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The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

whichcar.com.au

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Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#101
post #13

It still amazes me that the US, with all its red light cameras, doesn't adopt the European speed cameras that create a lot of tickets (at significant fines) for relatively minor speeding infractions. Top Gear did a test years ago to see just how fast you would need to go to defeat a speed camera, and it was well beyond what the Cannonballers would be running. You just can't fool a high speed camera easily. Of course,…

I wish we would adopt automatic ticketing for speeding. It’s been tried in some places near me and there was public outcry about privacy issues. I don’t know what they are exactly, I believe there is no reasonable expectation of privacy while driving on public roads, especially when you’re breaking the law, nonetheless it seems to be working to prevent photo ticketing.

It was super interesting driving a rental car in Iceland last year. They have automatic speed cameras & ticketing. And we didn’t ask for it, but the rental car’s computer knew where they were and beeped every time we approached one.

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#102

So it's sort of like a contest to see who can be the biggest asshole then?

I'd say acting in utter disregard to human life is a bit worse than merely being an asshole. I'm pretty okay with life imprisonment for these guys.

I pitched an idea for punishment for this behavior a while back (I'm in Portland, where street racing is a major issue right now), and got downvoted like crazy for it, but I'll try again here. Each time they are caught, surgically remove one finger. Either they'll take the hint that people want them to stop, or if they keep it up they won't be able to grip the steering wheel. Win-win.

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#103
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, I get it. For us oldsters, there is a little cool-ness associated with the CannonBall Run from an old (but popular) movie. But it is a stupid thing, for sure.

Static speed limits that apply to all drivers identically are a joke. Because not all drivers are identically skilled. So either you recognize the absurdity inherent in our speed laws, or you think the system is reasonable. The Cannonball Run isn't for the latter.

Let me guess, you'd consider yourself in the top tier of drivers?

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#104
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Static speed limits that apply to all drivers identically are a joke. Because not all drivers are identically skilled. So either you recognize the absurdity inherent in our speed laws, or you think the system is reasonable. The Cannonball Run isn't for the latter.

Let me guess, you'd consider yourself in the top tier of drivers?

Nope. But I'm 100% confident I'm above the bottom tier.

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#105
post #99
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As to an alternative, we've come a long way technologically since 1974. If we wanted to, RF enabling cars to be remotely interrogated, and encoding driver qualifications is well within our reach. As to skill level, the current system has a cursory driver's test, coupled with (in some states) minimal re-qualification criteria. This means that an 18 year old new driver, a 40 year old experienced driver, and an 80 year…

Also within our reach is automated photographic enforcement. That would be much easier and way more realistic to implement than somehow trying to manage different speed classes based on skill or whatever. I still just don’t see a real problem with a static speed limit, or why something graduated by skill is called for and what it would help. Having fines graduated by ‘skill’ would just be more of a declaration that i…

> Having fines graduated by ‘skill’ would just be more of a declaration that it’s okay to break the law and speed if you’re a ‘better’ driver, whatever that means.

You misunderstand. I'm proposing actual limits be different for different classes of drivers. So C1 gives you 50 mph max on a given road, C2 60, etc.

> no licensing in our system is capable of distinguishing the skills of different drivers

A CDL clearly requires additional knowledge beyond a standard license. E.g. brake failure modes and technical operation.

> The speed limit is a declaration of what the safe speed of a given road and today’s vehicles are - again, because physics.

So between 1994 and 1996 all roads and vehicles became substantially safer?

> these limits have been raised in some locales by law makers in spite of the Highway Patrol’s objections and evidence that accidents and fatality rates are higher with the raised limits

To put it bluntly, Highway Patrol does not seem like an objective third party in this matter.

>> It’s also incredibly sub-optimal, given that vast variance in drivers and vehicles.

> So by what metric is it sub-optimal? How do you arrive at the conclusion that it’s “incredibly” sub-optimal? What does optimal mean, and what are you suggesting?

Total travel time has an economic cost. Very few people work at full productivity while driving their cars.

An optimal allocation would be permitting everyone to drive at a precise maximum speed, calculated on the basis of all their attributes which effect likelihood of accident, and standardizing for likelihood of outcome.

Some of those attributes are constant from driver to driver (road geometry, weather).

Some of those attributes are variable (driver skill, attention, tendency to drive drunk, vehicle performance, vehicle maintenance).

Unless you're willing to argue that the variable attributes have neglible effect on accident likelihood or that their variable range is negligible, I'm not sure how you arrive at anything less than "incredibly sub-optimal" given static speed limits for everyone.

> Are you saying more skilled drivers should be allowed to driver faster than other people, or just suggesting that fines should be lower?

