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Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

thehill.com

41–50 of 77 posts

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#41

I certainly intend to stay masked up post-jab(s). I think a month or so after the final dose it will be at the point where any viral load i might be spreading would be pretty much trustable to be at trivial levels, so that's my minimum duration. After that, I'll continue to follow public guidance from local health folks. I don't mind masking up for flights/travel for a bit, or whatever, either, if it shakes out that…

That’s an excellent point about the shoes that I hadn’t put together. I think the vast majority of us think the shoe thing is stupid but we do it cause it’s that or not fly. If only we could get mandated masks, I think we’d already be out of the woods. Although I regularly see <2 unmasked folks total in the grocery stores around me, it’s a fairly liberal area so I’m just rambling now so have a good safe holiday time.

You’re comparing taking off your shoes for less than a minute to putting on a mask anytime you leave the house?

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#42
post #23

I've seen this point made repeatedly, but haven't seen what scientists think is LIKELY -- based on similar vaccines, based on initial data, whatever. I don't know if scientists GENUINELY have no clue, or if maybe we think it'll likely be good news but can't say it yet because we're worried that people will get a vaccine and then behave irresponsibly. It sounds like we're going to start giving this vaccine out without…

The less questionable information that circulates, the better. There are already many conspiracy theories about this vaccine. Scientists shouldn't be out there causing more confusion or giving people a kernel of doubt that they can blow up into another conspiracy theory.

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#44

I certainly intend to stay masked up post-jab(s). I think a month or so after the final dose it will be at the point where any viral load i might be spreading would be pretty much trustable to be at trivial levels, so that's my minimum duration. After that, I'll continue to follow public guidance from local health folks. I don't mind masking up for flights/travel for a bit, or whatever, either, if it shakes out that…

That’s an excellent point about the shoes that I hadn’t put together. I think the vast majority of us think the shoe thing is stupid but we do it cause it’s that or not fly. If only we could get mandated masks, I think we’d already be out of the woods. Although I regularly see <2 unmasked folks total in the grocery stores around me, it’s a fairly liberal area so I’m just rambling now so have a good safe holiday time.

The mask mandate personal choice indignation really cracks me up. Try buying a gallon of milk without pants.

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#45

I certainly intend to stay masked up post-jab(s). I think a month or so after the final dose it will be at the point where any viral load i might be spreading would be pretty much trustable to be at trivial levels, so that's my minimum duration. After that, I'll continue to follow public guidance from local health folks. I don't mind masking up for flights/travel for a bit, or whatever, either, if it shakes out that…

> wear a mask because it works

It doesn't. The masks are there only for psychological comfort, they're no more effective in preventing an autoimmune disease like covid than a tin foil hat.

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#46
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Millions. There will be millions of needless deaths. Without containment measures, you no longer have hospitals (either they're full, or the staff are burned out and quit, probably both) for any life-threatening conditions. The staff thing is the one people seem to completely not get: hospital staff are under absolutely no obligations to keep working overtime shifts. They can in fact simply decide "I'm done" walk off…

> Without containment measures, you no longer have hospitals (either they're full, or the staff are burned out and quit, probably both) for any life-threatening conditions. Doesn't seem to be the case so far in Sweden. In fact Minnesota's per-capita rate of COVID deaths just surpassed Sweden's even though they've done much more in the way of lockdowns. Seem to be some confounding variables at play here besides "are y…

> Doesn't seem to be the case so far in Sweden. In fact Minnesota's per-capita rate of COVID deaths just surpassed Sweden's even though they've done much more in the way of lockdowns.

According to Oxford and NYTimes, Minnesota has relatively lax lockdowns compared to other states: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/18/us/covid-stat.... States in the US with more lockdowns also have lower hospitalization and case rates, which suggests that lockdowns are at least correlated with lower infections. To prove causation, you might want more evidence, but to me the mechanism of how lockdowns prevent infections is pretty clear.

