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Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

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Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#291
post #133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ironically, when I considered the likely outcomes, the one that convinced me to stock up on food was not actual supply chain distruptions (which I see as possible but fairly unlikely), but that mass hording will lead to shortages (which I see as very likely).

You are part of the panic stocking problem

How is buying food before the shortage contributing to the panic stocking problem?

Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#292
post #7

I'm not. There's no meaningful preparations for avoiding what is essentially a really dangerous variant of the common cold at an individual level. Now governments and the medical field should be preparing for it. But most of that is logistical problems (e.g. number of hospital beds, preparing quarantine plans, test kits, etc). You can order a bunch of masks if it makes you feel better, but countries with common mask…

Question is about disruptions caused by people's reaction to the outbreak, not the virus itself. Stuff like this: https://www.ibtimes.sg/wuhan-virus-italy-supermarkets-are-ru... The freaking panic is already starting in my country too. People buying up food in 10x the quantities than the usual shopping visit, etc.. I've gone shopping yesterday, when the virus was found in the country next to mine, to buy enough food…

My wife was in a pretty typical Walgreens today and noted that there was a sign in front saying that they didn't have any masks left and that they didn't know when they were going to get more. Inside, there were a number of sections besides masks that were completely empty.

This Walgreens is in Mountain View, a few miles from the main Google campus in California.

Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#293
When Ebola was kicking off a few years ago I had a realization: If you wait to prepare until everyone agrees preparation makes sense then it's too late. That said the prepper mindset is a slippery slope... so I think the answer is to prepare some but don't get too into it.

Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#294

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Think of it this way. You are currently living in Wuhan circa mid-to-late January. Extrapolate from there.

Mortality in the west is way lower than what's been reported in China, healthcare and hygiene are very different, as is the distribution network. Even in wuhan the situation is stabilizing

That's because we still have plenty of reserve ICU capacity. As soon as that is maxed out the picture changes, rapidly. So better hope we never reach that stage.

Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#297
I recently returned from Asia and completed a 14-day self quarantine. I was there most of Jan and Feb, when the virus news was emerging.

The area I was in became highly xenophobic. It was disturbing to watch.

90% of prevention is just boosting the immune system, washing hands, and not touching your face.

Carry hand cleanser everywhere and use it frequently.

When I felt a scratch in my throat I'd stop by a 7 Eleven, buy a $1 bottle of gin, and gargle.

I contemplated actually consuming the gin. But that would take a toll on the immune system :-)

Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#298

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I grew up in a hurricane-prone state in the US. 95% of the time people stock up and panic and nothing happens. I'm talking about gas shortages and empty aisles in the grocery store. But the 5% where something does happen you wish you stocked up because you're not even able to leave the area because there is no gas. Not debating N95 masks effectiveness but I would rather be at least slightly repaired because things go…

Maybe it's more common in the US as it's more sparsely populated? As in there are more potentially isolated cities? The scenario you're describing doesn't seem plausible to happen in Milan

"It can't possibly happen here!" says increasingly nervous man.

Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#299
post #3

Things are simpler for me than for many, since I am retired. - Planning purchases for hunkering down for a few weeks: Food, water, batteries, water purifier, battery-powered radio, hand-crank power generator for radio, etc. - Sold 50% of my stock holdings. - Putting a large amount cash in my checking account. - Getting a smaller amount of cash (paper) to have at home.

If it's in your checking account it isn't cash.

Re: Ask HN: How are you preparing for COVID-19 disruptions?

#300
post #48

Wouldn't it be prudent to try and get the virus as soon as possible? Apparently, it's not that dangerous of a disease assuming you have medical care available. So, now is the time to get it... when you have the entire intensive care unit st your disposal. If you hide out in your bunker, wear your mask, and follow the CDC's advice, you'll probably not get it for a few months. But when you do, instead of having a nice…

You won't build up immunity and could easily be re-infected. Might even be a bigger chance because your immune system will still be weak.
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