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Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

bbc.co.uk

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Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#311
post #241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>I mean I would expect you to back up your claim with some kind of scientific study that humans in general opt to produce value for society purely altruistically. That's not what I claiming at all. What I'm saying is if you want to produce value then go ahead keep producing value for whatever reason, it could be purely for selfish reason for all i care. But You still have to pay tax for your income though, thats for…

> But You still have to pay tax for your income though, thats for allowing you to do business. I don’t think “allowing you to do business” is the arbitrary motivator for taxes. Societies deem it more efficient to pool resources for common needs we all have. This is taxes. Conventional welfare also provides for a person’s “basic needs”, usually with the condition that that person is actively searching for an opportuni…

>If enough people are on free money with no incentive to work, there isn’t enough wealth generated to pay for the people living on free money.

Is not an issue because one of the main reason for basic income in the first place is the increasing prevalence and advancement of AI and automation. Means we are needing less and less people to work.

>Conventional welfare also provides for a person’s “basic needs”, usually with the condition that that person is actively searching for an opportunity to add value.

What often happen is welfare incentives discourage work. Because entering the labor force or working more hours can lead to a loss in benefits.

>Who gets to decide what a basic need is, anyway?

Government. Of course it's based on research to determine the actual dollar amount.

>It really is though. There’s no other way to put it. It’s the consumption of wealth on the back of someone else’s labour.

Sure, but the thing is no once is forcing you to work, if you think its unfair or you think its better for you not to do work then fine don't work then. Other people will.

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#312
post #311

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> But You still have to pay tax for your income though, thats for allowing you to do business. I don’t think “allowing you to do business” is the arbitrary motivator for taxes. Societies deem it more efficient to pool resources for common needs we all have. This is taxes. Conventional welfare also provides for a person’s “basic needs”, usually with the condition that that person is actively searching for an opportuni…

>If enough people are on free money with no incentive to work, there isn’t enough wealth generated to pay for the people living on free money. Is not an issue because one of the main reason for basic income in the first place is the increasing prevalence and advancement of AI and automation. Means we are needing less and less people to work. >Conventional welfare also provides for a person’s “basic needs”, usually wi…

> Government. Of course there will be research to determine the actual dollar amount.

This seems a reductionist perspective. The government is made up of people like you and me. It is not an omnipotent entity.

The way I'm interpreting what you've written, you could swap out Government for God.

Like any other moral question, there is no one true answer to a question like "how many dollars/facilities constitutes basic need?". That's why there are different political parties, opposing views, debates.

> Sure, but the thing is no once is forcing you to work, if you think its unfair or you think its better for you not to do work then fine don't work then. Other people will.

…But everyone is forced to pay taxes. If I choose not to work, the government still takes your money by force and gives it to me.

> Other people will.

This vague "other people" somehow stands at the core of every argument for Socialism.

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#313

I think it's human nature to do a little as possible for the most reward. If someone is giving you money to literally do nothing, then you're likely going to do..nothing!

Nope. Human nature is to do what is possible within the confines of actual and perceived external and internal limitations to increase our partner value in order to procreate and propagate our genes. The increase in partner value as a motivation is often not conscious, and is evaluated via our emotional system based on proxy variables like social status among our peers, and appreciation and attention from others. There are different ways to increase status and attention, and in optimal conditions, people tend to learn early on what they are naturally better at, for example sports (signals physical health), music, art, poetry (signals intelligence), administrative work (signals intelligence and reliability) etc. People are naturally inclined to be productive, not for money, but to be valued and appreciated in their social context for the reaons above. Our society is not a natural or optimal (in evolutionary terms) environment for humans, and many of the incentives that drive our behaviors in it are set up with the goal of maximizing economic productivity of the system (or a subset of it with more political and ideological influence), but have a negative impact on the wellbeing and functioning of the people in it. When someone becomes trapped in a situation where they are unhappy – unemployment, or a terrible job that they can’t realistically leave – he or she is likely to sink into depression and a state of learned helplessness. When you’ve learned that nothing you do has any effect on your situation, you give up, do what you have to do to survive and no more, and self-medicate through food, alcohol, drugs, media consumption or whatever else gives you some relief from feelings of hopelessness, shame and guilt. From outside, this may look like: Laziness

