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No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

nature.com

251–260 of 407 posts

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#251

With the advent of AI bots in Poker, Chess etc., what happens to the old adage of "Play the player, not the game". How do modern human players manage when you don't have the psychological aspects of the game to work with? I see on chess channels that grand masters have to rethink their whole game preparation methodology to cope with the "Alpha Zero" oddities that have now been introduced into this ancient game. They…

> what happens to the old adage of "Play the player, not the game". How do modern human players manage when you don't have the psychological aspects of the game to work with?

I would say that it's thoroughly rebounded to play the game not the player in poker and this isn't because of super bots like the one used in this paper.

Ever since game theory invaded poker players that play in highly visible events such as tv tournaments try as hard as possible to make their game unexploitable.

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How many games did the bot beat the same 5 players? And how many games were played?

We played 10,000 hands of poker in the 5 humans + 1 AI experiment. The number of hands won isn't a useful metric in poker. If you win only 10% of your hands and make $1,000 on those hands, while losing only $1 on the other 90% of hands, then you're a winning player. The bot won at a rate of 4.8 bb/100 ($4.8 per hand if the blinds are $50/$100). This is considered a large win rate by professionals.

> This is considered a large win rate by professionals.

It depends on context. 4.8bb/100 is quite good for high-level online play, but wouldn't be enough to make a living at live poker. The biggest game that runs on a regular basis in most areas is $5/10. At ~33 hands per hour, that's 1.6bb or $16 an hour.

And I'd assume there was no rake in your game? That would take a big chunk out of the rate.

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So will this be the end of online poker?

It's pretty easy for good players to recognize other good players. And since the house takes such a large cut, the only way for pro players to have positive expected value online is to seek out games with poor players. So even if they couldn't recognize the bots as such, they would see them as tough players and avoid them. That said, I suppose it would be possible for the bots to become so prevalent that all this sor…

> So even if they couldn't recognize the bots as such, they would see them as tough players and avoid them.

The problem would be if i was a pro i would rather run 1000 bots than play myself. Which means the only players left are AI and fish. Once the fishies learn of this fact, they will abandon in drove.

It's all gonna go back to live poker soon.

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#255

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We played 10,000 hands of poker in the 5 humans + 1 AI experiment. The number of hands won isn't a useful metric in poker. If you win only 10% of your hands and make $1,000 on those hands, while losing only $1 on the other 90% of hands, then you're a winning player. The bot won at a rate of 4.8 bb/100 ($4.8 per hand if the blinds are $50/$100). This is considered a large win rate by professionals.

> This is considered a large win rate by professionals. It depends on context. 4.8bb/100 is quite good for high-level online play, but wouldn't be enough to make a living at live poker. The biggest game that runs on a regular basis in most areas is $5/10. At ~33 hands per hour, that's 1.6bb or $16 an hour. And I'd assume there was no rake in your game? That would take a big chunk out of the rate.

For one player...

$16/hr X (VM|microservice thread) could become astronomical profit.

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#256

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This is considered a large win rate by professionals. It depends on context. 4.8bb/100 is quite good for high-level online play, but wouldn't be enough to make a living at live poker. The biggest game that runs on a regular basis in most areas is $5/10. At ~33 hands per hour, that's 1.6bb or $16 an hour. And I'd assume there was no rake in your game? That would take a big chunk out of the rate.

For one player... $16/hr X (VM|microservice thread) could become astronomical profit.

That's why it's a good rate online where you can play multiple tables. Unlimited VMs don't help you in a live casino.

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#257
post #154

I would love to get a hands on the source. Hook it up to an API like https://pokr.live and then basically build a computer vision poker bot. The trick is how to create natural mouse click movements or keyboard inputs. This is the part that I'm most shaky on but the pokr.live API works by sending screenshots which it will translate into player actions at the table disclaimer: pokr.live API is a WIP

You do that by letting a human play, informed by the bot.

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#258

So, is this the end of online poker? Will it just become increasingly sophisticated bots playing each other online?

I'm really confused about why stock for the company that makes PokerStars hasn't moved at all today: https://www.google.com/search?tbm=fin&q=TSE:+TSGI#scso=_wqsn... The fact that there's a published recipe for a superhuman bot that can be trained for $150 and run on any desktop computer sounds like an existential threat to their business. The main mitigating factor I can think of is that you'd need to also adversaria…

There's already loads of bots online, this is just another incremental improvement in a very long line. This isn't some unexpected sudden death-knell for online poker.

Re: No limit: AI poker bot is first to beat professionals at multiplayer game

#259

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So will this be the end of online poker?

No, having losing odds never stopped anyone from gambling.

That's simply not true... I don't play casino games because of the losing odds. I play poker because of the winning odds. I guess you meant "having losing odds doesn't stop everyone from gambling".
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