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We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

thebellows.org

21–30 of 397 posts

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#21
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't see what you base your claims of unquestionably better results for the costs and risks on? Current nuclear energy production is quite expensive, it's on par with the costs for offshore wind iirc. The risks, well... Privately insuring a nuclear power plant is pretty much impossible from a cost perspective. That's why governments, the tax payers in other words, have to assume the full risk in case something goe…

Why are we talking cost and not the pollution footprint.

Because people want easy answers and don't want to look at inconvenient facts. That mindset will destroy humanity.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#23
post #11

> "Solar panels produce ~300x more waste than nuclear reactors when providing the same amount of energy." Didn't know it was so much better. That's awesome. I'm happy to read recent developments in the approval for small nuclear reactors. Hope to see this stuff become more popular.

Totally different type of waste.

Both are toxic waste, but one often ends up in landfill or flytipped, and the other is safely contained underground because its developers are legally obliged to plan for its disposal and long-term storage as part of the design process.

The cost of disposal is often ignored when pricing solar (PV).

https://stopthesethings.com/2020/10/10/lingering-legacy-mill...

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#24
post #7

Why Renewables Aren't the Reason for California Blackouts: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/08/why-renew... LCOE of various energy sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_source#... https://neon.energy/Hirth-Ueckerdt-Edenhofer-2015-Integratio... suggests that wind energy has up to 50% higher "real" cost than typical LCOE measurements because of variability, however, this still put…

The National Geographic article attempts to make the point that the problems in CA aren’t fundamentally an issue with renewables.

CA’s specific mishandling of their push for a renewable-heavy power supply is the cause, but renewables aren’t inherently the cause.

This is technically true in a way, while denying the reality of the situation on the ground in CA.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#25

It seems very unlikely to me that there will ever be sufficient desire for fission based power in most countries, no matter how safe scientists say it is. I still think nuclear power will be important. It seems plausible that governments will continue to fund research into fusion power but I am doubtful that much more money could be raised than was raised for ITER, especially as the results from ITER will not be part…

>the way to make fusion generate power more efficiently without changing the underlying technology is to make it bigger

Actually there was a front page item on here a couple of weeks ago showing that there's a new superconductor that can generate a stronger magnetic field, which will allow new, much smaller fusion reactors. So according to the guy from MIT who gave the talk, ITER is already obsolete technology.

Having said that, with fusion, it looks like every time they have a breakthrough, they find a new limiting factor when then takes billions to overcome, rinse and repeat.

It's amazing in theory but we have yet to achieve a fusion reaction that is energy positive and the path to that is still fraught. In theory with these Lithium neutron blankets you can even create your own fuel (Assuming Deuterim-Tritium reaction) but the hurdles are still insanely high to get something that's actually practical.

Also, I believe fission and fusion can be synergistic in that you can have a fission reactor that not only produces energy, but it produces some of the fuel for the fusion.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#26

> "Solar panels produce ~300x more waste than nuclear reactors when providing the same amount of energy." Didn't know it was so much better. That's awesome. I'm happy to read recent developments in the approval for small nuclear reactors. Hope to see this stuff become more popular.

Would you think that the waste type from solar panels is comparable to the waste type from nuclear?

Yes, less amount and quicker to decay.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#27
post #11

> "Solar panels produce ~300x more waste than nuclear reactors when providing the same amount of energy." Didn't know it was so much better. That's awesome. I'm happy to read recent developments in the approval for small nuclear reactors. Hope to see this stuff become more popular.

Totally different type of waste.

Indeed, one is the kind of waste you can drop a few oil drums of into Yucca Mountain and never have to worry about it again.

On the other hand wind requires huge quantities of rare earth metals mined in open-air hellscapes in the far western reaches of China -- devastating the environment [1, 2]. So, why is it all mined in China you might ask, knowing rare earths are distributed all over the world? Specifically because developed nations are not interested in bearing the ecological burden.

Solar panels frequently contain cadmium and tellurium, which both have to be mined (see above) and then leech out into the environment [3].

Then there's the human toll. Nuclear energy ends up with about 1/4 as many deaths per TWh generated as wind, 1/10 as many as rooftop solar, and 1/2 as many as industrial solar. [4]

[edit] The nice thing about nuclear waste is that radiation is easy to detect. All you need is a Geiger counter and some lead underpants. Cadmium, tellurium, the run-off from refining rare earths? That's what I'm really scared of.

[1] https://earth.org/rare-earth-mining-has-devastated-chinas-en...

[2] https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/aug/07/china-ra...

[3] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5607867/

[4] https://ourworldindata.org/safest-sources-of-energy

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#28
post #7

Why Renewables Aren't the Reason for California Blackouts: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/08/why-renew... LCOE of various energy sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_source#... https://neon.energy/Hirth-Ueckerdt-Edenhofer-2015-Integratio... suggests that wind energy has up to 50% higher "real" cost than typical LCOE measurements because of variability, however, this still put…

Is the higher cost for nuclear related to the high regulation put in place? Are the low costs for solar and wind using subsidies and considering lifetime/replacement/disposal?

Don’t know. Actually asking.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#29
From the article: "No nuclear energy program has ever launched without heavy state intervention — the capital costs are just too high for private entities to take on."

I think this misses the real reason. High capital costs are no barrier to private financing as long as the eventual profits will accrue to the investors. But in this highly-regulated industry, investors can't put money into nuclear plants thinking that in 20 years there will be a high demand, and they'll be able to charge a high price for power. Once the time comes, the regulators will likely decide that they can charge only a "fair" price. And that's assuming that they actually get to build and operate the plant - there's a substantial chance that political winds will change, and the plant ends up being banned or regulated to the extent that it's effectively banned. Government financing is the only solution to this problem, which is created by the existence of government.

We see the same thing in Canada now with pipeline construction - only government can finance them due to the government being capable of destroying any private company that tries to build them.

Re: We Need a Nuclear New Deal, Not a Green New Deal

#30
First off, you can have both. Green new deal doesn't ban reactors or anything.

Second, I'm on the fence over whether I support more reactors and not because nuclear==bad. I trust the technology, but my concern is whether we can maintain a stable political environment for the decades/hundred years required to responsibly take care of nuclear.

Buying into a fission reactor means you pay billions up front, but you also promise to pay billions in upkeep, and then pay billions for decomissioning. If you aren't willing to do that upkeep or clean up after yourself then you can cause a radiological disaster.

What happens if we have a majority government that refuses to believe in the long term effects of radiation damage even as scientists explain to them over and over again what will happen? They just don't see why we should be spending that amount of money on reactor decomissioning or on upkeep and don't want to be seen as the one spending taxpayer money on something so costly. What if they decide to cut nuclear safety programs in a political stunt? I wish I could say that I know that won't happen, but on the hundred years in the future scale I'm just not sure.

Nuclear is amazing and could solve all of our short term energy needs, but it's ultimately people and our political structures that I don't trust, not the science.

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