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Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

governor.wa.gov

351–360 of 568 posts

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#351
post #222
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I'd suggest they put a couple of picnic tables out in the parking lot for take-out. Why, though? The whole point is to stop people gathering in public places. > Curious about other commercial operations that could satisfy the rule Again, why? These rules weren't put into place as a challenge for entrepreneurs.

I want to eat and drink with my family and friends. And it's spring, so I want to do it outdoors. A food truck with a couple of outdoor tables has got to be lower risk than a full-service bar/restaurant, while still giving us human companionship.

The combination of “I want” with “lower risk” (rather than “no risk”) speaks to a lot of the problems we are facing right now.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#352
Most restaurants around here already had 1/4th of customers and almost never over 10 at a time sufficiently distanced away. It still provided workers to come in any way and get whatever minimum wage they can. I feel this move is boneheaded and is just a knee jerk reaction without actually knowing the above fact. Most folks working in restaurants don't even have a week worth of savings. They don't have investments or own homes. They still have to pay rents pretty soon. Governer is ignoring all of these to make an appearance that he is making swift aggressive action. He has made zero provisions for all of these people who will be on the verge of losing their roof. The least he could have done would be to mandate no evictions during these closures so the financial load is transferred to rich rent collectors and investors with sufficient fat as opposed to these poor people.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#353

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're talking about conceivably millions in the U.S. alone. 55% * 6% fatality rate * 330 million is >10,000,000. That's a lot of people to sacrifice to keep bars and restaurants open.

6% where are you getting that number? The highest I’ve seen is 3% and that’s in people older than 80...

In countries having overwhelmed healthcare systems, most recently: Italy, the rate is much higher than the 3.4% estimated by the WHO. It’s still too early to say what the actual figure will turn out to be in Italy, but 6% was the raw result from 13 March.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#354
post #88

My Daughter was working as a temp between jobs and the work has now been stopped, she had two second interviews planned in Sydney this week now both positions have been retracted and nobody hiring or interviewing, she has about 7 weeks of cash savings and 4 months lease on a rental. Oh and no unemployment benefit or subsidies as she is New Zealander working in Australia. Young People at the lowest risk from this viru…

> Young People at the lowest risk from this virus are going to be much worse off than just catching a fucking bad cold. It's not a "fucking bad cold" for young people. - Over 50% of ICU patients in Netherlands from COVID-19 are under 50. [1] - Over 50% of ICU patients in France are under 60. [2] - Over 40% of patients requiring hospitalization in China were under 50. [3] Young people are not invincible. The fact that…

Well if you triage patients and ventilate people much more likely to survive, that's what the numbers might end up being

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#355
post #306

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wow that twitter thread linked was a wild ride. They really are doing a huge experiment in the middle of a world-wide pandemic. I'll be really interested to see how it all works out.

There is a huge backlash and they seem to be backing off of that idea. We'll see.

Because the description in this thread is a mischaracterisation of what the approach has been

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#356

When talking about economic damage it is also worth thinking about what we are trying to avoid in the US- if SARS-Cov2 gets to 60% of the population, then at a 2% case fatality rate we are looking at 4 million excess deaths. Most importantly, that is a humanitarian tragedy that we must avoid. However, having numbers also let’s us put an economic value out there for what we are trying to save. A 1% reduction in the ca…

And if the mortality rates (from Italy) are fundamentally wrong/misleading?

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#357

When talking about economic damage it is also worth thinking about what we are trying to avoid in the US- if SARS-Cov2 gets to 60% of the population, then at a 2% case fatality rate we are looking at 4 million excess deaths. Most importantly, that is a humanitarian tragedy that we must avoid. However, having numbers also let’s us put an economic value out there for what we are trying to save. A 1% reduction in the ca…

Also, 2% is very dubious. Italy is at 7%. The Philippines at 8%. I mean, sure these figures are out of people who were tested, but 2% is looking awfully optimistic at this point. So the potential for death reduction is even greater than the intentionally unassailable 1% figure you picked.

Those tested represent a tiny fraction of those likely infected.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#358

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're talking about conceivably millions in the U.S. alone. 55% * 6% fatality rate * 330 million is >10,000,000. That's a lot of people to sacrifice to keep bars and restaurants open.

6% where are you getting that number? The highest I’ve seen is 3% and that’s in people older than 80...

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...

So our best sets of data are the WHO analysis of Wuhan which puts it at 5.6%. And the diamond princess which gives us a 1% fatality rate. But here's the big catch, those infected on the Diamond Princess got all of the medical care they needed.

And the issue is once our healthcare system gets overwhelmed the rate will shift from 1% up to the 5.6% (And Wuhan could have gotten much worse)

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#359
post #341

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Young People at the lowest risk from this virus are going to be much worse off than just catching a fucking bad cold. It's not a "fucking bad cold" for young people. - Over 50% of ICU patients in Netherlands from COVID-19 are under 50. [1] - Over 50% of ICU patients in France are under 60. [2] - Over 40% of patients requiring hospitalization in China were under 50. [3] Young people are not invincible. The fact that…

Those numbers measure the wrong thing. The proportion of young people in care means nothing without knowing also the proportion of young people infected.

South Korea had a large proportion of young infected people: https://medium.com/@andreasbackhausab/coronavirus-why-its-so...

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#360

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is the US 12 days behind? Where does that number come from? The first Italian case was a month after the first US case.

https://i.redd.it/apxxmlc4kfm41.jpg

Interesting, but to truly track similar to Italy wouldn't we need higher numbers being we're a much larger populous? Just curious.
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