Earlier quoted context omitted.
i see ~$83b valuation, and ~500m active users, putting it at around $166/user
Is a valuation actually given with the expectation that they'll make that amount of money each year?
Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
11–20 of 26 posts
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#12Earlier quoted context omitted.
Is a valuation actually given with the expectation that they'll make that amount of money each year?
The value of a stock is the total future profit of a company priced in today's dollars.
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#13This is coming from a guy that couldn't get their app to work. Every time I try to take my picture, the app crashes. But I don't think that really matters.
Isn't this the same community that proclaims, if you are not embarrassed with your initial product release, then you haven't released it early enough. ?
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#14Simple Valuation Breakdown: Take $80 billion and divide it by an EBITDA multiple of 10 = $8 billion. Divide that by 400m users, for $20 profit/user each year.
EDIT: EBITDA: Earning before income tax depreciation and amortization.
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#15Earlier quoted context omitted.
Where are you getting $5k/user/year?
I just pulled it out of the air for dramatic purposes.
They claim 500MM active users. Assume that's a total lie, and it's 50MM. Assume their valuation is 100 billion (twice the Goldman round).
Let's also assume that they hit a P/E ratio of, oh, 10. (Google's at 22, Apple 19, Yahoo 18, so 10 is really low.)
So to hit a 100b valuation, they'd need to earn 10b annually, or $200/user.
$200/user is on the high end, but reasonable, at least as far as U.S. users are concerned.
(For what it's worth: Twitter would have been a good example, I think.)
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#16Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#17Earlier quoted context omitted.
I just pulled it out of the air for dramatic purposes.
Yeah, but your drama is way off. They claim 500MM active users. Assume that's a total lie, and it's 50MM. Assume their valuation is 100 billion (twice the Goldman round). Let's also assume that they hit a P/E ratio of, oh, 10. (Google's at 22, Apple 19, Yahoo 18, so 10 is really low.) So to hit a 100b valuation, they'd need to earn 10b annually, or $200/user. $200/user is on the high end, but reasonable, at least as…
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#18How come everyone misses the fact that the app doesn't make the company. I think color actually redefines "social". If these guys are successful in executing their vision, their current valuation will seem a no-brainer. I seriously don't understand all the negativity and backlash around their launch. This is coming from a guy that couldn't get their app to work. Every time I try to take my picture, the app crashes. B…
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#19How come everyone misses the fact that the app doesn't make the company. I think color actually redefines "social". If these guys are successful in executing their vision, their current valuation will seem a no-brainer. I seriously don't understand all the negativity and backlash around their launch. This is coming from a guy that couldn't get their app to work. Every time I try to take my picture, the app crashes. B…
All of the startup mantras hacker news recites go out the window if you raise lots of capital, apparently.
Re: Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble
#20Earlier quoted context omitted.
All of the startup mantras hacker news recites go out the window if you raise lots of capital, apparently.
And they should. There's a big difference between two guys renting a house and living of their savings accounts pre-launch and 41 million dollars and 27 employees pre-launch.