The former.

> Who, exactly, is being harmed by speed limits, what is the damage being done, and what is the alternative?

Everyone, but particularly drivers, by economic inefficiency. The alternative is my modest proposal.

> There are statistics showing increased rates of death in higher speed limit areas, so you need to have a pretty convincing argument that a thousand people being stuck at 70mph are being hurt more than someone getting killed.

See earlier points about the difficulties in normalizing statistics for proposed driver skill level.

> I suspect the unintended consequence of increasing the speed differential would be more road rage and more road fatalities.

Possibly, in additional to innumerable other things we haven't considered.

But my point is that we can't, on the face of things, defend the current system as the best we can possibly do.

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#106
post #105
post #99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Also within our reach is automated photographic enforcement. That would be much easier and way more realistic to implement than somehow trying to manage different speed classes based on skill or whatever. I still just don’t see a real problem with a static speed limit, or why something graduated by skill is called for and what it would help. Having fines graduated by ‘skill’ would just be more of a declaration that i…

> Having fines graduated by ‘skill’ would just be more of a declaration that it’s okay to break the law and speed if you’re a ‘better’ driver, whatever that means. You misunderstand. I'm proposing actual limits be different for different classes of drivers. So C1 gives you 50 mph max on a given road, C2 60, etc. > no licensing in our system is capable of distinguishing the skills of different drivers A CDL clearly re…

Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do.

> Very few people work at full productivity while driving their cars.

Very few people work at all while driving their cars; their commute is outside of their paid working hours. What is the economic cost of commuting time? This is a serious question. You’re not paid for non-work hours, so by choosing to live far away from your job, or work far away from where you live, you’re choosing to trade away your own free time, and choosing to pay more in gas (often, but not always, in return for lower rent/mortgage). There is no loss to the economy in terms of the time spent.

So what — exactly — is optimized economically by having higher speed limits? Where — exactly — would more money come from if the speed limits were raised for some people? And are you proposing to have the speed classes only apply while commuting to work, or at all times? What would be the justification for doing it at all times?

It would help if you’d elaborate on your proposal with real numbers. Do you want to drive at a higher speed than you can right now, or do you want people you believe to be unskilled to have to slow down compared to today? How fast do you want to drive? How much faster will your commute be? 50mph roads probably aren’t as common as 65mph highways. What do you imagine the actual speeds to be on the highway in your system?

Your calculus, as presented so far, is completely ignoring:

1- the economic costs of safety, or lack of it. Every crash can cost those involved tens to hundreds of thousands of dollars, and it goes up when there’s serious hospital time involved. See the term “expected value” in statistics. You have to account for the risks and probabilities of a negative outcome in order to even know if your proposal can pay off.

2- the fact that drivers in a lower speed class would need to be able to react to the faster drivers; in effect they would need to be as skilled in order to share the same roads safely.

3- traffic, not the speed limit, is the limiting speed factor almost everywhere that long commutes exist.

But hey, if you’re proposing that we make new, separate roads for the multi-speed-class system, maybe I’m for it. Everyone who thinks they’re better drivers and wants to ignore the risks can go drive together on their own road.

> So between 1994 and 1996 all roads and vehicles became substantially safe?

No, but both the US interstates and the cars have together become substantially safer over the last 50 years.

I’m curious why you’ve dismissed the Highway Patrol? You’re not objective either, why are you ignoring the people who actually have to respond every time some idiot in a fast car who thinks he has “skill” loses traction and hits someone else or wraps himself around a telephone pole?

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#107
post #106
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Having fines graduated by ‘skill’ would just be more of a declaration that it’s okay to break the law and speed if you’re a ‘better’ driver, whatever that means. You misunderstand. I'm proposing actual limits be different for different classes of drivers. So C1 gives you 50 mph max on a given road, C2 60, etc. > no licensing in our system is capable of distinguishing the skills of different drivers A CDL clearly re…

Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do. > Very few people work at full productivity while driving their cars. Very few people work at all while driving their cars; their commute is outside of their paid working hours. What is the economic cost of commuting time? This is a serious question. You’re not paid for non-work hours, so by choosing to live far away from your job, or work far away from where you l…

> Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do.

Granted. But any solutions to that are several orders of magnitude more expensive.

>> Very few people work at full productivity while driving their cars.

> Very few people work at all while driving their cars; their commute is outside of their paid working hours. What is the economic cost of commuting time? This is a serious question.

Employers are not the only economic productivity in a person's life. Child care and raising, socializing with friends, shopping, starting a business, learning new skills.

Point being, nothing economically productive (in the broader sense) is generally happening when someone is driving in a car.

