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America is giving up on the pandemic?

theatlantic.com

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Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#961
post #205

My read of the CDCs numbers [0] seems to suggest to me that the CDC thinks 25M in the US have HAD the virus. It's also likely that the people willing to protest probably are among those that already caught it, so infection spreading may actually be minimal. 0 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...

That's a big gamble.

Yeah I'm not totally convinced myself of the CDCs numbers, and there's probably going to be consequences in a couple weeks.

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#962
post #904

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The one where police stopped us from going grocery shopping was exactly one week before, so it's not that far back. It's still not allowed to have mass protests, no matter the cause.

You mentioned to be stopped by police and to be told to not go to the demo. Theydidn't stop you from going shopping, at least you didn't say so earlier. Seems to be two different things. All assemblies have to be registered upfront, regardless of COVID-19. SO if the assembly isn't permited, police will break it up. Happened more than once in the last weeks, didn't it? So I doubt your last point.

They closed down a ridiculously big area and were stopping people. I had no issue with that, but there were also other people not planning to go to the demo that were quite upset and were arguing with the police. Thing is that in the end this is just double standards, for some cases where you have some weirdos that were well under their 1000 limit, you stop to question residents and block streets for the entire Theresienwiese area, and for the other demo which was officially registered for something like 250-500 people and 25000 join, all is good.

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#963
post #723

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Please don't take HN threads further into flamewar. This is one of the commonest and most inflammatory clichés of race war that exists, so your comment reads like concern trolling. https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Thank you for taking the time for an individual reply. The thread was young and I was genuinely baffled, as I do not get much exposure to this type of... thinking in my daily life. I regretted my engagement the moment the response came back :(

I believe you that it was unintentional. In my experience, most of what looks like trolling actually is, which is why I try to use qualifying language like "reads like". Unfortunately, the troll effects are the same regardless of intent, and effects / likely effects are what we have to moderate by. https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que...

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#964
post #250

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But it's not a "silly number game", it's a very serious analysis of numbers that should be done to try to determine whether certain conclusions are accurate or inaccurate. Otherwise we have only anecdotes and narratives. Edit: I can make no claim of being a statistician. My statistical arguments probably have some holes in them. But I will at least say that the numbers that I've looked at seem to me to be sufficient…

You're stopping short of spelling out your conclusion. The aims of the protests are to shine a spotlight on police brutality and qualified immunity / defund the police / ensure that killer cops are prosecuted / damage property in pursuit of anarchy / score a new TV / whatever. It's all fairly clear and makes enough sense. Your idea, however, leaves us with nothing but a knowing look and an appeal to not trust the nar…

Thank you, I haven't been able to articulate this line of thought recently

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#965

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No. Unemployment is generally regarded as a public health risk, beyond the immediate insurance consequences. There will moreover be people who suffer long-term impacts that these short-term payments can only partially mitigate.

Unemployment is not the real problem there—people not having money is. If the government would continue—and increase—the individual stimulus checks, it would matter much, much less how long the lockdown must continue. People would still be able to support themselves and keep themselves healthy.

The career damage from forced unemployment lasts longer than an unemployment check.

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#966
post #312

Just wanted to add that the abolish the police sentiment isnt as inane as it sounds on the surface. Abolish the police is about taking away responsibilities that police have today and giving them to people more suitable. Police - people trained for aggression with weapons to stop violent criminals should not be handling: 1) mental health 2) homeless 3) drug addiction 4) domestic violence 5) traffic stops etc etc They…

Unfortunately, items 1, 3, 4, and 5 are all extremely dangerous. The Not Police would be in grave danger. There is a reason that the Police Police are armed. That guy on drugs could stab you, you could pull a car over and that person could have a gun, you could go to stop domestic violence and get attacked. Police brutality goes up proportionately with violent crime in their area. In other words, the more police deal…

I admit that I also fell for some of the police union marketing material and automatically assumed that being a police officer in the US must be one of the most dangerous and deadly professions, however, the numbers from BLS don't back that up. It isn't even in the top 10: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/27/the-10-most-dangerous-jobs-i...

