This may seem silly but this is one of my first confirmations about how serious this is.
Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
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Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#12Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#13> coronavirus not contained by late May ?? It cannot be "contained" any more. Consensus is it's pandemic, it's not hard to see. Do we not understand how this works? What do reporters or the public think can happen? Even if there is a vaccination, which in reality will be years off, we can't even vaccinate measles across the world and certainly not by 'May'. We can't even supply gloves and face masks at the levels we…
IIRC the SARS outbreak in 2003 was "contained" within that year.
Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#14This may seem silly but this is one of my first confirmations about how serious this is.
Or are we expecting it to mutate similar to cold n flu viruse?
Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#15> coronavirus not contained by late May ?? It cannot be "contained" any more. Consensus is it's pandemic, it's not hard to see. Do we not understand how this works? What do reporters or the public think can happen? Even if there is a vaccination, which in reality will be years off, we can't even vaccinate measles across the world and certainly not by 'May'. We can't even supply gloves and face masks at the levels we…
Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#16Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#17This may seem silly but this is one of my first confirmations about how serious this is.
Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#18> coronavirus not contained by late May ?? It cannot be "contained" any more. Consensus is it's pandemic, it's not hard to see. Do we not understand how this works? What do reporters or the public think can happen? Even if there is a vaccination, which in reality will be years off, we can't even vaccinate measles across the world and certainly not by 'May'. We can't even supply gloves and face masks at the levels we…
IIRC the SARS outbreak in 2003 was "contained" within that year.
We're reaching a point where people far from typical travel hubs are showing up infected, but nobody around them is reported as being infected. That means there are silent cases lurking everywhere, undetected. To me that says two things. One is that it's highly under-reported, and two is that it's probably evolved to become something fairly mild and not much worse than a cold in most instances.
Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#19This may seem silly but this is one of my first confirmations about how serious this is.
It seems like the world is gradually acknowledging its seriousness as it continues to spread. This is certainly the highest-profile event that has considered cancellation.
Re: Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus not contained
#20Containing it? It's hopeless. Just cancel earlier so the economic loss can be contained.
Why? Because it buys time. If a vaccine can be developed, which is likely but certain to take some months, then you can inoculate the populace and end up in a situation where it's endemic-but-managed.
If you don't contain, however, then you assuredly burn through whatever portion of your populace will succumb to this thing, all but ensuring your nation's health service becomes overwhelmed, and as a bonus you stoke mutation due to a greater number of hosts.
Fatalism is not useful here and should not be encouraged under any circumstances. Containment efforts are never in vain.