This concept is essentially the reason why “being able to quickly google the answers to questions” is inferior to “learning, knowing and remembering the answer.” The former treats a piece of information as an independent, context-free item, while the latter allows you to “digest” the information and understand the answer at a deeper level, to the point where it changes the types of questions you ask. Unfortunately ou…
It's shocking to me how every thread about anki and spaced repetition is full of people questioning if remembering information has any value.
Compounding Knowledge
171–180 of 181 posts
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#172I wonder to what extent Warren Buffet is Warren Buffet because of how he thinks and acts (like all of these non-fiction authors selling books by using his name would have us believe), and to what extent he is the product of media selection bias. -- If you take a large enough group of people who take risky stakes that are large enough (like the world of financial asset management), then one of them is bound to be as s…
Funnily enough, Buffett actually calculated this in his essay "The Super Investors of Graham and Doddsville" Basically, advocates of the Free Market Hypotheses believed that it was impossible for anyone to deliberately, repeatedly generate alpha. The market was rational, and success was probabilistically distributed. With a large enough population, you will get Buffett level returns - therefor Buffett is a fluke. How…
From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Superinvestors_of_Graham-a... :
> The speech and article challenged the idea that equity markets are efficient through a study of nine successful investment funds generating long-term returns above the market index.
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#173Earlier quoted context omitted.
Ill take it even farther: Buffet isn't statistically different than average. He just found a strategy that happened to work, was stubborn enough to stick to it through bad times, and used copious amounts of leverage to juice returns. A really interesting paper called "Buffet's Alpha" talks about this, and was able to replicate his performance by following a few simple rules. They found that he produced very little ac…
A summary of that paper from the authors is here: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/Journal-Article/Buffet... . They work at AQR, a firm which is notable for being one of the only successful hedge funds to actually publish meaningful research. The paper's conclusion is noteworthy: > The efficient market counterargument is that Buffett was simply lucky. Our findings suggest that Buffett’s success is neither luck n…
There's your 'compounding knowledge'.
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#174"Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements: The Search for the Company with a Durable Competitive Advantage" (2008) [1], "Buffetology" (1999) [2], and "The Intelligent Investor" (1949, 2009) [3] are more investment-strategy-focused texts.
[1] https://smile.amazon.com/Warren-Buffett-Interpretation-Finan...
[2] https://smile.amazon.com/Buffettology-Previously-Unexplained...
[3] https://smile.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Inv...
Value Investing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_investing https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/valueinvesting.asp
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#175Earlier quoted context omitted.
Google is inherently a shallow net, it does not trawl the depths of information. It's made for finding what's easily seen on the surface, what's most interconnected/viewed by others/what Google wants to be on the surface. If you learn to use Google scholar, for instance, you'll quickly find a skilled scholar searcher can find really great, really specific material. The question then is can you integrate and internali…
True. Both for the importance of Google Scholar, but also the question of integration . One way of course, is using your internal memory. But it's rather limited. Unless you're buffet like. But what about creating an external memory ? Maybe not as usefull as your brain, but much more usefull than Googling ? I've tried to do so with evernote. It somewhat work. But surely , it's not the person best that's possible.
Interestingly, I chose the name "Digraph" independently of the repo that a sibling comment refers to, after observing the way the topics relate to one another.
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#176Earlier quoted context omitted.
He's also a good marketer. I have a mostly unsubstantiated theory that Buffet's celebrity 1) allows him to negotiate better deals than other investors and 2) moves the market after he's invested. Re: 2) if Warren buys something, other people will pile on and drive up the price, which helps drive his returns.
> 2) if Warren buys something, other people will pile on and drive up the price, which helps drive his returns. While this is technically true, in the long-run the price of a firm will reflect reality as it exists, not as its perceived. And since Warren doesn't buy, then instantly sell when the price goes up, but rather holds for a long time. I don't believe we can attribute his returns to this phenomena. As a side n…
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#177One of the greatest things about Warren Buffet is that he wants to share with everybody the techniques for accumulating wealth. YouTube is loaded with videos in which Buffet explains clearly how to get rich slowly but surely. He's even got a cartoon series for kids, the Secret Millionaire's Club. ( http://www.smckids.com/ ) Buffet has figured out how to reliably win the game, he wants everybody to have that ability.…
>YouTube is loaded with videos in which Buffet explains clearly how to get rich slowly but surely. I need to see one good video. Yes there are lot of videos of him but I want to see a video of him that explains to a common Joe, with common means on how to achieve modest financial success.
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
>YouTube is loaded with videos in which Buffet explains clearly how to get rich slowly but surely. I need to see one good video. Yes there are lot of videos of him but I want to see a video of him that explains to a common Joe, with common means on how to achieve modest financial success.
Hi Dennis, I just saw this note, I'll be glad to suggest. Instead of YouTube, head on over to bogleheads.org. Warren Buffet's investment philosophy largely aligned with Jack Bogle's. Bogle has a large group of enthusiastic followers who record it all, simply and backed up with free advice when sought. If your prospects are even close to average, you should fare very well. Good luck!
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#179Earlier quoted context omitted.
And, you can get a lot of the benefit "for free" by just buying BRK.B shares, without all the pain of drinking cherry coke all day and reading SEC filings.
I'm not so sure thats true from a financial perspective, at least if you mean him being an outlier. The financial market should have priced in these benefits, that means you can expect only normal "market" returns from these shares. So you won't get them for free.
Re: Compounding Knowledge
#180Earlier quoted context omitted.
A summary of that paper from the authors is here: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/Journal-Article/Buffet... . They work at AQR, a firm which is notable for being one of the only successful hedge funds to actually publish meaningful research. The paper's conclusion is noteworthy: > The efficient market counterargument is that Buffett was simply lucky. Our findings suggest that Buffett’s success is neither luck n…
BTW, AQR funded the initial development of pandas; which now powers tools like alphalens (predictive factor analysis) and pyfolio. There's your 'compounding knowledge'.
"7 Best Community-Built Value Investing Algorithms Using Fundamentals" https://blog.quantopian.com/fundamentals-contest-winners/
(The Zipline backtesting library also builds upon Pandas)
How can we factor ESG/sustainability reporting into these fundamentals-driven algorithms in order to save the world?