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What Will Happen in the 2020s

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Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#221

Post by hanniabu »

Animats wrote: post #174
seanalltogether wrote: post #90

> Plant based diets will dominate the world by the end of the decade. Eating meat will become a delicacy, much like eating caviar is today. Much of the world’s food production will move from farms to laboratories. This needs a huge asterisks at the end of it right? You could argue that plant based diets already dominate the world. Now if he's claiming that "muscular" foods that are produced in a lab will pound for po…

Look at Impossible Burger. Burger King sells them. Try an Impossible Whopper alongside the Beef Whopper. They're making a million pounds of burgers a month, from soy, potatoes, and heme for the meat flavor. Their plant in Oakland is only the size of a supermarket. This isn't an expensive product to make. When the beef industry's lobbyist in Washington first tried one, he called his people and said, "Guys, we have a p…

> When the beef industry's lobbyist in Washington first tried one, he called his people and said, "Guys, we have a problem".

Source? This just sounds like a story made up for advertisement.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#222

Post by joejerryronnie »

nine_k wrote: post #195
joejerryronnie wrote: post #152

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A coworker and I were discussing this trend as it relates to the physical workspace. We imagined a psuedo-virtual cubical which you can “decorate” in any theme you’d like - jungle, sci-fi, steampunk, tropical beach, etc. - which would be rendered by your coworkers’ AR wearables/implants. My favorite concept of that discussion was virtual guardians to protect your flow - look, you can interrupt that developer but you’…

I, for one, make my physical workspace disappear from my view as much as possible. When I'm at my desk, 99% of what I see is my screen, 1% goes for the occasional look at the tea cup. No room, or need, for decorations and fluff.

In a sense, you are already virtualizing your workspace in macintosh-chic :)

Perhaps your coworkers would be required to execute a perfect Japanese tea ceremony before interrupting you.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#223

Post by dmurray »

aquaticsunset wrote: post #193
criddell wrote: post #188

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The rationale is taxation. As more cars go electric they have to replace the gasoline tax.

What country is this intended to be in? I can see it, possibly, happening in more forward minded societies... but certainly not the United States. If anything because there’s no way in hell they can cost effectively retrofit the vast amount of old vehicles we all tend to drive here.

The cash for clunkers program paid $4k to everyone with an old car. A couple of hundred dollars for GPS trackers (and transmitters, which is presumably what is meant) seems well within the collective budget of all parties who pay for cars in the US.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#224

Post by rch »

mymythisisthis wrote: post #166
dagss wrote: post #144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The internet is already a huge step up in communication from 20 years ago. Turns out people use that to find ideologically likeminded people meaning tribalist movements everywhere are stronger now than before internet came along. 90's were full of optimism about how tribalism could be overcome that is completely vanished now. From the same technological situation you describe I can only think of how people would use…

The Internet had temperately killed technical clubs like HAM radio, wood working shops etc., as people got into coding and could collaborate remotely. Around 2008 lots of Makerspaces started to open, but not nearly enough, the maker movement has stalled though. We need to rethink the ways schools operate, from 8am-3pm they can be for kids. After 4pm they can be adult learning hubs, maker spaces, DIY bicycle repair sh…

I think libraries are a better fit than public schools, and some already have maker spaces, seed banks or gardens, and opportunities for continuing education. With funding provided by a dedicated library district (which is increasingly common) in addition to private foundation support, these institutions can have a significant positive impact in the communities they serve.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#225

Post by evgen »

ianai wrote: post #151
csomar wrote: post #102

> The looming climate crisis will be to this century what the two world wars were to the previous one. I don't think so. WWII was a war between two fronts. Climate change affects countries very differently. The ones not affected much will unlikely contribute. My guess is that everyone to his own in this one. > experiments to reallocate wealth and income more equitably will produce a new generation of world leaders wh…

China doomed to fail based on what?

Demographics if nothing else. I am now betting that China is going to grow old before it becomes rich, I think they made a good try but will end up losing that race. China has a gender imbalance that is going to cause serious problems over the next decade, both due to social disruptions caused by a staggering cohort of men who will never find brides and by the hit these 'missing families' will have on the next generation.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#226

Post by ianai »

roenxi wrote: post #207
wallace_f wrote: post #167

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If most billionaires are optimizing for social image / good will, your idea makes no sense to most of those people.

On inspection, if they are optimising for social image / good will then a marketing campaign is the obvious starting point.

Their money can market both that nuclear is safe and they’re to be trusted. Plenty of oxygen for both.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#228

Post by throwawayhhakdl »

mc32 wrote: post #191
allovernow wrote: post #159

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sounds like a soul crushing job.

There are all sorts of people. To some art is “boring”. To some being a refuse truck operator is interesting or being a remote crane operator is exciting. I’ve met people who straight up love “cold calling”. I cannot cold call for the life of me. Some people are excited by engaging with strangers and trying to get them excited about a product or service.

Sure, some people may find being a garbage man to be even erotically stimulating, but that doesn’t mean the majority of garbage men think it’s all that great. It’s a relatively pointless observation.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#229

Post by bobajeff »

gfodor wrote: post #94
jstimpfle wrote: post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What are your thoughts considering that VR was supposed to be the next big thing in the 90s already (at least from what I remember hearing...) and what are your thoughts regarding human chemistry?

The tech track towards full perceptual override in this current generation of VR is fairly well understood and has been on track, though slightly delayed, for approx 7 years now, with the current Oculus Quest device being the best available, and something many of us in the industry felt was almost a dream possibility a few short years ago. So I'm fairly optimistic that the tech will mature to a point where it is effo…

The problem with all these predictions about VR taking over, is they seem to pretend that visual sense is the Holy Grail of VR immersion we've all been waiting for. But that's a far cry from what was imagined in The Lawnmower Man or The Matrix. In reality we have 4 other senses to take care of first.

In the mean time you just have a display that obstructs your view and which can't be tolerated for more than a couple of hours.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#230

Post by Spooky23 »

mymythisisthis wrote: post #126

All cars will be required to have dashcams. Either by insurance companies or by governments. All cars will be required to have GPS, and be tracked in real time. This is already the case with the majority of commercial vehicles. Incremental steps in autonomous cars, first starting with 'drone' cars. Cars and trucks that are operated from a remote location. This will be piggy backed on existing technology. Cheap camera…

The GPS thing is a no-brainer, as we need it to replace fuel excise taxes.

As for the rest, no way. The GOP has pivoted to being the rural party, and rural folks can not afford drone cars and will be paralyzed without them.

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