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What Will Happen in the 2020s

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Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#31
6 is a big NO. The most part of diseases of this decade are caused by plant based diets. Humans need meat, without it we get sick. B12 can't be found in plants, there are plenty studies that shows how sick we get if we eat ONLY plants.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#32
Any prediction of decentralisation of the Internet, or anything built on it, needs to explain how this will overcome the economies of scale (1 big data centre is cheaper than 1000 little ones) and the network effects (everyone buys and sells through Amazon because thats where you find the most buyers and sellers).

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#33
post #10
post #2

>5/ A decentralized internet will emerge, led initially by decentralized infrastructure services like storage, bandwidth, compute, etc. The emergence of decentralized consumer applications will be slow to take hold and a killer decentralized consumer app will not emerge until the latter part of the decade. The pendulum of history suggests this will occur (at some point), and I hope it happens sooner than later in man…

ipfs, dat, zeronet I think are good examples of the sparks you are looking for. These are outside of the blockchain world of compute/storage as a service attempts that got started suring the ico goldrush and seem to be doing quite well for themselves.

i might categorize protocols (or even combining ipfs and dat as the basis of interesting solutions) as fuel. not sure they are the spark that lights the fire.

maybe that sounds like semantics, so to propose a rough taxonomy of different types of actors:

a. nation state level superpowers

b. nation state level challengers

c. large business / incumbents / leaders

d. small business / startups / challengers

e. individuals / consumers / social groups

f. possibly horizontal groups across combinations of the above

it would seem at least one of those groups would need to believe they can reap move-the-needle level benefits from decentralized internet in order to spark progress?

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#34
post #31

6 is a big NO. The most part of diseases of this decade are caused by plant based diets. Humans need meat, without it we get sick. B12 can't be found in plants, there are plenty studies that shows how sick we get if we eat ONLY plants.

Aren't there a lot of people currently following vegetarian diets and not getting sick?

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#36
post #15
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

GenX is tiny and has failed to progress forward precisely because it is so small compared to the Boomers and Millennials. Also by the end of the decade parts of GenX will be approaching 60.

"GenX ... has failed to progress forward"? Did I stop aging at some point and not notice?

What you’re perceiving as aging is merely an illusion created in your mind when you look in the mirror. You think you must be aging because most people do, in fact, age.

What you need to realize is that Gen X is stuck in a crack in time that halts the aging process for them. All of them. A side effect of this is that while they can interact with the world and almost be perceived, they actually have been forgotten by the rest of the world.

On occasion a regular aging schmuck will notice a wild Gen Xer and be able to interact with them whilst the Xer is within their field of perception, however these interactions are invariably fleeting and almost immediately forgotten for it leaves the regular person’s body and mind in a strangely exhausted state. Interacting with a forgotten person stresses the body, and so while someone may not exactly know why they wish to flee from this person that seems like another person, at some point the brain sends the neurological equivalent of a kill -9 to end the conversation. It is estimated that about 200,000 Gen Xers are killed a year in this way, but nobody has been convicted since 1. nobody has been able to find the bodies again and 2. Even if they were, it would probably be ruled as self-defense and 3. All memory of the events that transpired invariably slips away from the living.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#37
post #28

I kind of doubt most of these. My prediction: 1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / disappearances will occur. 2. we will have further centralization of the internet 3. Solar will only account for 10k Gw 4. Agree that nuclear will make a massive resurgence 5. Gas will still be the dominate power source for mobile transportation, but less so. Thi…

>China will fall >Saudi will have a violent revolution Very very unfortunately, this sounds more like wishful thinking than a reasonable prediction. The ways in which modern states can maintain power and suppress their people is overwhelming. China can and has built perhaps the most oppressive totalitarian state ever to have existed. Saudi is diversifying its absurd wealth to resist downturns in oil, and the "first w…

Yep, and the thing is that most Chinese don't even mind the high level of control for the time being. I don't see any significant large scale instability as long as the material quality of life continues to improve for the average Chinese.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#38

I kind of doubt most of these. My prediction: 1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / disappearances will occur. 2. we will have further centralization of the internet 3. Solar will only account for 10k Gw 4. Agree that nuclear will make a massive resurgence 5. Gas will still be the dominate power source for mobile transportation, but less so. Thi…

>1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / disappearances will occur.

>6. Saudi Arabia will have a violent revolution

why do people make these kinds of predictions. they're so uninformed it's beyond the pale.

china and SA are two of the most authoritarian and simultaneously well-funded (effective and efficient) governments on the planets -- we're not talking libya here (let alone syria, venezuela which still stand in their pre-upheavel form). how do you practically imagine either of these things happening? like a superhero comes down and leads the charge?

do you know what it actually takes to organize on such a massive scale as to bring down a state? here in america we can't get enough grass-roots organization for free health-care and tertiary education. and you think somewhere in china is a political mind so brilliant that they'll be able to organize some portion of 3x the population to violent revolution (since they don't have elections)?

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#39
post #17

> We will see nuclear power make a resurgence around the world, particularly smaller reactors that are easier to build and safer to operate. Funny, I was digging into this issue just this morning. One family member supports Andrew Yang, but another won't support anyone who advocates for nuclear power. Despite Thorium not being fully proven yet, I lean toward agreement with Yang: https://en.howtruthful.com/o/nuclear_p…

[deleted]

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#40
Bitcoin and Urbit will come to dominate the political, economic and social landscape of the Internet.

Wikipedia will decay and become increasingly difficult to use. It will be supplanted by something built on top of Urbit.

Marvel will take over the reigns of the Star Wars franchise.

Elizabeth Warren will be President.

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