> It would help if you’d elaborate on your proposal with real numbers. Do you want to drive at a higher speed than you can right now, or do you want people you believe to be unskilled to have to slow down compared to today?

The former. It'd be batty to suggest that the current speed limits, justified as the maximum possible speed for a minimally skilled licensed driver, should in fact be lower for some drivers, if we were actually differentiating drivers!

> How fast do you want to drive?

As fast as balances safety concerns! With current performance vehicles, taking into account hypothetical differential speeds using current highway and interstate speeds, I'd say ranges of 70 - 100 mph for the same piece of multi-lane (on one side) road.

> How much faster will your commute be?

Given the above, you'd arrive in 70% of the time at 100 mph, no?

> Your calculus, as presented so far, is completely ignoring: > 1- the economic costs of safety, or lack of it.

I'm not ignoring it. I'm valuing it as balanced against the economic inefficiencies of alternatives. If optimizing safety were our primary goal, no one would be allowed to drive at all.

> 2- the fact that drivers in a lower speed class would need to be able to react to the faster drivers; in effect they would need to be as skilled in order to share the same roads.

Not sure that completely holds, but I catch your drift. You'd definitely still want to limit speed differentials according to road section, as they effectively do in Germany.

> 3- traffic, not the speed limit, is the limiting speed factor almost everywhere that long commutes exist.

> But hey, if you’re proposing that we make new, separate roads for the multi-speed-class system, maybe I’m for it. Everyone who thinks they’re better drivers and wants to ignore the risks can go drive together on their own road.

I look at traffic as a failure of transportation policy. You're not going to speed your way out of traffic, because it's a throughput problem. So this is irrelevant where speed-limiting traffic is concerned.

>> So between 1994 and 1996 all roads and vehicles became substantially safe?

> No, but both the US interstates and the cars have together become substantially safer over the last 20 years.

I was using those years, when the federal speed cap was removed, to poke a hole in the idea that US speed limits follow intrinsically from any sort of physical principles. I would say that they're more governed by a political process, attempting to balance multiple competing interests.

> I’m curious why you’ve dismissed the Highway Patrol? You’re not objective either, why are you ignoring the people who actually have to respond every time some idiot in a fast car who thinks he has “skill” loses traction and hits someone else or wraps himself around a telephone pole?

Because they're substantially funded by speeding fines? [1]

And if you think local government and officers are blind to their primary sources of revenue, then I've got a bridge to sell you...

[1] https://www.governing.com/gov-data/other/local-governments-h...

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#108
post #107
post #106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do. > Very few people work at full productivity while driving their cars. Very few people work at all while driving their cars; their commute is outside of their paid working hours. What is the economic cost of commuting time? This is a serious question. You’re not paid for non-work hours, so by choosing to live far away from your job, or work far away from where you l…

> Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do. Granted. But any solutions to that are several orders of magnitude more expensive. >> Very few people work at full productivity while driving their cars. > Very few people work at all while driving their cars; their commute is outside of their paid working hours. What is the economic cost of commuting time? This is a serious question. Employers are not the only e…

>> Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do. > Granted. But any solutions to that are several orders of magnitude more expensive.

Strong disagree. Right now - the state of Covid work-from-home - is partial evidence. Other countries and some US cities like New York offer more evidence. Try to estimate the amount of private money spent on cars and car maintenance annually by all citizens, and guesstimate what we could buy in shared transportation resources, with the same amount of money. It would be extraordinarily difficult to change America's habits, but I don't buy that it would be more expensive. I'd argue the opposite, we are currently spending way more money than necessary in return for fictional ideas of personal freedom.

> I'd say ranges of 70 - 100 mph

Well, we're already there in much of the west, we already match speed limits on the Autobahn. In urban cities, I can't think of a highway I've ever commuted on in the east coast or west where it's possible to safely sustain > 70mph for long stretches, and I've never, in decades, had the opportunity to do that while commuting. Raising the speed limit simply wouldn't change that.

The radius of turns, and weather conditions are confounding factors for your wish. You're advocating speeds that don't leave adequate reaction times for unforseen situations, crap in the road, motorcycles, large trucks, or any number of things that regularly occur in the real world.

> Given the above, you'd arrive in 70% of the time at 100 mph, no?

Extremely unlikely, you're jumping to an invalid conclusion that raising the speed limit on the highway by a percentage would yield a proportional average travel reduction. To achieve that average, you typically have to peak much higher. You're not accounting for the off-freeway portion of your trip. And you'd have to perfectly sustain top speed the whole time, which is most places and in most traffic not possible, unless you're making assumptions you haven't explained yet.

