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What Will Happen in the 2020s

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Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#211

Post by SideburnsOfDoom »

RivieraKid wrote: post #180
mymythisisthis wrote: post #126

All cars will be required to have dashcams. Either by insurance companies or by governments. All cars will be required to have GPS, and be tracked in real time. This is already the case with the majority of commercial vehicles. Incremental steps in autonomous cars, first starting with 'drone' cars. Cars and trucks that are operated from a remote location. This will be piggy backed on existing technology. Cheap camera…

The GPS thing is unlikely, what would be the rationale of that? This would be a very unpopular policy.

> The GPS thing is unlikely

How so? Why would a new car not come with GPS navigation on the dash? Why would a new car not come with a data connection? These are commodities, your phone has them.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#212

Post by Reedx »

brlewis wrote: post #17

> We will see nuclear power make a resurgence around the world, particularly smaller reactors that are easier to build and safer to operate. Funny, I was digging into this issue just this morning. One family member supports Andrew Yang, but another won't support anyone who advocates for nuclear power. Despite Thorium not being fully proven yet, I lean toward agreement with Yang: https://en.howtruthful.com/o/nuclear_p…

It's incredibly unfortunate nuclear has such a bad PR problem, as we need it to get to large scale clean energy. If we had properly invested in nuclear earlier, we'd probably be in a much better position today. Now we need to play catchup.

It was a smart move by Yang to bring up new technologies, which most don't seem to be aware of yet, and provides a way forward through the PR problem.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#213

Post by mymythisisthis »

RivieraKid wrote: post #180
mymythisisthis wrote: post #126

All cars will be required to have dashcams. Either by insurance companies or by governments. All cars will be required to have GPS, and be tracked in real time. This is already the case with the majority of commercial vehicles. Incremental steps in autonomous cars, first starting with 'drone' cars. Cars and trucks that are operated from a remote location. This will be piggy backed on existing technology. Cheap camera…

The GPS thing is unlikely, what would be the rationale of that? This would be a very unpopular policy.

Not everything is done for a rational choice, or even moderately good reasoning. Insurance companies what to know where you drive, when, and have a dashcam video if you get into an accident. Government want to experiment with different forms of taxation. Police and courts want to track people convicted of crimes. Employers want to know that their company car is being used responsibly. Car companies get sued for making fast cars, start to install GPS for liability. Municipalities want to fine/tax speeders. Cars that are on lease can be tracked and shut down remotely if payments stop. All these reasons start to add up.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#214

Post by almost_usual »

ianai wrote: post #151
csomar wrote: post #102

> The looming climate crisis will be to this century what the two world wars were to the previous one. I don't think so. WWII was a war between two fronts. Climate change affects countries very differently. The ones not affected much will unlikely contribute. My guess is that everyone to his own in this one. > experiments to reallocate wealth and income more equitably will produce a new generation of world leaders wh…

China doomed to fail based on what?

Witness what’s going on in Hong Kong? There’s plenty of speculation that what’s happening there is being funded or supported by an opposing party in China. Older generations are also implicitly supporting protestors there very carefully. The young college kids are who everyone sees but there is a lot happening behind the curtain.

China has had multiple generations of unrest. It isn’t just the young generation that is ready for change.

I wouldn’t say China itself is doomed but communism there might be.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#215

Post by hanniabu »

rishirishi wrote: post #208
dclowd9901 wrote: post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Free remote data storage + cell phone mesh network?

Who pays for the "free remote data storage"? And who writes the software for the cell phone mesh network?

The people operating them if you have the proper incentives in place such as is done with cryptocurrencies. They pay the upfront operational cost and then are paid for usage by those using the network.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#216

Post by nine_k »

toyg wrote: post #138
seanalltogether wrote: post #90

> Plant based diets will dominate the world by the end of the decade. Eating meat will become a delicacy, much like eating caviar is today. Much of the world’s food production will move from farms to laboratories. This needs a huge asterisks at the end of it right? You could argue that plant based diets already dominate the world. Now if he's claiming that "muscular" foods that are produced in a lab will pound for po…

Same. Beyond the obvious lack of perspective on the developing world (where meat-eating can only grow), entire cultures are completely wrapped up in the rituals around eating meat and will resist any attempt to go back to the bad old days of meat scarcity.

If artificial meat becomes really good, these cultures won't need to change.

Real meat, and all the rituals down to the actual killing of it publicly, can still coexist with artificial meat, with an elevated status, like marble beef, or having a sheep solemnly slain for a feast, already are today.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#217

Post by seanalltogether »

Animats wrote: post #174
seanalltogether wrote: post #90

> Plant based diets will dominate the world by the end of the decade. Eating meat will become a delicacy, much like eating caviar is today. Much of the world’s food production will move from farms to laboratories. This needs a huge asterisks at the end of it right? You could argue that plant based diets already dominate the world. Now if he's claiming that "muscular" foods that are produced in a lab will pound for po…

Look at Impossible Burger. Burger King sells them. Try an Impossible Whopper alongside the Beef Whopper. They're making a million pounds of burgers a month, from soy, potatoes, and heme for the meat flavor. Their plant in Oakland is only the size of a supermarket. This isn't an expensive product to make. When the beef industry's lobbyist in Washington first tried one, he called his people and said, "Guys, we have a p…

And if he had made a prediction based on processed meats like burgers, deli meat or sausages being outsold by lab derived products it would have been an interesting prediction, but there is a wide variety of animal meats that people rely on day to day.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#218

Post by hanniabu »

amursft wrote: post #53
djmips wrote: post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This has already happened AFAIK.

I recall seeing that they were experimenting with it. Yep, here's a story from August. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-12/china-s-p...

From this week: https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2020/12/30/china...

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#219

Post by criddell »

aquaticsunset wrote: post #193
criddell wrote: post #188

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The rationale is taxation. As more cars go electric they have to replace the gasoline tax.

What country is this intended to be in? I can see it, possibly, happening in more forward minded societies... but certainly not the United States. If anything because there’s no way in hell they can cost effectively retrofit the vast amount of old vehicles we all tend to drive here.

If I had to implement it, I’d do a two stage system. If you install a tracker you pay ten cents per mile. If you don’t have a tracker you have to report mileage every year and pay twelve cents per mile plus a $40 processing fee.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#220

Post by petters »

RivieraKid wrote: post #175

> Countries will create and promote digital/crypto versions of their fiat currencies Why? I don't see what would be the benefit of that. Fiat currency already is digital. And - at least where I live - domestic transfers are instant.

Giving each citizen an account at the central bank. Then everyone will have access to "real" money digitally (not only via cash, which is currently the case).
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