401–410 of 565 posts
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You’ve got data to back that up?
https://www.essence.com/news/politics/55-percent-white-women...
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This is based on exit polls. Exit polls only interview people who vote in person, which may be generally be useful, but in this election are an enormously systematically biased slice of the electorate. You really can't base any generalizations beyond the in-person voting segment based on them.
> This is based on exit polls. Are there some other measurements based on something else, or is it something we now can never know as a result of mail in ballots having no polling and an expected different statistical distribution?
Who replies honestly to political question to random strangers? I know I don't. What's the benefit of letting anyone know where you stand politically at this point? None. It's much more likely - no matter which side you're for - that the person asking could have an adverse reaction. Things are just way too polarized now, not sure how that can change, but that's how it is. I mean outside friends/family I simply take a…
I for one want to engage at a level where the cost/benefit at most allows an 'opponent' to reevaluate their stance. At least, I can understand a thread of reasoning that is alien to me.
I understand engaging in a radius of reason. I implore you to build relationships that necessitate constructive debate.
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Where does the "elite" factor in? As a rough approximation, almost everyone in your social circles having a college degree.
Except that’s really not what the statistics show. Republicans gain a majority of support from high school graduates, individuals with some college experience, and college graduates. People without a high school degree or with a post graduate degree favor Democrats. An individual’s likelihood of being a Democrat decreases with every additional dollar he or she earns. Democrats have a huge advantage (63 percent) with…
"In the 2016 election, a wide gap in presidential preferences emerged between those with and without a college degree. College graduates backed Clinton by a 9-point margin (52%-43%), while those without a college degree backed Trump 52%-44%. This is by far the widest gap in support among college graduates and non-college graduates in exit polls dating back to 1980."
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/09/behind-trum...
I get that most of the polling error benefited Trump, and the industry needs to reflect on why that happened and how to prevent underestimating republicans again in the future, but I don't yet buy the narratives that "the polls got it wrong."
Maybe it doesn't really matter much. I mean, sure, we need some amount of polling because it informs decisions such as who gets to participate in televised debates, etc. But other than that, what does the general public get out of polling? It's a spectator sport. In the end, all that matters is the votes, and people should really be encouraged to remember this. I'd think 2016 and 2020 would be a healthy reminder of t…
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/2020/10/poll-incr...
https://www.statnews.com/pharmalot/2020/10/19/covid19-corona...
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Also rural areas see much less of the impact that government has. They see less infrastructure, they see less of the masses of students that have to be educated, etc. They tend to be pro-small government because they don't have a daily view of the impact government has on daily life. I don't view that as gullible, I view that as a perspective that is incomplete due to geographical circumstances. And I am sure that's…
To be clear, rural areas receive more federal support, but it’s farm subsidies, not visible infrastructure.
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The thing that not enough people bring up is the rampant robocalling. Before I left the US around a year and a half ago, I was getting 2-3 calls a day. Basically, if I ever got a call from a number not in my contact list, I would never answer. I know I'm not the only one like this, but I don't have any numbers to back it up. Even in Germany where robocalling seemingly doesn't exist, I still have this reflex, so it ma…
When I lived in the U.S., the do-not-call register worked pretty well. It wasn't perfect, but it dropped the unsolicited calls from several per day to a couple of times per month.
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Do you think the bulk of voters for Trump believe one of these things? He won a considerable number of votes.
I think a large proportion of Trump voters believe parts of QAnon-pushed conspiracy theories - especially that he is "taking on a Deep State conspiracy", and data indicates some support for that[1][2]. Surely they don't believe the "blood drinking paedophile" part though? It seems outrageous, and yet I know a bunch of people on HN believed PizzaGate back in 2016, so maybe I'm underestimating it. [1] https://www.usato…