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Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

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Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#151
post #87
post #18

(Disclaimer: I work for Amazon, but not in the retail, legal, or finance departments, and I have no inside information about what the company is doing with respect to its pricing. Opinions are my own and not of the company.) Yet another sensationalist headline that is unsubstantiated by the article. "This law student" has a theory . He does not have evidence -- and, in fact, much ink in the article is spilled on the…

There is, in fact, evidence that 1. Amazon occasionally sells below cost (hence existence of CRaP products) 2. Amazon has pushed some vendors to 3p 3. Amazon directly or indirectly dictates allowable 3p prices The progression from Amazon selling at a loss to them pawning the product off to 3p sellers and taking a larger cut is reasonably argued in the source article to be harmful to consumer welfare.

Re: 1, selling below cost isn't always illegal. Loss leaders, for example.

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#152
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They haven't needed outside capital because Amazon has been generating free cash flow since 2002 or 2003. They were losing money on a GAAP basis because they were investing in capex heavy things like warehouses and data centers. Looking at Amazon's aggregate financials doesn't tell us anything about whether they're doing something anticompetitive.

The root of Sussman's claim is that Amazon was hiding some expenses to _pretend_ that they were cash flow positive. (since being cash flow positive strongly suggests that there is no predatory pricing) However, Sussman asserts in his paper, “Amazon utilizes existing loopholes in Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) disclosure regulations to exclude a significant portion of its expenses.” So the author is c…

Yeah, this is what I don't get. Amazon has been steadily growing without injections of investor cash for a long time now. If they were constantly selling stuff at a loss, that would be impossible.

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#153

For me, this is difficult to reconcile with my experience that there is barely any product left on Amazon where they really are the cheapest. You’ll almost always find well rated smaller online shops across all categories that sell substantially below Amazon’s prices. This is even more so true if you want something sold and fulfilled by Amazon.

Yes, but it's unlikely that they have fast, free/cheap shipping. And Amazon's customer service/return policy/overall UX is top notch compared to smaller retailers.

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#154
post #95
post #91

Regardless of law, they are profitably delivering a very wide variety of items to my door for significantly cheaper than anywhere else I look. I cannot ignore that

What about if/when they are the only retail company left and significantly raise prices? This is the reason such laws exist.

Do you really think they're ever going to be the only online retail company in the country?

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#155
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I do believe these sorts of "Amazon is amazingly smart" posts. But they are hard to reconcile with why Amazon keeps showing me a rice cooker ad, after I buy a rice cooker from them.

Because ad click through rates are so low and the signal is so incredibly sparse. It's all measured against a test set which the researchers rarely look at directly (because the data set is so large). So if something lifts ad vlicks by 1% and that's from 100 in 10k to 101 in 10k, they don't really care if 9k of the ads get appreciably dumber.

But couldn't they improve the signal to noise ratio by showing contextually relevant ads e.g. showing rice cooker cookbooks after purchasing a rice cooker? Wouldn't this lift ad click through rate? This is truly baffling expected behavior, who would ever buy a second rice cooker after having searched Amazon for rice cooker and compared a few top models already? I'd love to see some studies or data proving otherwise...

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#156
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe to the shareholders but definitely not to the consumers or the businesses on the platform.

Maybe to the shareholders Not to this shareholder. If Amazon is playing a dangerous game, then it's risking my money, which is not OK.

> If Amazon is playing a dangerous game, then it's risking my money, which is not OK.

If you're so sure of that, then why did you buy AMZN? Why have you not sold your AMZN?

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#157
post #95
post #91

Regardless of law, they are profitably delivering a very wide variety of items to my door for significantly cheaper than anywhere else I look. I cannot ignore that

What about if/when they are the only retail company left and significantly raise prices? This is the reason such laws exist.

Amazon has always focused on lowering prices, as long as Bezos is around I don’t expect that to change. By the way Walmart clobbered competition with lower prices for last 60 years, did all retail go away? No, in fact several places like Target, Costco etc popped up and have carved out a niche and they all still compete on prices

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Amazon seems to think that I’m a real vacuum aficionado/collector as well. It’s quite possible that those are still the best items to recommend to us, to mop up any “unhappy with the one they got, so save them with a return/rebuy” sales.

I wouldn't be surprised if the actual reason was they are capturing extra sales from people who bought something, liked it a lot, and then bought another to give to their kids or for their second home. My mom buys me random chotchkies all the time after she bought them and liked them, and if my parents were well off I could easily see her buying me a vacuum or a new mattress after she got herself one. For 99% of peop…

The working vacuum in your house is a significantly better ad than whatever amazon shoves down your throat.

Re: Is Amazon Violating U.S. Antitrust Laws?

#159
post #64

Amazon has a team called "Amazon Profitability Group". I used to work for said team, albeit only briefly. The purpose of the team is to calculate the proper price to sell items for, the "discount" to vendors, and the items to put in the "buy box" in order to make the most profit for Amazon. I think the what is described here in the article is only the tip of the iceberg. Amazon isn't doing something as simplistic as…

I do believe these sorts of "Amazon is amazingly smart" posts. But they are hard to reconcile with why Amazon keeps showing me a rice cooker ad, after I buy a rice cooker from them.

I think this makes sense. Maybe you like it and want to buy another for friends & relatives?

You might not be happy with the purchase and on the lookout for a better model.

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