So, I believe as a public we have been misinformed on how deadly it is to actually be a police officer in the US, and this is somehow used to justify extra-judicial killings of potentially innocent civilians. You certainly don't see loggers and roofers unions talking about how they are the "thin brown line" protecting society from the dangers of uncut trees and leaky roofs.

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#967

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Also, don't forget to wash your hands. We don't yet know how effective masks are but we have mountains of evidence showing that hand washing works.

My prediction is that hand washing turns out to be unimportant. I believe the vast majority of cases are transmitted by respiration, and the recent news that super-spreaders dominate transmission will eventually find that they spread the disease by air, not by contact or fomites. I have yet to see any evidence that washing hands reduces transmission by any significant amount (say 5%).

If you are right then covid 19 doesn't work like any other virus that spread via droplet transmission or even like any other virus in the corona family. I.e I don't think you are right. :)

There is ample evidence showing that hand washing reduces the spread for viruses that are similar to covid 19.

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#968
post #8
post #3

A thing I've noticed is that they stopped mentioning the daily numbers on the radio (NPR, more specifically Iowa Public Radio). It's sort of like the media has extracted all the juice they can from the pandemic and now we're just left with the pulpy mess that no one really wants to deal with.

I fear it might be more pernicious than that. There’s reason to believe states are misreporting their numbers to hide what’s going on with it. But I think the media senses the protests and racism issues have to take up all the available oxygen, “or else”.

"all the available oxygen". Interesting pun.

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#969
post #15
post #4

The concerns are right but public assembly is critical in a democracy, and cannot be put on hold indefinitely. It's probably the most fundamental right in any civil society and with all these takes I have seen on twitter about COVID and the protests, a lot of people seem to seriously unerestimate the value that free assembly has. Covid as bad as it is will be an issue of the near future, civil rights gains or losses…

> Covid as bad as it is will be an issue of the near future, civil rights gains or losses will have an impact in decades to come. There is a lot of truth in this. In any war there is a level of acceptable losses. For most of the spring, the modern culture wars were on hold and there were no hills worth taking. Now there is something going on that has the potential for long term consequences, so the level of acceptabl…

"So the level of acceptable losses has gone up." Yeah, right. But no one wants their own grandma to die though, for the cause.

All these meetings are meaningless, because they do not address several problems:

1. There is a serious neglect of educational system in black neighborhoods. There is no discipline in the schools in these areas. There is a lot of push from ultra-left to keep the things as they are "because this is black culture"; lots of ultra-left derive political capital off of misery of minorities - if there was no misery, there would have been nothing to fight against, to become somehow important.

2) Most of black people are killed by the black people in their neighborhoods. The numbers are of different maginitude when compared to police brutality. If the protesters were really concerned about well-being of black minority, they should have argued for better policing, security cameras, better schools, better foodstores in these areas. ASk any protester if they would part with their monety for that cause, raise taxes for exmpale, NO way, They would not.

Re: America is giving up on the pandemic?

#970
post #963

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thank you for taking the time for an individual reply. The thread was young and I was genuinely baffled, as I do not get much exposure to this type of... thinking in my daily life. I regretted my engagement the moment the response came back :(

I believe you that it was unintentional. In my experience, most of what looks like trolling actually is, which is why I try to use qualifying language like "reads like". Unfortunately, the troll effects are the same regardless of intent, and effects / likely effects are what we have to moderate by. https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que...

I should have been clearer earlier: given the replies that my question prompted I completely understand why my post was flagged, even in isolation. I have no qualms about any of it.

The comment was not meant as "who does he think he is, putting words in my keyboard, I'll set him straight!", but rather a humble "whoa! instead of simply flipping an invisible switch, he took the time to explain what and why to some nobody: this is so cool!"

Thank you for sacrificing your sanity and keeping this site what it is ;)

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