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Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

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Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#161

Post by ripdog »

LeoPanthera wrote: post #110
chime wrote: post #93

For anyone looking for more, try the subreddits /r/Covid19 (scientific/medical info), /r/CoronaVirus (maintstream news), and /r/China_Flu (social posts).

I'm not sure I trust Reddit, or indeed any social media, for reliable reporting on such an emotive topic. There's already so much misinformation and conspiracy theories about the disease.

Reddit is mostly links to other sources, though. If you're reading self-posts on reddit, obviously be aware that they're not intended to be even seen as 'reporting', but rather discussion topics. /r/covid19 and /r/coronavirus are both well-moderated to remove rumors and rubbish.

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#162

Post by DoingIsLearning »

roywiggins wrote: post #33
TheSpiceIsLife wrote: post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does anyone know if ya can catch this thing twice? Or are we expecting it to mutate similar to cold n flu viruse?

Seems like yes, but not because it mutates, it's just that the immune response can be weak. Probably more of a risk for people with weak immune systems to start with. Everything I've read suggests that Coronaviruses are more stable, genetically speaking, than the flu. https://www.iflscience.com/health-and-medicine/its-possible-...

> Coronaviruses are more stable, genetically speaking, than the flu.

By more stable you mean less likely to mutate?

Would that mean a vaccine would be more effective in protecting against covid19 than a regular seasonaly changing flu?

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#163

Post by copperx »

thwer234324 wrote: post #30
JohnJamesRambo wrote: post #8

This may seem silly but this is one of my first confirmations about how serious this is.

Is this a good time to flag HNs self-conceited hive-mind ? Two days ago, HN was full of - 'LOL this is some Alex Jones level conspiracy'. Warnings by Harvard epidemiologists ? No. Virologists ? No. China quarantining half the population ? No. Only the tech 'wizards' from SV, have a monopoly on truth don't you know. The Orwellian censorship that has been unleashed by these idiots will do the world much more harm in th…

> Warnings by Harvard epidemiologists ? No.

Actually .... https://twitter.com/mlipsitch

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#164

Post by dharma1 »

TheSpiceIsLife wrote: post #14
JohnJamesRambo wrote: post #8

This may seem silly but this is one of my first confirmations about how serious this is.

Does anyone know if ya can catch this thing twice? Or are we expecting it to mutate similar to cold n flu viruse?

It seems it's possible to catch over and over, the body stops producing antibodies fairly shortly after infection has been fought off.

There isn't data about mutation yet.

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#165

Post by chime »

LeoPanthera wrote: post #110
chime wrote: post #93

For anyone looking for more, try the subreddits /r/Covid19 (scientific/medical info), /r/CoronaVirus (maintstream news), and /r/China_Flu (social posts).

I'm not sure I trust Reddit, or indeed any social media, for reliable reporting on such an emotive topic. There's already so much misinformation and conspiracy theories about the disease.

I agree. That's why I listed the 3 different subs with different moderation criteria. I would much prefer to hear from someone like Dr. Cole than a random anonymous tweet: https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/f9dbeq/covid19_wha...

> Dr Jennifer Cole is an Associate Fellow at RUSI. She was previously Senior Research Fellow, Resilience and Emergency Management from 2007-2017. Her research interests focus on international threats from emerging infectious diseases and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and the UK’s emergency preparedness and response capabilities, with particular regard to CBRN(E), pandemics, flood management, cyber security, resilient communications and the role of training and exercising in resilience.

> https://rusi.org/people/cole

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#166

Post by cylinder »

pengaru wrote: post #40
jamie_ca wrote: post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We were able to essentially starve SARS out of new people to infect. It had a 2-7 day incubation period, was not contagious before symptomatic, and spread by bodily fluid (coughing up water droplets, spread by touch to another). COVID-19 has a 21+ day incubation period, is contagious before you're symptomatic, and is possibly airborne (I haven't heard strong confirmation of that yet, but it's definitely more virulent…

And apparently it can survive on a stainless steel surface for 36 hours. [0] Also from [0] however: "Sunlight will cut the virus ability to grow in half so the half-life will be 2.5 minutes and in the dark it’s about 13m to 20m. Sunlight is really good at killing viruses. That’s why I believe that Australia and the southern hemisphere will not see any great infections rates because they have lots of sunlight and they…

well I can tell you we probably don't have many 30 degree days left in the parts of Australia where most people live. tomorrow in Sydney it will be a top of 23 probably. we are heading towards Autumn quickly and I'm already seeing people sniffling on the train.

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#167

Post by netheril96 »

nostromo wrote: post #122
rococode wrote: post #46

I've been checking for updates on the virus several times a day since it first started being reported in Western media around Jan 20 (in part because it's been a fun distraction, in part because I have friends in Wuhan). I like to think I'm generally an optimist, but I think it's been clear for several weeks now that this is going to have a significant worldwide impact. There are just too many factors in favor of unc…

It's worth reflecting on how many novel pandemics a 40 year old person has experienced in their lifetime. HIV, SARS, MERS, Ebola, Zika, COVID-19... For some reason it feels like a "only in the history books" event -- and yet it's actually quite common. The average-aged American (38) has lived through multiple epidemics -- including one that has killed 30 million people (HIV) -- and yet we barely talk about it.

COVID-19 is unlike anything before (in modern times).

Especially HIV. You don't catch HIV by boarding the subway, eating in a restaurant, or running a marathon. For most people, avoiding unsafe sex is enough to avoid HIV. But if COVID-19 spreads to their country, people's daily lives will be significantly disrupted.

SARS, MERS, Ebola, Zika are a little more like COVID-19, except they never propagate that far.

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#168

Post by DocG »

rococode wrote: post #46

I've been checking for updates on the virus several times a day since it first started being reported in Western media around Jan 20 (in part because it's been a fun distraction, in part because I have friends in Wuhan). I like to think I'm generally an optimist, but I think it's been clear for several weeks now that this is going to have a significant worldwide impact. There are just too many factors in favor of unc…

I can understand your point, but I think that is not going to be the case. As I understood, these viruses like mild climates. All souther countries are safer, in a way that virus can't survive for too long. And soon when the summer heat will reach China, the virus will whither there also.

Edit - some kind of source - https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/commentary/hot-climate-...

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#169

Post by ta999999171 »

testfoobar wrote: post #119

I know we haven't yet resolved what is happening now. But I'm curious - what happens this coming winter with this virus? It is my understanding that SARS and MERS were extinguished - they are not circulating anymore in the general population. Given the dispersion of this virus already, I can imagine hotspots rotating around the globe until the winter. Will it then explode in numbers once again in the colder temperatu…

It is Winter in parts of the world.

Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained

#170

Post by nicolas_t »

dis-sys wrote: post #129
Barrin92 wrote: post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>I'm curious how other folks who work at large tech shops in the valley feel about working from home for a while. Am in the UK and not the US but given that I'm healthy and relatively young I don't really see the point. This disease is scary in the aggregate, i.e it imposes huge economic costs. The average case of it is basically having flu symptoms, and I never stayed at home unless I got sick during bad flu seasons…

Multiple doctors in their late 20s or early 30s have died from the coronavirus. If you are under 18 and have good health, then you are pretty safe.

For the doctors in Wuhan in their late 20s and early 30s who died from the virus, overwork compromising their immune system might have been a factor.
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