housing. But those aren't the requirements. In reality, table stakes are LED DRLs, high beams and lowbeams. Matrix LEDs or laser lights that can mask out other vehicles using onboard IR sensors are becoming more common. Additionally there are styling requirements, such as computationally driven welcome and farewell patterns for lock/unlock, and trends to follow like light bars, super thin OLED strips etc.

A phone light is just a little LED you could buy for a dollar and put on your keychain.

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#688
post #685

Earlier quoted context omitted.

too many to know about and count. Way more than the side I am highlighting. But this isn't just "a company", it is Apple. I know everyone doesn't believe in them, even if you ground yourself in their track record of execution. I would also challenge the notion of "no competency at all". This isn't like a great chess player thinking they can use that skill to become a great football player. This is more like one of th…

> it is Apple [...] track record of execution Granted! My personal guess is this turns out much like Google Fiber: a capital- and regulation-heavy endeavor that Apple (and their investors, used to tech margins) aren't culturally or financially willing to commit to for a long enough haul. But an effort which eventually pays off by frightening existing players into cutting better partnership deals with Apple. From a qu…

I agree in the comparison with running communication wires from a capital intensive / regulation standpoint. I also agree that Google probably has similar chops as Apple for pulling something like this off. So the fact that Google essentially failed does speak to the point of Apple's success not being a sure thing.

A couple of things I would say to this, however:

1. Wired connection to home internet wasn't really in a period of disruption when Google entered the Fiber market. Google didn't really have an angle into the market. I think this was more typical Google arrogance driving this than strategic thinking. In this case, I would actually believe the purpose was to influence other players rather than capture meaningful market share with a unique product offering. It's quite an invisible product.

2. Apple doesn't run the business looking for revenue and margins. Apple looks for opportunities to build a substantially different product that fits Apple's values (privacy, safety, security, design, ease of use, etc). Everything about the car as a product experience, including its distribution is in massive transition right now. On a small level we see this with Tesla on the dealership vs direct to consumer model. On a larger scale we see this with ownership model altogether (ride hailing apps vs. the car in your driveway). The car is about to get rebuilt with microprocessors at the core, including machine learning, literally driving the whole experience.

Anyway, this is just a way of saying, we shouldn't take a financial snapshot of the car market today and try to fit Apple's model for success into it. The only reason they are getting into it is because everything about cars is going to change dramatically over the next 10 years.

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#689

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lights are highly regulated but they're very straightforward regulations to follow. If you're not even going to bother to write out a sentence then it's not worth responding to it seriously, because it's hardly a reasonable objection in the first place; any random engineer could handle it solo.

I keep coming back to this in my head, thinking about how superficial this counterpoint is. Sure, if your requirement is that you pass regulatory muster, then lighting is "simple" in that you can buy an off the shelf bulb, socket, and housing. But those aren't the requirements. In reality, table stakes are LED DRLs, high beams and lowbeams. Matrix LEDs or laser lights that can mask out other vehicles using onboard IR…

> Sure, if your requirement is that you pass regulatory muster, then lighting is "simple" in that you can buy an off the shelf bulb, socket, and housing. But those aren't the requirements.

Yes they are. You don't get to point to random fancy things and call them "requirements".

> A phone light is just a little LED you could buy for a dollar and put on your keychain.

You're taking "phones have lights" too seriously. It was a deliberately vague and useless rebuttal to a deliberately vague and useless point. The real answer is what I already said. Replicating the functionality of a bulb/socket/housing is not hard to such an extent that the only reason to bring up lights is for jokes. So the joke got a joke back.

Re: Apple targets car production by 2024, eyes ‘next level’ battery tech: sources

#690
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And I view the voice command thing as a thing to be avoided in most or all cases. I simply don’t want to talk to electronics. The privacy implications alone scare me away. No thanks.

> I simply don’t want to talk to electronics. The privacy implications alone scare me away. No thanks. I think you should consider the tradeoffs here. Practical safety on the road today, where I don't die because I'm fiddling with buttons, trumps theoretical unmeasurable fearmongering about vague privacy concerns. The reality is that if Tesla were to record every command I ever give the car and post them online again…

how well do voice commands work if there is loud music playing? what about when you are having a conversation with someone and you are the person talking? having to stop mid sentence to demist your windows or whatever sounds annoying
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