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A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

foreignpolicy.com

11–20 of 72 posts

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#12

Due to decades of Deng Xiaoping's One Child Policy, China is a slow motion demographic car crash that's impossible to stop. China will "get old before it gets rich", and the days of 6% growth aren't coming back. I recommend anyone interested in geopolitics and the world over the next 30 years to watch this lecture: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AvNT3vyzr0 It's the best overview of the future wealth and strength of…

This [0] is a much more interesting and enlightening documentary about China and Xi Jinping. It's in French but english subtitles are available.

[0] https://youtu.be/7QDktp_i6eY

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#13

Due to decades of Deng Xiaoping's One Child Policy, China is a slow motion demographic car crash that's impossible to stop. China will "get old before it gets rich", and the days of 6% growth aren't coming back. I recommend anyone interested in geopolitics and the world over the next 30 years to watch this lecture: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AvNT3vyzr0 It's the best overview of the future wealth and strength of…

Well that video is kind of dated ... we have the Trump administration who in 4 years totally managed to end the standing of the US on the world stage.

There is a chance that the Americans can change that in a few months though.

If so, Trump may become just a footnote in history, and hopefully a valuable lesson, at least for a few generations.

Meanwhile, we people in Hong Kong and China can choose between "strongly support", "reluctantly support", "disapprovingly support", etc... Xi to continue as the head of PRC.

Get out and vote. Ask the people around you to do so. Explain to them why it's important to vote. Discuss with them how it may affect them. Learn to discuss serious topics without a confrontational attitude.

Cheers.

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#14

Begun? You have to be tonedeaf or willfully ignoring the amount of IP that Chinese corporate spies have outright stolen from North America over the last few decades. Let’s be honest - we have strong cyber security considerations because of very few, but very known bad actors. China is near the top of that list and has been for awhile. Nevermind all the other security considerations.

Or, in other words, we've always been at war with Eastasia?

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#15
post #3

>Because, in a very different way than the old Soviet system, the Chinese system—the more authoritarian it gets—is over time more prone to crack up than America’s. I don't understand: what does the author think the difference is? I may have read the article without enough attention but I didn't get it. If anything, I got the idea it's less likely to crack.

I don't think China is going anywhere for at least a generation. If you dig into the collapse of most countries/empires/super powers, they collapse from either: - External pressures - foreign influence through military/conquering, investment, or mass immigration. With the exception of Taiwan, China has been effective in reducing or at least controlling all of those. And even that may be cracking where you see groups…

China has a pretty large mass immigration problem. Over 30% of the nation's workforce are migrant workers who are by law second-class citizens in the urban areas they migrate to, and this number is expected to significantly rise. It's my understanding that some smaller cities are making it easier to register your hukou there, but it remains a serious issue in all of the biggest and richest cities.

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#16

Due to decades of Deng Xiaoping's One Child Policy, China is a slow motion demographic car crash that's impossible to stop. China will "get old before it gets rich", and the days of 6% growth aren't coming back. I recommend anyone interested in geopolitics and the world over the next 30 years to watch this lecture: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AvNT3vyzr0 It's the best overview of the future wealth and strength of…

Well that video is kind of dated ... we have the Trump administration who in 4 years totally managed to end the standing of the US on the world stage.

I think the world more or less understands that American politics oscillates between periods of conservative control and liberal control.

I don’t think the world has forgotten about America’s massive military or its massive economy.

To say Trump has “ended America’s standing” is extremely short sighted... Whether you like him or not, he has not changed in any material way the military or the economy or the political systems that form the foundation of America.

Imagine the world in only 10 years from now. 2030. Will the American economy still be intact and humming along? Will the military still be well funded? Will the political system still be the same?

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#17

Why does everything has to be a war with the US?

It so happens that whenever a country amasses more wealth than the US, they are maligned and considered evil. It happened in the 80s with Japan, and it is now happening with China. Except this time, the United States is broke. The US will Balkanize before anything happens to China.

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well that video is kind of dated ... we have the Trump administration who in 4 years totally managed to end the standing of the US on the world stage.

I think the world more or less understands that American politics oscillates between periods of conservative control and liberal control. I don’t think the world has forgotten about America’s massive military or its massive economy. To say Trump has “ended America’s standing” is extremely short sighted... Whether you like him or not, he has not changed in any material way the military or the economy or the political…

Am I the only one to consider US massive economy as a lightyear remain ? It really seems that US (politics or companies) lost their ways and can't handle their own power. Inertia is not good enough.

Re: A New Cold War Has Begun (2019)

#20

Why does everything has to be a war with the US?

It so happens that whenever a country amasses more wealth than the US, they are maligned and considered evil. It happened in the 80s with Japan, and it is now happening with China. Except this time, the United States is broke. The US will Balkanize before anything happens to China.

Did it happen in the 80s? There was certainly anti-Japanese sentiment, I've seen the people smashing up Toyotas, but as far as I can tell nobody seriously proposed that Japan was a comparable threat to the Soviet Union.
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