> Countries will create and promote digital/crypto versions of their fiat currencies Why? I don't see what would be the benefit of that. Fiat currency already is digital. And - at least where I live - domestic transfers are instant.
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What Will Happen in the 2020s
281–290 of 692 posts
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#282Bizarre: In chrome this is rendering as strange character set in UTF8, but HTML source shows correct english text output.
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#283Earlier quoted context omitted.
I really doubt dashcams and gps will be required in the next decade but I bet installing them will get you a discount of some kind.
The eCall system - which automatically phones the emergency services with your position after a crash - is already mandatory on new cars in the EU. The GPS is already there. Making further use of it, perhaps to assist self-driving cars, doesn't seem like such a stretch. (Which is not to say I welcome it.)
I don’t like this. I’m okay with dying in a cold river or a burning car after a crash if it means I don’t have to be worried about being tracked every second of my life.
At some point, its going to cost extra to buy cars without GPS trackers, houses without police-force endorses surveillance nets, or phones with an actual “off” button. This is much more pressing, in my opinion, than people buying into heavily processed meat substitutes.
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#284A few good takes, but China becoming the dominant global power? Not a good take. China is fairly good at a few things, namely lending money and manufacturing goods. What they aren’t good at is making people happy. See Hong Kong for the last 6 months. I don’t think the United States is becoming increasingly isolationist. I think we’ve seen a brief period of these attitudes, but it’s not indicative of the next decade i…
Watch a lecture by Peter Zeihan on YouTube. His entire thesis is the US is becoming isolationist. But yea I agree with you about China.
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Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#2856 is a big NO. The most part of diseases of this decade are caused by plant based diets. Humans need meat, without it we get sick. B12 can't be found in plants, there are plenty studies that shows how sick we get if we eat ONLY plants.
RE: The most part of diseases of this decade are caused by plant based diets
Do you have any studies that back up your claim that humans need meat to live a healthy life?
Several governmental bodies worldwide state[1] that one can live healthy using a plant based diet and The Physicians Committee for Responsible Medicine[0] even recommend a plant based diet for good health and disease prevention.
Did you know B12 is produced by bacteria and that some meat eaters are low in B12 and need to supplement. Animals in factory farms are being fed B12 supplements[2].
You might want to research this further so you're better informed next time you state information as fact. Or watch this documentary - https://gamechangersmovie.com/- it's on Netflix.
[0] https://www.pcrm.org/good-nutrition
[1] https://www.nhs.uk/live-well/eat-well/the-vegan-diet/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK396513/
[2] https://baltimorepostexaminer.com/carnivores-need-vitamin-b1...
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#286All cars will be required to have dashcams. Either by insurance companies or by governments. All cars will be required to have GPS, and be tracked in real time. This is already the case with the majority of commercial vehicles. Incremental steps in autonomous cars, first starting with 'drone' cars. Cars and trucks that are operated from a remote location. This will be piggy backed on existing technology. Cheap camera…
The GPS thing is a no-brainer, as we need it to replace fuel excise taxes. As for the rest, no way. The GOP has pivoted to being the rural party, and rural folks can not afford drone cars and will be paralyzed without them.
I recall a discussion of this point on HN a long time ago, but GPS is only one way to charge taxes based on vehicle miles traveled (VMT) - another, which is less invasive, is just to read the vehicle's odometer on some regular basis, either by hand when doing an annual vehicle safety inspection, or automatically by having the vehicle transmit the data. Certainly those have risks of tampering, but so does GPS.
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#287Fred Wilson (A VC) somehow dominates HN last New year as well... And was so completely wrong it’s shocking anyone would promote him year after year.
It’s obvious to me people are doing so only because they WANT all these predictions to come true not that they have any basis in reality. It’s bubble talk for bubble people, no offense.
His solution to NN (which we all died from, remember?) was “blockchain”.
Here he is last year heavily propped up for saying Trump wouldn’t be in office after Mueller probe... Remember the Mueller results? Anyone not involved in hyper partisan politics knew it was going to be a dud. https://avc.com/2019/01/what-is-going-to-happen-in-2019/
Just browsing his previous predictions just makes more curious how he gets spotlights here every year. 2018 he made a list “questions” answering only some himself, about 1/2 wrong. And 2017 is just... well... AI isn’t the new Mobile, Cyberwarfare isn’t the new Cold War: https://avc.com/2017/01/what-is-going-to-happen-in-2017/
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#288A few good takes, but China becoming the dominant global power? Not a good take. China is fairly good at a few things, namely lending money and manufacturing goods. What they aren’t good at is making people happy. See Hong Kong for the last 6 months. I don’t think the United States is becoming increasingly isolationist. I think we’ve seen a brief period of these attitudes, but it’s not indicative of the next decade i…
I agree except with your last sentence. They have the biggest total pollution, but their pollution per capita is actually low compared to eastern countries, and they are investing and legislating aggressively for clean tech.
Furthermore to your point, I don't think we need to look at pollution from a more holistic point of view. How much of the pollution in China is due to them manufacturing and "recycling" goods for the west? Can we look at pollution that has been "offshored" and calculate that into the mix?
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#289Good predictions. Didn't mention distributed/remote work. Not sure if that's because it's so obvious a trend as to be boring? I think he's early on the plant-based diet prediction, but correct in 20-30 years. Actually a lot of these seem like trends that might take more than 10 years, but have a high chance of being correct eventually.
Distributed work will continue to be a minor thing prevalent mainly in tech circles. Human nature doesn’t change on 10 year timescales. We’re tribal beings who organize around work and family. Best Buy’s pullback from it for their office staff is instructive.
Yeah I've been doing remote 95% of the last couple years and it takes a toll not being able to be around people at all. Even as a mostly introverted person who needs quiet alone time for solving harder problems and general flow state. There's something about social interaction that helps with motivation that I find hard to get over chat and video. This is assuming the people are not toxic somehow.
Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s
#290Earlier quoted context omitted.
Here's a possible reason for why a crypto fiat currency with a distributed ledger might be attractive. Currently, all fiat currencies operate with a central ledger at whatever central bank is authorized to print or destroy units of the currency. For example, every US dollar is linked through a chain of deposits and liabilities back to an account at the Fed since any bank operating in the US is required to hold an acc…
So what is the incentive for countries with geopolitical clout? Why wouldn’t they just make it illegal?
The incentive is for countries with less geopolitical clout to use cryptocurrencies to pull more countries towards their bloc. I don't see the US moving towards cryptocurrencies anytime soon.