Live data from Hacker News

Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

latimes.com

111–120 of 236 posts

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's a non-sequitur unless the average driver the autopilot is replacing is alert and focused.

Or you could have only the automatic emergency braking in a vehicle, and not autosteer. Stop acting like it's all or nothing. The technology behind autopilot is being touted as driverless/self-driving, but it can do passive accident avoidance. That should be the benchmark to compare too. In this particular case, humans get distracted and get in an accident. Autopilot is dumb as shit and gets in an accident. But a hum…

There are accidents caused by cruise control.

That's your Level 1 example. Yet Level 1 systems are not banned.

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It only highlights how incredibly dumb these autopilots are. They’re incredibly diligent but completely fail at the necessary skill of understanding . What is the point of any of this if the car with all of its sensors knowingly plows into a stationary red 30-ton obstacle. It’s something that a 4 year old human would understand instantly as an object to be avoided at all cost. I really think folks don’t realize how c…

Sounds like dumb policy to me. Why wouldn’t it stop for a boulder or fallen tree?

Because it's a Level 2 system, and it doesn't actually know how to drive a car.

Similar to how cruise control (Level 1) doesn't know how to drive a car. Yet people are willing to put up with the concept that it causes some accidents.

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You absolutely can't challenge someone's personal experience with statistics, but something about this line of argument still troubles me. I've lost a handful of close friends to car accidents. If survivorship grants standing, then I'm for doing almost anything to reduce the tens of thousands of US road deaths each year. Survivors have been angry at safety tech before, but we generally ignore them. I've known people…

People understand drunk drivers. They understand distracted drivers. They’re angry, rightfully so, but it’s a known problem and easy to comprehend. We can make laws tougher and feel good about it, even if it doesn’t help much. It’s harder to emotionally cope with, I speculate, when someone you love is killed by a software bug, or by machine learning where no one can precisely explain why it made a certain choice. I’m…

> but it’s a known problem and easy to comprehend... It's harder emotionally... when someone you love is killed by a software bug

Sure, I understand how a poorly designed steel guardrail can ride up the front of a vehicle and crush the chest of someone I had hugged a week earlier.

My sense is that understanding does not lessen the pain.

You seem to basically be trying to explain how hypothetical people that you are imagining could be experiencing pain that is more salient than mine.

I don't see how this takes us anywhere good.

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#114

Fire truck driver here: People crash into parked fire trucks and ambulances and cop cars all the damn time . That's why we park the Big Red Truck at an angle behind the accident -- so that when the 2-ton car crashes into the 30-ton truck, the car will bounce off and the people behind the truck (us) won't be injured. I don't disagree that Tesla's software is partly to blame here, but the null experiment also has a lou…

This one time I go stopped at a fruit fly control point on the border between South Australia and Victoria, near Bordertown. The person staffing the control point indicated with hand signals for me to stop on the highway in the lane I was in. So I slowed down to walking speed and pulled off the highway into the car park next to the office. The agent then lectured me about not following instructions and that she could…

Interesting, I am pretty sure in Germany they do just that: they drive with you to the next exit. They have a huge display that tells you to follow.

At least according to my anecdotal evidence.

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Statistics makes for a tough sell to the survivors. “Yes, this autonomous vehicle killed your son who just happened to be in the wrong place at the wrong time, but someone else’s son would have died in an unrelated accident somewhere else were it not for autonomy.”

You absolutely can't challenge someone's personal experience with statistics, but something about this line of argument still troubles me. I've lost a handful of close friends to car accidents. If survivorship grants standing, then I'm for doing almost anything to reduce the tens of thousands of US road deaths each year. Survivors have been angry at safety tech before, but we generally ignore them. I've known people…

> If the worst 10% have most of the accidents, then even a car that makes us safer than the mean driver could still make 90% of us less safe. We really want a car that makes us safer than our percentile of drivers.

The standard shouldn't really vary per-person.

If it's as good as a 50th percentile driver, it's good enough.

If it's as good as a 20th percentile driver, that's also probably fine.

You're right not to touch the mean at all, though.

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There was a period of a few years where I drove a track-prepped race car on the street daily, with out of state plates for emissions reasons, and it resulted in a lot of police encounters.

