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Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

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Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#181
post #98

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> China has nukes. Absolutely nothing will happen China has shown (again) in their treatment of Hong Kong that they don't care about past agreements. The least that anyone can do, even in the presence of nukes, is to get their business out of China, and that is already happening to some degree. And of course be welcoming to people who choose to emigrate from Hong Kong.

This strikes to the heart of what my comment mentioned though: the vast majority of people don't care, Western consumer people especially. Not supporting it, simply saying it. Make them care and things might change, truly. Don't bother with CEO's or governments, we all know who they serve.

How you can make people from one part of the world care for people from another part of the world?

If anythin, most HKers aren't very interested in what's happening around the world either, AFAIK.

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#182

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Aah, crap, good point. And Trump will probably not do anything in both cases. Putin neither, and the EU can't go in themselves.

Uh, if the EU wanted to, it could absolutely go in. The UK has the most valid reason for intervening since it's their treaty that's being violated by a Chinese invasion. EU countries have 2+ million military personnel combined, hundreds of naval assets, thousands of aircraft, strong mutual defense military alliances, etc.

Europe couldn’t even handle Libya without running out of bombs. They have no capability to do anything of note.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nato-runs-short-on-some...

> Libya “has not been a very big war. If [the Europeans] would run out of these munitions this early in such a small operation, you have to wonder what kind of war they were planning on fighting,”

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#183
post #68
post #4

Sigh. Hopefully we won't get a repeat of the Tiananmen square massacre. I've not seen any nations speak out about the HK protests. Unlike, say, when many expressed support for the Arab Spring.

The Arab spring is probably a bad example. The west got a bit over-enthusiastic about the Arab Spring which turns out to be more of an Islamist Spring. I don't think many people think it was a good idea to destabilize Libya and Syria in hindsight.

Indeed I have the perception that the western reports were biased towards Western democracatic values.

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#184
post #159
post #81

As incomes rise in China people will demand other things from the government than food, shelter and a comfortable middle class life. Hong Kong was ahead of the rest of China since they have been living pretty liberal under UK rule and were more prosperous. Whatever they do in Hong Kong now will not stop from things happening all over China at a given point.

> Whatever they do in Hong Kong now will not stop from things happening all over China at a given point. It's interesting how 30 years ago, western economists were trying to sell everybody how moving all our industries to China will eventually turn the latter into a democracy because economic growth and democracy goes hand in hand. 30 years later, the Chinese communist party has never been as powerful as it is today…

if they actually believed “markets” to lead to democracy, that seems to me they conflated democracy (rule of the people) with capitalism (rule of capital)...

my opinion: they are not at all the same thing, and it was naive to think it would happen in china (markets existed a long time before capitalism even existed and democracy was quite the no-show for a long time)

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#185
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no perfect election format, even if the presidential election of US is often discussed for possible modifications: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_ele...

At least it is voted by the people no matter how imperfect it is. 1200 people is hardly a definition of "by people".

It's an electoral college system. By this logic, the US president is elected by only 538 "people".

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> they absolutely cannot come into Hong Kong, it would be a totally stupid move Strategically, for China? Yes. Politically, for Xi? Maybe not. Remember that Xi is a dictator. Moves that boost him in the short term at China’s long-term expense are on the board.

Xi is very much a dictator, but he also needs money to maintain his dictatorship. HK for all its faults and bads is still quite important to the Chinese economy. That's why we haven't become Xinjiang, IMO.

[deleted]

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#187
post #159

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Whatever they do in Hong Kong now will not stop from things happening all over China at a given point. It's interesting how 30 years ago, western economists were trying to sell everybody how moving all our industries to China will eventually turn the latter into a democracy because economic growth and democracy goes hand in hand. 30 years later, the Chinese communist party has never been as powerful as it is today…

if they actually believed “markets” to lead to democracy, that seems to me they conflated democracy (rule of the people) with capitalism (rule of capital)... my opinion: they are not at all the same thing, and it was naive to think it would happen in china (markets existed a long time before capitalism even existed and democracy was quite the no-show for a long time)

It was just pandering to national pride

Doing that still works ya know

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#188

Whoever is behind the current protests in Hong Kong. (possibly US possibly China, perhaps it has changed). is forcing China to act in a brutal manner. They cannot have this form of anarchy and disturbance. Actually, the US would have acted harshly already if it was on US soil. I can't think of any protesters invading congress and not getting shot at. Stopping traffic at an airport? Yeah that is not going to happen fo…

> The protesters took it way too far. Why do you say this? HK is still a nominally free society and protest is their right > China must act. Any nation would act at this point. that's not a given, and why must they act against peaceful protest? Lining up para-military tanks against a civilian population is not something that most nations would do. It's clearly designed to intimidate. > Perhaps still China can find an…

> protest is their right

> act against peaceful protest

But violent protest is not a right. With Molotov cocktails being thrown around and lasers used to burn the polices' eyes, it's not "peaceful protest" anymore.

However, I'd like to point out that the shutdown of the airport is how the protest should look like. People being peaceful, so no one's getting hurt and there's no police showing up.

Re: Chinese military entering Shenzen, just across the border with Hong Kong

#189

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> they absolutely cannot come into Hong Kong, it would be a totally stupid move Strategically, for China? Yes. Politically, for Xi? Maybe not. Remember that Xi is a dictator. Moves that boost him in the short term at China’s long-term expense are on the board.

Not to mention a military takeover of Hong Kong would generate valuable data and experience that could be usefully applied to an invasion of Taiwan.

I'm not sure how applicable it would be. Taiwan does have a military that would resist and Hong Kong doesn't.
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