I'm still not seeing the money. You've made a hand-wavy purely theoretical argument with logical gaps that somehow more money would appear in my pocket if only I could drive faster. How would that happen? What makes you think that people wouldn't respond by moving 30% further away for even cheaper housing (which would then rise in price due to increased demand)?

> I look at traffic as a failure of transportation policy.

Why? There are more cars on the road every year, that will automatically yield more traffic. And it's just as much a failure of transportation infrastructure, which was intentionally crippled by the lobbying of automakers in the US. It's also a failure of urban planning. We wouldn't have to commute if we lived closer. How would increasing speed limits as a policy fix traffic?

> Because they're substantially funded by speeding fines?

I believe that claim is false in most states. Can you provide a source please? The Highway Patrol in most states is primarily funded by taxes, and tickets in metropolitan areas are normally a small minority of their general fund. Often the revenue from fines goes to other city & state projects, and not back to the Highway Patrol.

Your theory fails to adequately explain why the Highway patrol is constantly begging people to slow down and be safe, posting signs about limits, being as obvious as possible about their speed monitoring, and not enforcing anywhere near as much as they could. You may want to take a few minutes to read the annual Highway Patrol report for your state and a few others. They are dominated by a focus on safety.

You're already trying to sell me a bridge with a gap in it. Call me completely unconvinced, let's agree to disagree.

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#109
post #55
post #13

It still amazes me that the US, with all its red light cameras, doesn't adopt the European speed cameras that create a lot of tickets (at significant fines) for relatively minor speeding infractions. Top Gear did a test years ago to see just how fast you would need to go to defeat a speed camera, and it was well beyond what the Cannonballers would be running. You just can't fool a high speed camera easily. Of course,…

Americans tend to vandalize speed cameras. As long as repairing/replacing the cameras costs more than the revenue they generate from tickets, they’re not worth deploying.

Same happens in the netherlands. A favorite method here is to fill the camera with expanding foam which basically makes the camera take part in a slow-motion explosion. Another (less damaging) method I've seen is simply wrapping the camera in cling wrap, making the image terribly fuzzy but not destroying anything in the process.

AFAIK over here speed cameras are only allowed to be placed if they demonstratively improve traffic safety, so we don't have a crazy amount of them.

Of course the best way to beat a speed camera is to not speed ;-)

Re: The Cannonball Run record has been broken seven times in five weeks

#110
post #108
post #107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do. Granted. But any solutions to that are several orders of magnitude more expensive. >> Very few people work at full productivity while driving their cars. > Very few people work at all while driving their cars; their commute is outside of their paid working hours. What is the economic cost of commuting time? This is a serious question. Employers are not the only e…

>> Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do. > Granted. But any solutions to that are several orders of magnitude more expensive. Strong disagree. Right now - the state of Covid work-from-home - is partial evidence. Other countries and some US cities like New York offer more evidence. Try to estimate the amount of private money spent on cars and car maintenance annually by all citizens, and guesstimate wha…

>>> Using cars at all isn’t the best we can possibly do. >> Granted. But any solutions to that are several orders of magnitude more expensive.

> Strong disagree. Right now - the state of Covid work-from-home - is partial evidence. Other countries and some US cities like New York offer more evidence.

I'm not sure 25% unemployment and one of the densest American cities are applicable counterexamples.

> The radius of turns, and weather conditions are confounding factors for your wish. You're advocating speeds that don't leave adequate reaction times for unforseen situations, crap in the road, motorcycles, large trucks, or any number of things that regularly occur in the real world.

See earlier points about variability in vehicle performance, driver skill, and reaction times.

>> Given the above, you'd arrive in 70% of the time at 100 mph, no? > Extremely unlikely, you're jumping to an invalid conclusion that raising the speed limit on the highway by a percentage would yield a proportional average travel reduction. To achieve that average, you typically have to peak much higher. You're not accounting for the off-freeway portion of your trip.

I was assuming both of us could apply Amdahl's law.

> I'm still not seeing the money. You've made a hand-wavy purely theoretical argument with logical gaps that somehow more money would appear in my pocket if only I could drive faster. How would that happen? What makes you think that people wouldn't respond by moving 30% further away for even cheaper housing

You seem to be focused on individual money, as opposed to costs / benefits to the economy, in aggregate.

> Your theory fails to adequately explain why the Highway patrol is constantly begging people to slow down and be safe, posting signs about limits, being as obvious as possible about their speed monitoring, and not enforcing anywhere near as much as they could.

I believe we have very different views of law enforcement, and their motivations as a branch of executive government.

> Call me completely unconvinced, let's agree to disagree.

Probably for the best. This doesn't feel like a good faith debate at this point.

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