If it’s as effective as Trump’s experience has shown, this could have the potential of saving many or most of the US deaths going forward.
Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
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Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#12We'll likely have a cohort of patients, like "Americans alive during 2020-2021", that'll be greatly impacted by health issues as they get older if we don't figure out how to mitigate long-term impacts.
Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#13Summary: > Studying changes in death rate is tricky because although the overall U.S. death rate for COVID-19 seems to be dropping, the drop coincides with a change in whom the disease is sickening. > So have death rates dropped because of improvements in treatments? Or is it because of the change in who's getting sick? > To find out, Horwitz and her colleagues looked at more than 5,000 hospitalizations in the NYU La…
Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#14Most people didn't die with Polio... they were somehow crippled for life... I suspect the same is true with Covid-19.
We need to eliminate it, not manage it.
Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#15Now if only we could drill this lesson into everyone's head.
Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#16Its crazy they didn't talk about testing. In April if you were a 25 year old with a mild cough you couldn't get a test even if you begged for one. Now you can get a test easily, its little wonder the denominator has gone up a lot. Edit: Yeah I see its hospitalized and they tried to control. I'm not convinced its a useful study but at least dont upvote this.
It is not measuring mild cases, its measuring people who are severe enough to require hospitilasation. This is clearly showing we are improving in the treatment of the disease.
Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#17Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#18Earlier quoted context omitted.
Thanks! > mortality has dropped among hospitalized patients by 18 percentage points since the pandemic began. Patients in the study had a 25.6% chance of dying at the start of the pandemic; they now have a 7.6% chance. It's strange to phraseit like that; I would have phrased it as "mortality has dropped by a factor of 3"
I prefer the original - it tells me that 18% of all hospitalised patients are alive today where they would not have been before. Yours tells me 2/3 of them that were dying are no longer, but it puts me on edge like I might be being baited into clicking - a 2/3 drop isn't necessarily impressive, like in normal times if 0.5% of ED patients are dying, dropping by a factor of three might just be the difference between a…
Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#19Great news! What about long-term impacts, like damage to the lungs or heart? We'll likely have a cohort of patients, like "Americans alive during 2020-2021", that'll be greatly impacted by health issues as they get older if we don't figure out how to mitigate long-term impacts.
https://eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-09/elf-cps090320.ph...
Re: Studies Point to Big Drop in Covid-19 Death Rates
#20https://ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths#what-is-the-daily-nu...
First graph is global deaths daily. Pretty linear to me.
Second grapn is per country/continent.
Third graph plots cases vs deaths.
From this it seems that we detect more cases but same amount of people are dying.
We are testing more. Thats it sadly.
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