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The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

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Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#211
post #9

H1B compete with the newly graduated college students. Before people say that there’s no problem with STEM graduates finding a job, I’ll counter that many of my coworkers 20 years ago didn’t have STEM degrees, and were previously English majors, business majors, etc. They were people with technical aptitude who realized they had picked a field of study that didn’t quite suit their financial aspirations. They were abl…

Why can't a 28 American with an English major do a coding bootcamp and find an entry level job? I'm sure if he's reasonable intelligent and ambitious he can. There aren't that many h1b's around competing with him, most American jobs aren't h1b jobs.

Pretty sure saying "learn to code" will get you in trouble on Twitter. Not sure about here. Watch out, though.

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why can't a 28 American with an English major do a coding bootcamp and find an entry level job? I'm sure if he's reasonable intelligent and ambitious he can. There aren't that many h1b's around competing with him, most American jobs aren't h1b jobs.

Pretty sure saying "learn to code" will get you in trouble on Twitter. Not sure about here. Watch out, though.

Twitter is such a weird echo chamber of madness. People there will get themselves so twisted up about nonsense and just end up feeding the trolls. Unfortunately, it starts leaking out into regular society.

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#213
post #208

This is a bit like saying "People buying luxury cars is just a problem with people not having high-paying jobs". It seems more fruitful to focus on what product is being sold through state-subsidized loans and if they provide the necessary value. Bloated administrations is largely to blame for the increased cost, and a middle class student getting a student loan they can't default on for a degree without earning pote…

In this case, though, the "product that [was] being sold" that made these students originally go to school, is employment—or rather, a proxy signal for employability that the consumers of the product hope will get them employment. People consume education when they can't find a job, in the hopes that they'll become more employable, even though this makes the problem of their unemployment more dire rather than less (b…

Or like taking Caffeine for productivity even though you have severe anxiety already

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#214

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That is not so bad to depress some of those wages, my plumber is making $2k/Day. I don't know too many people making that kind of money even in tech, let alone other disciplines!

I think your plumber has additional material and labor costs you're not seeing.

Materials sure, but what do you mean labor? He is the labor, he gets the money.

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#215

I'm not sure the author's suggestion that potential students be diverted to trades/coding bootcampts etc., will solve too much, and instead may simply shift the problem into those trade industries as well. Somewhere in the ballpark of 2,000,000 students earn a bachelors degree each year. Let's say 25% of students should be diverted into trade schools instead. That will mean an additional 500,000 student per year ente…

We just need to reduce or eliminate government backed student loans and the problem will take care of itself. This "crisis" is almost a replay of the housing crisis we just had, government backed loans encourage lenders to lend out money to people who are not qualified for the loan. It doesn't make sense to keep loaning out tens of thousands of dollars to 18 year old kids that have no income [yet] and no real plan to make any money for the next 4 years.

Can you imagine if someone submitted a business proposal asking for a $100,000 investment or loan and the proposal was "think I'll take some classes and then figure out what I want to do with the rest of my life"? We need to end the insanity and turn the spigot off. Then the institutions will be forced to lower their prices and manage their budgets again. Maybe one day we'll get back to the point where a young person can pay for in-state tuition with a part-time job, like it was about 25 years ago.

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If this were 10yr ago I'd agree. The 80s gave us computers. The 90s gave us good simulation software and the engineers used that to build us reliable cars. The early 2000s gave us plastic interior and exterior trim that didn't rattle and fall apart in short order. Since then we've tacked more gears onto automatic transmissions, hybrids have become more mainstream, sedans and wagons have been replaced with small SUVs…

I noticed a 2014 camry dashboard creaks like crazy! The older ones do not!

Could be a point defect: maybe the person who did the Takata airbag recall on that car was not a good crafsperson?

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#217
post #208

This is a bit like saying "People buying luxury cars is just a problem with people not having high-paying jobs". It seems more fruitful to focus on what product is being sold through state-subsidized loans and if they provide the necessary value. Bloated administrations is largely to blame for the increased cost, and a middle class student getting a student loan they can't default on for a degree without earning pote…

In this case, though, the "product that [was] being sold" that made these students originally go to school, is employment—or rather, a proxy signal for employability that the consumers of the product hope will get them employment. People consume education when they can't find a job, in the hopes that they'll become more employable, even though this makes the problem of their unemployment more dire rather than less (b…

I guess we have to decide whether the it's "We have a problem with too many snake oil salesman!" or "We have a snake oil effectiveness problem".

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#218
post #165
post #140

Why should banks be allowed to inflate credit bubbles that people cannot pay back? Why do we keep saving the banks?

That's how the economy keeps moving.... Too pessimistic?

That's how you collapse economies.

To keep them moving, allow defaulting on loans, make the banks take the loss. They will stop issuing glaringly risky loans to the unqualified, preventing a 2008 style subprime loan crisis.

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#219

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There was free and low cost education available overseas 20 years ago. I don’t buy your argument.

20 years ago, I'm willing to bet the number of IT degrees overseas was a small fraction compared to today. Over the last 20 years the market has reacted to the conditions available and lead to the situation we have now.

You may be "willing to bet," but this is just you asserting that your premise is true. Do you have any data? My claim that free and low cost university-level education was available outside the US is easily verifiable with a 10 second Google search.

Re: The student loan crisis is really an underemployment catastrophe

#220
post #159

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are two books that cover this subject well: The Case Against Education : https://jakeseliger.com/2018/03/12/the-case-against-educatio... , which argues that most "education" is really signaling, not human capital acquisition, and Paying for the Party : https://jakeseliger.com/2014/04/27/paying-for-the-party-eliz... , which argues that many schools have evolved some substantive majors and some non-substantive ma…

It behooves one to read the comment thread replying to Dr. Krugman's post. Many arguments emphasizing the disparity between real output vs. employment in manufacturing. Paul Krugman is wrong surprisingly often about these sorts of things. He cherry-picks one graph and says that this graph, combined with the opinions of cherry-picked esteemed colleagues, supports his conclusion, when ample evidence exists and is provi…

Mind pointing to some of the evidence that it's a weird supply side issue that is automating jobs without making people more productive?
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