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Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

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51–60 of 88 posts

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#51
post #44
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Another: * They tie big names into the firm to get credibility. Hire them into the board, or pay them good money for short term consulting gigs. Examples: 1) Gen. James Mattis was in Theranos board. So was Henry Kissinger and George Shultz. 2) Enron paid Paul Krugman $50,000 to attend at least two times in advisory board meetings, nothing related to Enron business. What Enron really bought was the ability to say Paul…

The book on Theranos (Bad Blood) actually makes the argument that no “real” big names were in Theranos: Kissinger, Mattis and Schultz knew nothing about health care or medicin. They are/were career politicians. The book argues investors with actual experience in the industry staid far away.

Could briefly comment what you think I meant with big name?

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#52
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wirecard was the biggest bank of the 4th biggest economy. So I inferred some systemic issues here.

Isn't Deutsche Bank the largest bank in Germany?

Right now it is again. Deutsche Bank has a market cap of around € 17 billion, Wirecard has (as of writing this) around € 3 billion.

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#53
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're inferring way too much from a couple of failed investments.

Wirecard was the biggest bank of the 4th biggest economy. So I inferred some systemic issues here.

Biggest by market value - and that‘s because it was considered a tech company rather than a bank.

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#54
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> And while Manfred Schmider went to jail for a couple of years he apparently still managed to move a lot of his assets overseas and comfortably lives on Mallorca today. This stuff makes my blood boil. I continue to be astounded that this seems to be the default.

It signals to a lot of us that there are very different rules when playing on the "elite" level of the economy. When you amass power enough through capital our current system definitely tips over to be lenient against them, and the longer I live the more I feel it's not necessarily by design but definitely this hole is left open in the capitalist system on purpose. This is one of the reasons why I feel that over time…

> "eating the rich"

Thats an unfortunate side-effect of a weak justice system. I believe the "eating the rich" attitude is very unhelpful. We need entrepreneurs, we need startups. If rich people are the problem, that would mean that every time a new business is founded, the world becomes a little worse. This is obviously not the case.

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#55

I personally know people, who invested considerable amounts of money into Wirecard after the COVID-19 crash and even one, who invested last week on the day the stock took its first dip. At the first point in time the shortselling, the FT articles and the ongoing BAFIN investigation were known. At the second point in time it was known, that they hired there buddies from KPMG, who could not find anything wrong, but eve…

I mean, yeah, as you point out with TINA, can you really blame them? When the Federal Reserve essentially states that it will engage in any amount of QE to keep equities afloat, how is that not a pyramid scheme?

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#56
post #43
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Unfortunately the same reasoning could be applied to Hertz selling stock in a bankrupt company, which would have been impossible 5-10 years ago, but maybe even a few months ago. I think the markets have been completely messed up by stimulus since 2008, and it's only getting worse. Governments are buying company bonds for gods sake. Stocks aren't about market pricing any more. They are some vanity metric that governme…

> I think the markets have been completely messed up by stimulus since 2008 Maybe, but OTOH the stock market returns are actually no different from pre 2008 (S&P500 in this case): https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-re...

That's a symptom of the problem GP is alleging, though: of companies obtaining returns by mooching off the free capital provided at taxpayer expense to grow your market share at the expense of others... rather earning them them by doing hard work to build businesses that earn their profits, while paying the real costs that your unsubsidized competitors have to pay themselves.

There's been real disruption since 2008. Stock market returns don't show it, and they should. The efficient allocation of society's capital depends on honesty and fairness here, and instead this gap is papered over by government intervention, meant first and foremost to prop up politicians' careers, in an unsustainable sham. It will go better for society if we are honest about it than if we wait for everything to collapse when we are truly put to a test and find there is nothing to our prosperity but a mirage.

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#57
post #23
post #12

Is there a good summary of Wirecard for those of us who haven't been paying attention? Was it an inherently fraudulent business, or a regular payment processor whose managers were skimming, or what?

Unknown. The company now claims they got defrauded themselves, but like the OP says, that's weak sauce. It looks like the company was completely fradulent forever. Interesting and more clear cut is the role of the German financial authorities, as they protected that companies for all those years they either are either completely incompetent or completely corrupt.

Earlier today, WC admited that the money "most likely never existed".

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#58
>My personal highlight of the report was an M&A transaction where Wirecard bought a company in India from an SPV for 300 mn USD that was acquired just one month before for 30 mn USD. Wirecard claimed that they didn’t know who the ultimate beneficiary of the sales price was. If I ever have seen something looking like explicit money laundering at a DAX company then it was this transaction.

Found a report that covers this: https://www.asianage.com/metros/delhi/180319/acquisition-of-...

And another from the date of the acquisition: https://www.medianama.com/2015/10/223-wirecard-great-indian-...

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#59
post #11
post #2

> Lessons to be learned * even a pretty obvious fraud can go on much longer than one would think if the organizers are ruthless enough. My original short position would have gone against me 25x over 12 years and the share price even after today’s disaster would be higher than back in 2008 (just to be clear: the company is worth ZERO in my opinion) * a company that goes against people who write negative articles as ag…

amusingly: back in 2019, when journalists pointed out irregularaties in the company's accounts, the German Financial regulator's reaction was to ban short selling of their shares... and then issue legal proceedings against the journalists > On Monday, BaFin banned further short selling of shares in Wirecard, the Dax-listed payments services group. The stock has dropped steeply after FT reports raised questions over t…

Non-paywalled version: https://archive.vn/VAuC7

Re: Wirecard – The “German Enron”, and a personal history

#60
post #2

> Lessons to be learned * even a pretty obvious fraud can go on much longer than one would think if the organizers are ruthless enough. My original short position would have gone against me 25x over 12 years and the share price even after today’s disaster would be higher than back in 2008 (just to be clear: the company is worth ZERO in my opinion) * a company that goes against people who write negative articles as ag…

You forgot the two last ones including "The German BAFIN is not very smart and German financial regulation is substandard", which is a pretty big lesson for the biggest economy in Europe.

Makes the chances of Frankfurt being a Candidate for big companies moving staff from the City even less.

I suspect that Alex in the daily telegraph will be commenting on this shortly.

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