Did you see Eric Raymond having a completely normal one about novel Coronavirus? http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=8587
uh...yeah... esr is basically Alex Jones if he were half as articulate and twice as ugly.
I read the post because I’m an idiot with too much time to kill. But basically it makes many extraordinary claims, in complete contradiction to reputable sources such as the CDC, supported by likely doctored “evidence” from internet trolls.
Later in the comments see him expertly proclaim that a video on YouTube is evidence of “chorea” which looks nothing like chorea. What a dipshit.
Honestly if there is truth to this article it is reassuring. I've been scouring the darker corners of the internet obsessively for every seemingly reputable bit of data under the assumption that virtually anything official out of China could not be trusted. This doctor is working on the absolute worst of cases and even they, it seems, have a high overall probability of survival. Also good to see some figures on the p…
> I've been scouring the darker corners of the internet obsessively for every seemingly reputable bit of data under the assumption that virtually anything official out of China could not be trusted. I do the same. If you can read Chinese, I strongly recommend you read Sina Weibo, a micro-blogging social media in China, or Toutiao. Read them quickly before posts are inevitably deleted by the censors. There are some tr…
Some say the mortality rate is 10-20% because the 1-2% numbers being passed around are comparing current deaths against current population who have the disease. Current deaths should be compared to the population that had the disease at the time they contracted it which was 1-2 weeks ago. The epidemic began only two weeks ago.
"The most regretful thing to me was a pregnant woman from Huanggang. She was in very serious condition. Nearly 200,000 yuan (S$39,505) was spent after more than a week in the ICU. She was from the countryside, and the money for hospitalisation was borrowed from her relatives and friends. Her condition was improving after the use of Ecmo, and she was likely to survive. But her husband decided to give up. He cried for…
Some say the mortality rate is 10-20% because the 1-2% numbers being passed around are comparing current deaths against current population who have the disease. Current deaths should be compared to the population that had the disease at the time they contracted it which was 1-2 weeks ago. The epidemic began only two weeks ago. https://qz.com/1798887/china-coronavirus-fatality-rate-is-to...
How useful is comparing deaths to confirmed recoveries?
Some say the mortality rate is 10-20% because the 1-2% numbers being passed around are comparing current deaths against current population who have the disease. Current deaths should be compared to the population that had the disease at the time they contracted it which was 1-2 weeks ago. The epidemic began only two weeks ago. https://qz.com/1798887/china-coronavirus-fatality-rate-is-to...
How useful is comparing deaths to confirmed recoveries?
While the epidemic is still in an exponential growth phase, not very useful, because death and recovery may not take the same average time from initial symptoms. Even a small difference in time will result in a huge bias in the death/recovery ratio, which right now is about 1:3, using the official statistics.
I'm curious, for most of the infected, is it obvious from the symptoms whether they have novel coronavirus, or just the regular flu? That is, the tail end is clearly deadly -- but for the average case, are symptoms much worse than the yearly flu, or around the same?
Beyond the actual mortality rate or possible sequelae (which seemed to occur in post-SARS survivors), the real danger lies in what the actual percentage of cases requiring hospitalization due to severity of pneumonia is (serious + critical condition). Some believe it to be a much higher percentage of the total # of cases than something like the flu, meaning if the infection spreads as much as the normal flu, we may s…
The corollary of this is that you don't even have to be infected with the coronavirus to die because of it. This coronavirus acts as figurative denial of service attack against hospitals. Anybody with a medical emergency is going to have an incresed risk of mortality if hospitals are swamped with an epidemic.
Honestly if there is truth to this article it is reassuring. I've been scouring the darker corners of the internet obsessively for every seemingly reputable bit of data under the assumption that virtually anything official out of China could not be trusted. This doctor is working on the absolute worst of cases and even they, it seems, have a high overall probability of survival. Also good to see some figures on the p…
We had a SARS outbreak in Taiwan since we trusted the statement from Chinese government back then. This time we assume coronavirus can do person to person transmission and blocked travel to WuHan back when CCP and WHO were downplaying its ability to spread. That's how we have less cases than Japan, Korea and Hong Kong now.
Recently Taiwanese people in WuHan asked for evacuation. CCP denied our request at first, then they allowed but the plane had to be operated by them. We requested to fly children, elderly and people with medical condition first, instead they flew wealthy businessmen with good connection to CCP and their China spouses. Three people on that plane exhibit symptoms at customs and one of them is confirmed infected with coronavirus. Now we have to quarantine all 200+ people boarded.
Honestly if there is truth to this article it is reassuring. I've been scouring the darker corners of the internet obsessively for every seemingly reputable bit of data under the assumption that virtually anything official out of China could not be trusted. This doctor is working on the absolute worst of cases and even they, it seems, have a high overall probability of survival. Also good to see some figures on the p…
I mentioned this in another thread as well but I recommend watching MedCram's video series on nCov. They have been doing daily videos since late January, [0] really good no nonsense information.