Earlier quoted context omitted.
Isaac Arthur deals with this at length in his videos. Those projections are unlikely to hold for long. Cultures that don't expand will quickly be replaced by those who do and the process continues. Population expansion is limited only really by resources. You see this in all other species, but we somehow think it's different for us. That remains to be seen.
This is simple linear thinking and a lack of imagination. As well as empirically wrong. Population expansion in humans ended because our culture adapted to the end of child mortality. Actually the massive expansion we saw and see was because culture took a few generations to do so. As soon as we conquer mortality as such our culture will shift again. And that is only thinking about the impact of tech we might see thi…
SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
231–240 of 356 posts
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#232Not to sound like a broken record (I and others have said this or similar on these kinds of threads) but... I, personally, have become convinced that looking for signals this way is actually pointless. The argument is basically this: 1. Within 1000 years (and maybe a lot less) we will have the engineering capability to build space habitats, powered by solar power. This last part is important because this thought expe…
This is based on the current knowledge of physics that we have. We know that it is fairly incomplete. ~5% of the universe is made of the stuff that you, I, a cloud, and the sun are made of. We understand this stuff very well, in terms of cosmic scale stuff. ~20% of the universe if made of dark matter. We know that this stuff falls down and really doesn't do anything else. Does it interact with itself, with us, can we…
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#233Earlier quoted context omitted.
This comment made me nod my head in agreement, laugh and also experience a wave of nostalgia. All at once.
I once overclocked one with a pencil. Just connected the solder points between some leads on the CPU package.
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#234I remember being a younger pup and building fleets of machines (including overclocking, etc) for the sole purpose of running S@H, and all of the amazing software the spun up around it... SetiSpy, SetiDriver, SetiQ. I often wonder how machines of today would compare in work production to my old Duron 800, but alas.
Wondered the same thing! Perhaps "they" (the committee) were afraid that computers were getting powerful enough that we might just find something. Better pull the plug.
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#235In case anyone reads the headline and thinks that the SETI research center itself is shutting down, or that the project failed in some way: > "It's a lot of work for us to manage the distributed processing of data. We need to focus on completing the back-end analysis of the results we already have, and writing this up in a scientific journal paper," their news announcement stated. Maybe it's PR speak, but it does mak…
The singular in "journal paper" makes me sad. Surely there'd be more papers in this topic, on distributed computing for one, on the methodology of the analysis for another, and on any results for third.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10723-019-09497-9
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#236In case anyone reads the headline and thinks that the SETI research center itself is shutting down, or that the project failed in some way: > "It's a lot of work for us to manage the distributed processing of data. We need to focus on completing the back-end analysis of the results we already have, and writing this up in a scientific journal paper," their news announcement stated. Maybe it's PR speak, but it does mak…
Well... We haven't found anyone we can talk to yet so, in a sense, we are still failing.
Eventually we will.
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#237Earlier quoted context omitted.
The singular in "journal paper" makes me sad. Surely there'd be more papers in this topic, on distributed computing for one, on the methodology of the analysis for another, and on any results for third.
The BOINC paper was published last year: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10723-019-09497-9
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#238Anyway may be they have found the alien and not telling us directly. Otherwise why stop? Just strange.
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#239Not to sound like a broken record (I and others have said this or similar on these kinds of threads) but... I, personally, have become convinced that looking for signals this way is actually pointless. The argument is basically this: 1. Within 1000 years (and maybe a lot less) we will have the engineering capability to build space habitats, powered by solar power. This last part is important because this thought expe…
Yes, but not for the reasons you outlined. Use Occam's Razor: there are no aliens. (Yes, I know I'm treading on some dearly-held religious beliefs now and will get lynched. Still, somebody had to say it.)
Here are all the facts:
1) There's an incomprehensibly large amount of stars and planets in the universe
2) On one of these planets (Earth), there are conditions which have lead to the appearance of life
3) These conditions are not unique to this planet
We don't know of any fact that would exclude the possibility of life coming about on other planets with similar conditions, so using Occam's Razor actually tells us that there's probably lots of other life out there.
Re: SETI@home shuts down after 21 years
#240I remember being a younger pup and building fleets of machines (including overclocking, etc) for the sole purpose of running S@H, and all of the amazing software the spun up around it... SetiSpy, SetiDriver, SetiQ. I often wonder how machines of today would compare in work production to my old Duron 800, but alas.
Wondered the same thing! Perhaps "they" (the committee) were afraid that computers were getting powerful enough that we might just find something. Better pull the plug.