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New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

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Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#121
post #39

Do they have a definition of what constitutes non-essential?

Yes, the order has a specific list. EDIT: Here is the order. https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/no-2026-continuing-temporar... > Any essential business or entity providing essential services or functions shall not be subject to the in-person restrictions. This includes essential health care operations including research and laboratory services; essential infrastructure including utilities, telecommunication, airports a…

[deleted]

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> a little extra short-term sacrifice can get us near eradication inside two months. "Near eradication" is not enough if you want to "snuff it out". COVID-19 started with only a couple of cases. There was a patient zero. So no, "a little extra short-term sacrifice" would not be enough, because you are very unlikely to catch everything, especially worldwide . Health workers would inevitably catch it by treating patien…

Oh, I don't think near eradication is an acceptable goal either. We need to actually eradicate it. I specified near eradication because we have proof by example that it is possible. As yet, nobody has actually eradicated the virus in their borders, so I don't want to presume it is possible. However, it needs to be the goal. > To address "If we adopt a stance that makes R0 Depends on what we get the value to. If we ge…

I think everyone would agree with you. The question is how long that realistically takes, in a minimally-damaging way.

I don't think there's a world in which there's a better option than "waiting for the vaccine with various forms of mitigation". Boy would I love to be proven wrong.

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#123
post #6

There is currently no plan in place to penalize individuals for gathering socially Then people won't take the rules seriously. Lots of people in this country still don't believe or understand how much damage this virus can inflict.

Man, I hate this take. I get where it's coming from. In times of significant stress, it's important that we all pull together and do work to benefit society as a whole. And part of the way we incentivize that is by calling out people who don't do their part. I get it. But we are already inundated by outrage journalism, cancel culture, and public shaming. The last thing we need is more of that. We've already got enoug…

What does "cancel culture" have to do with containment measures taken in response to a global pandemic?

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Seems to be little appreciation on the internet for the fact that even in this situation, a big chunk of the population still has to go to work otherwise everything will collapse.

Thank you for saying this, it's been bothering me for days. Sure all of us computer people can lock ourselves in our houses for long periods of time. Some of us, like me, have already been doing that for years, but there are so many jobs that really are essential to keeping society functional, not just healthcare workers. For example, what about people in the building trades. Plumbing, HVAC, electrical, etc. If my fu…

Freight and truck are the big ones. Millions of truckers and trucks need to roll to move things. We need truck stops and gas stations to stay open to keep these moving. We need distribution centers to stay open to load and unload trucks. We need the factories that make toilet paper and baby formula and canned soup and N95 masks to stay open and fully functioning. We need the farms to stay open and the fertilizer and seed operations to stay open to provide to the farmers that are growing the crops. The pig farms and the cattle farms need to stay open and they need to be supplied to provide for meat in 6 months. And all the follow on industries that support these things.

You can't just stop all this.

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#125
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> but can't help that They're fining (~$140) and detaining people who don't follow the rules in France. https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=fr&tl=en&u=https%3...

Doing that in the US is a Supreme Court case waiting to happen.

Doubt it, and in any case, that would be years down the line. It wouldn't help you one whit if you've got police ordering you back into your house now.

Which might be reasonable if there are flagrant violators and things continue to get worse.

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#126
I think it would be hilarious if the first reporter to ask a question asks, "Sir, what was that percentage of workforce reduction again?" and writes the number down on a pad meticulously. Then the next, "Are you sure it's not 101 or 98 or something like that?" "Sure I'm sure! And I mean everyone!" And the reporters keep asking for the percentage again, while groping for writing pads as if they are terrified they will not remember or transcribe it correctly.

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#127
post #99
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This virus will be with everyone for 18+ months, the point of the lockdown is allow the Health system to catch up If you lock down early you irreparably harm the local economy and simply delay a spike instead of "flattening the curve" unless you are willing to except a year long lock down, massive economic depression and the colapse of the US Dollar

This is happening in my area right now. The number of cases is little to none, but the governor threw a blanket lock down on bars and restaurants, etc, over the whole state. It was too early for my area for sure. So in the meantime, businesses and people's livelihoods are already being destroyed.

The number of infected though is unknown because we haven't tested many people. When it is known then lock down on bars restaurants etc. will be too late.

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think this will open the door for NYC to fully "shelter in place" lockdown, however.

Yeah, they're boiling the frog. Each incremental step is normalized over a few days, and then there's a new, stricter mandate.

Or like Contagion "Nobody can know until everyone knows" -- especially with quarantines because if people think they have early info they will try to leave before it's established exacerbating the exact measures the quarantine is intended to invoke.

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#129
There is no doubt Cuomo should be the national point person for the response to the crisis based on his performance so far. He is independently working with regional manufacturing to retool to make critical medical PPE and ventilators, and has organized a regional coalition including CT, NJ, and PA. I have not agreed with him all the time, but his crisis management has been exemplary and he will have saved many lives in NY by the time this is done.

Re: New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A month? Wouldn't it be more like 1-2 weeks?

The virus progresses from infection to death in more like 3 weeks, depending on medical care. Any change in infections wouldn't be seen for about that time.

Right - but it isn't completely clear yet.

From https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/03/200317175438.h... :

A new study calculates that the median incubation period for COVID-19 is just over 5 days and that 97.5% of people who develop symptoms will do so within 11.5 days of infection.

From https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19#Inkubationszeit :

...the incubation period can be up to 14 days. In addition, there are reports from Chinese researchers that extend the possible incubation period up to 24 days. An analysis of the first 425 cases reported in Wuhan shows an incubation period of 5.2 days on average and an average age of 59 years. ... A statistical analysis of several reports of infections in a household or in another narrow spatial limitation (so-called clusters) shows an incubation period of 5–6 days on average.

Anyway, as long as people don't keep distance between each other, the situation won't improve. Here in Switzerland the limit was shurunk within ~2 weeks from groups of people of max 1000 to 500 to 100 to 10 to 5 (today's new guidelines) => so far nothing improved.

The company I'm working for reacted early => many employees started staying at home (and working remotely) already 3 weeks ago, like myself => at the beginning it was ok for me, but now it's getting psychologically a bit "heavy". Luckily the government so far did not implement a total curfew, so from time to time we can still walk a bit in the parks/forests (but alone).

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