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Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

cbc.ca

191–200 of 304 posts

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#191
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My understanding is that the Boeing 737 max jet is unstable. Instead of redesigning a new plane from the ground up, Boeing placed the larger engines forward and upward on the wings. Boeing then tried to issue a "software patch" on a bad hardware design. Boeing came up with an automated system to seize control of the aircraft in the event that the flight became unstable and neglected to inform pilots of this new autom…

You are discounting the possibility of software controlling an aerodynamically unstable airplane safely. This has been happening for decades (see X-29, B-2, etc)

Those airplanes were designed from the ground up with that control system in mind (the F16 is one of those). It's not something that you would normally retrofit on an otherwise unchanged design, the original 737 was never meant to be flown in that mode and a software patch to make it work that way sounds like a dangerous plan.

On another note, I don't think the 737 Max is inherently unstable, so I'm not even sure this line of reasoning applies at all or even in part.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#192
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My understanding is that the Boeing 737 max jet is unstable. Instead of redesigning a new plane from the ground up, Boeing placed the larger engines forward and upward on the wings. Boeing then tried to issue a "software patch" on a bad hardware design. Boeing came up with an automated system to seize control of the aircraft in the event that the flight became unstable and neglected to inform pilots of this new autom…

You are discounting the possibility of software controlling an aerodynamically unstable airplane safely. This has been happening for decades (see X-29, B-2, etc)

Sure, but those pilots knew they were flying that kind of aerodynamically unstable airplane ahead of time. These pilots apparently were thinking "this is just a 737".

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#193
post #150
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, if the alternative is even less safe. This is important when the alternative might be driving, as driving is orders of magnitude more dangerous. Safety measures that annoy people too much can end up with a net loss of life because of this. If there are other airliners that can be put into service to take up the slack, though, they’re very unlikely to be more dangerous.

So the argument is to ground the Max because there is a known MCAS issue and have people fly on proven older equipment. But Southwest hasn’t seen the MCAS issue in its fleet and its own pilots union feels its prepared to handle an MCAS issue should it occur. Could the reasoning be the Max is believed to be safer with US pilots at the helm than flying on the older equipment the Max is replacing? If the argument is tha…

The rationale could be that it’s still safer with a pilot who knows what to do. Given how safe other aircraft are, it seems unlikely.

As for financial damages, it’s human nature to underestimate risks that have a large cost to mitigate. Even if grounding the Max is more cost effective, I wouldn’t be confident in them reaching that conclusion.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#194
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My understanding is that the Boeing 737 max jet is unstable. Instead of redesigning a new plane from the ground up, Boeing placed the larger engines forward and upward on the wings. Boeing then tried to issue a "software patch" on a bad hardware design. Boeing came up with an automated system to seize control of the aircraft in the event that the flight became unstable and neglected to inform pilots of this new autom…

You are discounting the possibility of software controlling an aerodynamically unstable airplane safely. This has been happening for decades (see X-29, B-2, etc)

[deleted]

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#195
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Canada is extremely tightly tied to the US economy, and the US government is still taking Boeing’s side on this. I wish this didn’t have to be about politics.

But it is about politics. Ted Cruz spoke out in favour of grounding the 737-MAX, presumably because Southwestern Airlines is a major operator of these misengineered deathtraps and is based in Dallas. If a pilot lost control of his place and there was a crash shortly after takeoff it would hurt his ambitions.

> presumably because Southwestern Airlines is a major operator of these misengineered deathtraps and is based in Dallas.

Or maybe, just maybe he spoke out because he chairs the senate subcommittee for aviation?

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Boeing was a big employer, contractor, etc. back in 2013 when the FAA grounded the entire 787 fleet. https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2013/01/16/169555027...

2013’s FAA was under an ethical Obama administration. Anything touched by Trump is assumed to be corrupt. Witness the black box being sent to Europe and not the USA. The soft power of ethics in action.

>FAA was under an ethical Obama administration

Let's not be naive that any major political party can be ethical, Obama simply had a nicer public image but there were still scandals* during his administration.

* = https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Obama_administration_...

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#197
post #43
post #20

Having read many commments on HN and elsewhere since the crash, I know I’m in the minority here when I say this but to me it seems like the US airlines and FAA are following their procedures, the same procedures that make the US airlines the safest in the world, while the rest of the world is, I don’t quite want to use the word panicking, but at least giving into pressure from people who aren’t aviation safety expert…

The level of certainty required for an action changes depending on the downside risk of action vs inaction. For example, if I am 20% certain that you have a pulmonary embolism, the correct action is to start treatment immediately; the risks of treatment are low relative the harm of waiting for further testing. The FAA and NTSB are rightly very conservative and cautious with respect to approving new designs, since the…

You skipped a step: demonstrate that the risk estimate is real, and not merely a guess.

I can’t help but draw the parallel to anti-vax logic: ”if it’s at all possible that my child might be seriously injured from a vaccine, then I must avoid vaccines!”

Setting a standard of “any risk is unacceptable because the downside risk is absolute” is also incorrect.

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#198
post #196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

2013’s FAA was under an ethical Obama administration. Anything touched by Trump is assumed to be corrupt. Witness the black box being sent to Europe and not the USA. The soft power of ethics in action.

>FAA was under an ethical Obama administration Let's not be naive that any major political party can be ethical, Obama simply had a nicer public image but there were still scandals* during his administration. * = https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Obama_administration_...

A controversy is not the same thing as a scandal.

For example, this is on that list:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_Force_One_photo_op_inciden...

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#199

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's hardly a unique thing about US airline safety. You're building one heck of a fragile claim there to superiority, a number of other countries can make similar claims, including countries that have similar or better safety records. Just out of a quick wiki trawl over the last ten years: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UPS_Airlines_Flight_1354 UPS airline plane crashed in 2013, killing all onboard. In the same year…

Are you really going to use a UPS crash as an argument here? You actually raise some good points but I can’t get past that one.

"UPS Airlines Flight 1354 was a scheduled cargo flight from Louisville, Kentucky, to Birmingham, Alabama"

  U.S. Airline
  U.S. origin
  U.S. destination
  European aircraft (A320)
Seems that the cause was problems with American trained pilots, so it's a strong refutation to the assertion "Maybe from the fact that the last fatality in a US airline crash was over ten years ago? "

Re: Canada grounds Boeing 737 Max 8

#200
post #196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

2013’s FAA was under an ethical Obama administration. Anything touched by Trump is assumed to be corrupt. Witness the black box being sent to Europe and not the USA. The soft power of ethics in action.

>FAA was under an ethical Obama administration Let's not be naive that any major political party can be ethical, Obama simply had a nicer public image but there were still scandals* during his administration. * = https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Obama_administration_...

> Let's not be naive that any major political party can be ethical

No, real differences in ethical conduct (both in overall level, insofar as that is meaningful, and more importantly in particular details) do exist between administrations, even within the same party.

> there were still scandals during his administration.

A scandal can exist without an actual ethical lapse, and in any case, not all scandals, even among those involving actual ethical lapses (much less, all sets of such scandals) are equal.

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