> The degree of hospital overcrowding seems overstated at the moment: https://twitter.com/tlowdon/status/1334565211148152832

This is lazy analysis. Like another responder said, national averages don't matter much when individual cities are being overwhelmed. A tech analogy: You can't say that your service is healthy just because its median latency is 50ms. If the p99 latency is a minute, then your service has performance issues.

Second, because of containment measures, the prevalence of the cold and flu (and other contagious diseases) has also gone down. 2019 is not the correct baseline to make a comparison -- 2019 with lockdowns (and no COVID) would be.

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#47

I certainly intend to stay masked up post-jab(s). I think a month or so after the final dose it will be at the point where any viral load i might be spreading would be pretty much trustable to be at trivial levels, so that's my minimum duration. After that, I'll continue to follow public guidance from local health folks. I don't mind masking up for flights/travel for a bit, or whatever, either, if it shakes out that…

> wear a mask because it works It doesn't. The masks are there only for psychological comfort, they're no more effective in preventing an autoimmune disease like covid than a tin foil hat.

There's a clever little meme floating about showing a perfectly normal, happy, healthy, unmasked family with the caption "conspiracy theorists" and then in the adjacent panel a visibly paranoid person with a mask and face shield captioned "normal person".

Cheap, but clever.

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#48
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Until now the line I have kept hearing is that there is no such thing as herd immunity except that which is realized through universal immunization. You were either hearing the wrong information or misunderstanding it. Herd immunity is absolutely real, and can occur if a virus infects enough people (or enough people are vaccinated). When more people are immune, it will be harder for the virus to spread to a new hos…

Herd immunity through infection without a vaccine has never been a serious concept. The scientific community only produced any literature on it in response to requests by governments about what would happen if they did absolutely nothing.

I agree: herd immunity through infection without a vaccine has never been seriously accepted by the scientific community.

However, that has not stopped Trump from alluding to a herd immunity approach: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/29/trumps-be...

During his town hall before the election, Trump even claimed that "over period of time... [developing] a herd mentality" would cause the coronavirus to "go away." From context, a reasonable viewer could assume that Trump meant "herd immunity."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucelee/2020/09/16/trump-says-...

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#49
post #5
post #4

The analogy I like to use is shoes. We wear shoes and walk in muddy patches. Your feet are fine. But wherever you go, you shed the mud. Now imagine the mud is the virus. Shoes are antibodies (vaccine). Not an exact comparison, but helps explain.

Does the time during which you are contagious change if you are vaccinated?

Shortening is a likely outcome. But in theory it's even possible that the immune response prepared by the vaccine only prevents virus spread to organs where we notice symptoms but does not clear out those places that the virus colonizes during the pre-symptomatic infectivity phase that seems to be the super-power of this particular virus. And that this success prevents another immune response that would otherwise clear out those spreading springboards. Of course this perfect storm of what could be called "vaccine enhanced infectivity" is an extremely unlikely scenario, but at least weak forms of it that cause longer infectivity, but not much longer or even permanent infectivity could remain undetected for years.

The reason for all this uncertainty is simple: testing for infectivity doesn't scale, definitely not enough to continuously observe test groups large enough to experience cases.

But Ithink there is hope: chances are someone is designing a study that recruits a number vaccinated that live together with someone unvaccinated. Then in case their unvaccinated peer falls ill you can observe the vaccinated one, that should be well in the test scaling envelope. We know the attack rate in unvaccinated households and can compare.

Re: Pfizer chairman: We're not sure if someone can transmit Covid after vaccination

#50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> wear a mask because it works It doesn't. The masks are there only for psychological comfort, they're no more effective in preventing an autoimmune disease like covid than a tin foil hat.

There's a clever little meme floating about showing a perfectly normal, happy, healthy, unmasked family with the caption "conspiracy theorists" and then in the adjacent panel a visibly paranoid person with a mask and face shield captioned "normal person". Cheap, but clever.

Uh, this is probably a cultural thing, but I don't get it? Can you please explain it to me? As in, what's "cheap but clever" about it?
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