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What Will Happen in the 2020s

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Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#21
post #5
post #3

>9/ We will finally move on from the Baby Boomers dominating the conversation in the US and around the world and Millennials and Gen-Z will be running many institutions by the end of the decade. And as typical in such pieces, GenX gets forgotten...

Straight from "those who have the most experience" to "those who yell the loudest". Can't say I'm looking forward to it.

Excellent saying - sums it up perfectly.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#22
I'm seeing a database error, but there's a similar site with 2020 predictions (and onwards):

https://futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2020-2029.htm

Most of the 'predictions' have links explaining why they think this may occur in that timeframe, e.g., this one about exascale computers: https://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2021.htm#exascale

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#23
>7/[...] The early years of this decade will produce a wave of hype and investment in the space business but returns will be slow to come and we will be in a trough of disillusionment on the space business as the decade comes to an end.

I guess this depends on SpaceX's success with the Starship - if a rocket that is made outside a cleanroom and with cheap rolled steel frame proves to be usable means that going to space becomes very very accessible.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#24
post #4
post #3

>9/ We will finally move on from the Baby Boomers dominating the conversation in the US and around the world and Millennials and Gen-Z will be running many institutions by the end of the decade. And as typical in such pieces, GenX gets forgotten...

GenX is tiny and has failed to progress forward precisely because it is so small compared to the Boomers and Millennials. Also by the end of the decade parts of GenX will be approaching 60.

What makes you think there's an anti-correlation between "approaching 60" and "running many institutions" rather than a correlation?

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#25

I kind of doubt most of these. My prediction: 1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / disappearances will occur. 2. we will have further centralization of the internet 3. Solar will only account for 10k Gw 4. Agree that nuclear will make a massive resurgence 5. Gas will still be the dominate power source for mobile transportation, but less so. Thi…

I'd bet the farm, all the farms, that your list turns out more correct than the one at the link.

The item on your list I have the biggest issue with is 10. We'll still be catching plenty of fish in the wild (but some places that fish are plentiful today won't be that way) in another 10 years.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#26
China is not going to provide a crypto version of its currency. The Chinese government is all about centralisation and control. It will go for electronic transactions via a few tightly-controlled banks combined with the elimination of physical cash.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#27
post #5
post #3

>9/ We will finally move on from the Baby Boomers dominating the conversation in the US and around the world and Millennials and Gen-Z will be running many institutions by the end of the decade. And as typical in such pieces, GenX gets forgotten...

Straight from "those who have the most experience" to "those who yell the loudest". Can't say I'm looking forward to it.

Really? Honestly I hate generation-based generalizations. Each group is the result of different circumstances and faces different generational challenges.

That said, if anything, a cursory glance at my Facebook feed reveals the boomers yelling the loudest.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#28

I kind of doubt most of these. My prediction: 1. China will fall to internal strife of some kind. Still may maintain power, but famine and mass executions / disappearances will occur. 2. we will have further centralization of the internet 3. Solar will only account for 10k Gw 4. Agree that nuclear will make a massive resurgence 5. Gas will still be the dominate power source for mobile transportation, but less so. Thi…

>China will fall

>Saudi will have a violent revolution

Very very unfortunately, this sounds more like wishful thinking than a reasonable prediction. The ways in which modern states can maintain power and suppress their people is overwhelming. China can and has built perhaps the most oppressive totalitarian state ever to have existed. Saudi is diversifying its absurd wealth to resist downturns in oil, and the "first world" is still hapelly grovelling and kissing the rings of that disgusting despot, selling them weapons and propping them up diplomatically. All in all, I don't have my hopes up.

It's all rather depressing.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#29
In my view being optimistic about the future is in conflict with believing that China will become the dominant power. There are many concerning signals from China, not least the situation of Muslims and also the surveillance state. There is much we don't know about the true situation of debt, public and private, in China.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#30
post #26

China is not going to provide a crypto version of its currency. The Chinese government is all about centralisation and control. It will go for electronic transactions via a few tightly-controlled banks combined with the elimination of physical cash.

This has already happened AFAIK.
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