Has there been any studies of this? I think it’s well known that if you drive a sports car you get pulled over more often, but I drive a beat up pickup in the south of USA and almost never get pulled over even though I’m frequently 5-10 MPH over the speed limit. Would be interesting to see pickup vs a normal mid range sedan vs sports cars in numbers. Maybe throw in out of state plates as an extra variable.

I drive a Subaru WRX STI which is one of the most expensive to insure vehicles due to it be one of the most ticketed and crashed vehicles. I have never been pulled over while driving it. I have been pulled over in my Wrangler many times while obeying all laws, but never had a ticket from it.

https://insurify.com/insights/car-models-with-the-most-speed...

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#117
post #7

The driver was found using his phone, over-relied on the autopilot system, and lied about what he was doing when being questioned. Sadly, we can't 100% trust these automated driving systems yet so folks need to stay attentive behind the wheel. The more accidents like this will cause lawmakers to create laws that can potentially slow down automated driving development.

The best way to stay attentive behind the wheel is to actually be the one driving. There's virtually no way of being both attentive and passive for long periods of time. If a driver can't check their email or whatever on their phone while autopilot is on, then autopilot is not safe to put in cars. And while I'm okay with not-exactly-safe for most things people willingly consume or use, driving is not an area where it…

>If a driver can't check their email or whatever on their phone while autopilot is on, then autopilot is not safe to put in cars.

Have you ever looked at other drivers on the highway? You see people texting, emailing, eating, shaving, doing their makeup, reading a book, the list goes on and on. If there is an activity you can do while seated, odds are people are doing it while driving.

That is one of the flaws with a lot of the complaints about Autopilot. The question isn't whether Autopilot is safer than an attentive driver. It is whether it is safer than the average driver and the average driver is not attentive 100% of the time. And there simply isn't enough data available in the public to say whether a Tesla with Autopilot is or is not safer than the average driver.

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#118

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It is certainly okay when the rates at which these things happen is lower than the rates at which non-self driving cars have accidents. Eh, Tesla likes to point to this statistic every time the safety of Autopilot comes into question, but it is an apples-to-oranges comparison because AP is only used on highways where traffic incidents are already far less common per mile driven. Detailed data is hard to come by, bu…

The way I remember it, Telsa keeps saying something like 'Autopilot is way safer than all-other-road-vehicles-combined'. What's the point of comparing Telsa Autopilot related crashes to crashes involving at least one motorcycle? I think it's obvious the answer is: deception*.

That's one possible answer. If they're trying to make their car seem safer than other cars, it's a deceptive statistic to use.

But when the argument is "using the vehicle this way is a lot safer than the minimum requirements to be on the road", it's a relevant and fair statistic.

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#119
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It only highlights how incredibly dumb these autopilots are. They’re incredibly diligent but completely fail at the necessary skill of understanding . What is the point of any of this if the car with all of its sensors knowingly plows into a stationary red 30-ton obstacle. It’s something that a 4 year old human would understand instantly as an object to be avoided at all cost. I really think folks don’t realize how c…

This is completely ridiculous. Adults drive into stationary objects all the time. 4 year olds walk into stationary objects all the time. As far as I'm concerned, there is only one criterion that matters when evaluating self driving cars: is it better than human drivers? The fact that we are still discussing this _one_ accident that happened _a year ago_ indicates to me that the answer is a resounding yes.

Not all the time, only when not paying attention. This system was paying attention and still run into obstacles. Can you imagine a human driver looking at something on the road and going "eh, I don't know what this is, so I probably should not brake".

Re: Tesla’s Autopilot found partly to blame for 2018 crash on the 405

#120

Fire truck driver here: People crash into parked fire trucks and ambulances and cop cars all the damn time . That's why we park the Big Red Truck at an angle behind the accident -- so that when the 2-ton car crashes into the 30-ton truck, the car will bounce off and the people behind the truck (us) won't be injured. I don't disagree that Tesla's software is partly to blame here, but the null experiment also has a lou…

No TMA vehicles? I haven't seen an accident without TMA here, I think no one is even supposed to go out to the accident before the TMA is in place.
Post reply on HN