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Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

nytimes.com

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Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#81
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Could you elaborate how much were fares before they removed subsidies and after?

I used to take Uber pools at around 4-5$ in San Francisco. Now it rarely is below 10$, which is too expensive for a service that is essentially very slow. Most of the time I go faster by walking or taking one of those electrical scooters.

I remember 3 years ago all my pools and lines in SF were $2.50. Now it is usually $6-7. I think these companies have changed our habits.

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#82
post #59
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Could you elaborate how much were fares before they removed subsidies and after?

I used to commute from San Mateo to San Francisco on Uber Pool for ~$10 each way. Same service is >$20 now.

That’s a distance of 32km. Assuming a fully loaded $0.50 per km cost to operate a private vehicle, the cost should be $16.00 each way assuming that you are the driver.

By charging $4.00 more than the cost, you’re freeing yourself up to do other things during that time. Is your time really not worth $4.00?

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#83
Everybody seems to be focused on the fat loss figure, but what I find more intriguing is the relationship between revenue, 'reoccurring' loss and growth rate. When you see that their $3.1B revenue is just two times the solid $1.3B loss they had, you wonder what they spent their money on if they have a growth rate of just about 14%...

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That seems more expensive than owning a car. Assuming 5 workdays a week and 2 rides per day then that is 40 rides a month on average which could be anywhere from $360 to $480 a month.

You can get a lease on something like a Toyota Corolla with no money down and ~$250 per month. That plus gas plus maybe having to pay for a parking space would probably break even, if not save a little money. Not to mention any rides that aren't part of the commute.

Don't forget insurance, maintenance, tag, and other fees associated with owning a car.

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#85
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it's more the massive amount of spending they do with little to nothing to show for it. They spent $457m last year on autonomous and flying cars with $0 in revenue from those projects. Maybe that will work out, but I bet every penny was ultimately wasted. Not spending billions a year on R&D certainly makes the financials look nicer. It might not attract as nice of a multiple, but it's not the ride prices that…

On the other hand, they spent $0.5 billion on R&D in a year , and lost $5 billion in a quarter , so I don’t think the R&D is nearly as significant an issue as subsidizing rides.

They booked an expense of $3.1bn in R&D last quarter. Even excluding the $2.6bn linked to stock-based compensation it’s $0.5bn per quarter. But of course that includes useful R&D and not just the flying-cars kind.

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#86
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

FWIW, I don’t think self driving cars would have made them a good business. Once you no longer need drivers, all you’re doing is deploying a fleet of automobiles. We already have companies that do this: taxi services and auto rental companies. They’re shitty, low margin businesses with tons of competition. The promise of Uber was being a monopoly because they were first mover on a market with network effects. Much li…

They already have an app for hailing cars, viewing their status on a map, etc. which tons of people already have on their phones, as well as an extremely recognizable brand and lots of data-center investment to back it all. Competitors would pop up, but don't underestimate the value of those things.

FWIW, they don’t control the default map apps for the two major phone platforms. Competitors will be desperate to fork over money to Apple or Google to get placement when people are planning routes. And Apple and Google may also be in the ride sharing game at that point, since they’re both currently working on self driving cars.

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#87
post #46

The biggest issue with Uber for me is pricing. I like to pay a fair price. Uber uses AI, therefore, you don't pay a fair price. I don't feel like researching options every time I need a ride. Many tech companies hope for lazy consumers, who sign up for food deliveries and don't notice 5c price hike on eggs. Who get used to ride sharing service and fail to ever verify that uber/lyft still offers competitive pricing. I…

"Uber uses AI, therefore, you don't pay a fair price."

Do you understand how many other industries use AI for pricing? What about buying things on Amazon? Hotels? Airline tickets? Gas?

You may as well go back to using taxis if you don't think Uber is giving you a fair price.

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#88
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am confused at how that 3.9B could be said not to matter - I'm not familiar with what precisely "recognition of stock comp" means, but I'm going to assume it was either squaring a previously deferred liability - or directly needing to pay out some sort of stock based compensation. Assuming the compensation was for a business need (like hiring labour or purchasing something necessary) then I don't see how that shoul…

Stock based compensation doesn't affect cash flow. It's newly issued stock granted to employees. I'm not sure when the accounting laws changed to include SBC (probably post-financial crisis), but it's weird to include it in an income statement as if it was a cash expense. You can find articles from accounting experts arguing both ways if you are curious. e.g. http://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2014/02/stock-based-em…

Not an accountant and didn't really like my accounting courses very much :-)

But mostly post dot-bomb. It's one of the reasons you see a lot of RSUs at bigger companies today rather than traditional options. FAS 123(r) was the first major rule. This came about because companies basically were treating stock options like they were free money from an accounting perspective.

Re: Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate

#89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The difference between taxi fares and Uber/Lyft fares has all but vanished. People were willing to pay taxi rates all along, now they are doing so and getting what is arguably a much better service.

> now they are doing so and getting what is arguably a much better service. Only until Uber and Lyft run out of cash (a few more quarters based on cash on hand), at which point taxi fares will rise to properly reflect the actual cost of the service. People will choose a combination of walking, public transit, traditional cab companies, and perhaps an e-scooter and/or bicycle. We lived before Uber and Lyft, we'll live…

After my experiences having grown up with cabs, I am honestly willing to pay a significant premium to use Uber and Lyft.

It is not an understatement to say that I hate traditional taxis. I hate the terrible service. I hate having them refuse fares based on where I'm going. I hate calling to schedule a pickup in advance and the driver just not bothering to show up. I hate being pressured to pay in cash instead of credit card and having them berate and insult me when I insist on card. I hate having to be on alert to see if they're taking a deliberately longer route or running up the meter. I hate the verbal and sexual harassment they have doled out to me and my friends with no consequences, because there is absolutely nothing in their business model that provides them any incentive to treat their customers with courtesy and respect.

I want to see taxis crash and burn, I want to see them fail, I want to see them removed from my experience on this earth. I don't think I'm alone in that, and I will continue to use Uber and Lyft and pay far more than taxis because they provide an exceptionally better service.

Also Uber Pool/Lyft Line are brilliant and taxis will never bother to replicate that kind of efficiency.

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