Earlier quoted context omitted.
I guess we’ll keep calling it the coronavirus in casual conversation. I’m not sure if there’s a difference between calling it Ncov-2019 or COVID-2019 :/
nCoV-2019 is the virus and COVID-2019 is the disease.
Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
121–130 of 186 posts
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#122Today the cdc had a press conference announcing the quarantine release of 195 people who flew into the US from Wuhan, based on the assumption that being asymptomatic for 14 days is good enough [0]. Last I heard, WHO is calling the upper limit on incubation 24 days. This release is being done without any actual testing. Edit: seems all I can find from WHO is 14 days, the 24 day estimate was from this paper: https://ww…
> CDC believes at this time that symptoms of 2019-nCoV may appear in as few as 2 days or as long as 14 after exposure. This is based on what has been seen previously as the incubation period of MERS viruses.
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#123“worst flu season in modern times” — would that be when https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu killed one out of every 15 to 30 people then living, mostly within a period of two months? That sounds pretty bad.
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#124Earlier quoted context omitted.
Singapore also has a lot of air conditioning. Perhaps the transmission is occurring primarily indoors, away from the 30ºC heat.
The primary means of getting around in Singapore is public transportation (bus, train).
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#125Today the cdc had a press conference announcing the quarantine release of 195 people who flew into the US from Wuhan, based on the assumption that being asymptomatic for 14 days is good enough [0]. Last I heard, WHO is calling the upper limit on incubation 24 days. This release is being done without any actual testing. Edit: seems all I can find from WHO is 14 days, the 24 day estimate was from this paper: https://ww…
Sounds like fear mongering to me.
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#126Today the cdc had a press conference announcing the quarantine release of 195 people who flew into the US from Wuhan, based on the assumption that being asymptomatic for 14 days is good enough [0]. Last I heard, WHO is calling the upper limit on incubation 24 days. This release is being done without any actual testing. Edit: seems all I can find from WHO is 14 days, the 24 day estimate was from this paper: https://ww…
Have you got a link for the 24 days? The best I could find is that we're totally guessing things at this point. CDC says: > CDC believes at this time that symptoms of 2019-nCoV may appear in as few as 2 days or as long as 14 after exposure. This is based on what has been seen previously as the incubation period of MERS viruses.
From the WHO Q&A page,
> Current estimates of the incubation period range from 1-12.5 days with median estimates of 5-6 days. These estimates will be refined as more data become available. Based on information from other coronavirus diseases, such as MERS and SARS, the incubation period of 2019-nCoV could be up to 14 days. WHO recommends that the follow-up of contacts of confirmed cases is 14 days.
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#127Today the cdc had a press conference announcing the quarantine release of 195 people who flew into the US from Wuhan, based on the assumption that being asymptomatic for 14 days is good enough [0]. Last I heard, WHO is calling the upper limit on incubation 24 days. This release is being done without any actual testing. Edit: seems all I can find from WHO is 14 days, the 24 day estimate was from this paper: https://ww…
Have you got a link for the 24 days? The best I could find is that we're totally guessing things at this point. CDC says: > CDC believes at this time that symptoms of 2019-nCoV may appear in as few as 2 days or as long as 14 after exposure. This is based on what has been seen previously as the incubation period of MERS viruses.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.06.20020974v...
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#128Today the cdc had a press conference announcing the quarantine release of 195 people who flew into the US from Wuhan, based on the assumption that being asymptomatic for 14 days is good enough [0]. Last I heard, WHO is calling the upper limit on incubation 24 days. This release is being done without any actual testing. Edit: seems all I can find from WHO is 14 days, the 24 day estimate was from this paper: https://ww…
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#129“worst flu season in modern times” — would that be when https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu killed one out of every 15 to 30 people then living, mostly within a period of two months? That sounds pretty bad.
For purposes of discussion, I think they consider 102 years outside the range of “modern times”
Note that the mortality figures they're bandying about do intersect with the 1918 flu pandemic mortality rates at the high end.
Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’
#130Earlier quoted context omitted.
I just tried buying some today. It was tough to find any that didn’t seem like garbage. I found 2 cotton washable ones on amazon for way too much money. But I have a trip to Korea on Monday. So I figured it would be prudent. My understanding is that masks offer only minor protection against getting it, but help a lot against spreading it. They don’t stop a virus but they catch the snots.
>My understanding is that masks offer only minor protection against getting it, but help a lot against spreading it. They don’t stop a virus but they catch the snots. Correct.