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#314
post #311

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>If enough people are on free money with no incentive to work, there isn’t enough wealth generated to pay for the people living on free money. Is not an issue because one of the main reason for basic income in the first place is the increasing prevalence and advancement of AI and automation. Means we are needing less and less people to work. >Conventional welfare also provides for a person’s “basic needs”, usually wi…

> Government. Of course there will be research to determine the actual dollar amount. This seems a reductionist perspective. The government is made up of people like you and me. It is not an omnipotent entity. The way I'm interpreting what you've written, you could swap out Government for God. Like any other moral question, there is no one true answer to a question like "how many dollars/facilities constitutes basic…

I'm not religious so not sure what god has to do with this.

Yes there are no true answer, its open for debate. Andrew Yang, 2020 candidate, for example propose $12000 a year. Its a start.

>…But everyone is forced to pay taxes.

Not if you are not working. No income (other than basic income) -> no tax.

>If I choose not to work, the government still takes your money by force and gives it to me.

sure, fine by me. I'll just treat the tax as cost of doing business. I still get to make more money.

> Other people will.

For example me, I will still continue to work even if basic income enough to cover my needs. Why? because I enjoy it and fulfilling or maybe I just simply want to earn more money for luxury or whatever.

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#315
post #241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>I mean I would expect you to back up your claim with some kind of scientific study that humans in general opt to produce value for society purely altruistically. That's not what I claiming at all. What I'm saying is if you want to produce value then go ahead keep producing value for whatever reason, it could be purely for selfish reason for all i care. But You still have to pay tax for your income though, thats for…

> But You still have to pay tax for your income though, thats for allowing you to do business. I don’t think “allowing you to do business” is the arbitrary motivator for taxes. Societies deem it more efficient to pool resources for common needs we all have. This is taxes. Conventional welfare also provides for a person’s “basic needs”, usually with the condition that that person is actively searching for an opportuni…

> If enough people are on free money with no incentive to work

A central point of UBI as a replacement for means-tested welfare is that people without employment always have a financial incentive to work, because they keep the additional income from work rather than having sharp, sometimes more than 100% when aggregated across multiple programs, offsetting reduction in benefits.

It's true that UBI at a poverty support levels can be said to remove economic coercion that can exist to work without welfare (e.g., due to time limited benefits or qualifications besides means testing), but it does not result in people having no incentive to work.

> Conventional welfare also provides for a person’s “basic needs”, usually with the condition that that person is actively searching for an opportunity to add value.

Conventional means-tested welfare has massive inefficient bureaucracy because it works at cross purposes with itself, with means-testing creating a financial disincentive to added work (and duplicating bureaucratic functions already present in the tax system), which it then tries to counteract with behavior testing (which adds another set of layers of bureaucratic functions whose entire purpose is to provide coercion to counteract the work disincentives created by means testing.)0

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Can I do a few hours work for this guy without losing my unemployment? UBI doesn't really make sense as a replacement for unemployment insurance, unless benefits are really high. If you replace UI with a poverty-support-level UBI, it makes unemployment a lot worse for anyone but the lowest-paid workers. UBI might reduce the perceived need for public funding of additional unemployment benefits in extended downturns…

UBI doesn't really make sense as a replacement to almost any traditional welfare programs for the simple reason that by limiting the money to only those who qualify for it, you can give more. Yet unfortunately UBI is often presented as an alternative that would supplant traditional welfare.

The standard counterargument is that the current welfare system uses a shambling bureaucratic apparatus which forces people to go through an onerous, dehumanizing process of filling out endless forms to determine whether they're the "deserving poor" or the "undeserving poor". UBI, in dispensing with with this expensive process, is claiming back money that's essentially just being hurled into a void for no reason.

I have no idea whether that's enough to make up the difference.

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#317

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is a very specific reason housing, healthcare and education costs are so high -- the government keeps subsidizing them in particular. Mortgage interest tax deduction, exclusion from capital gains tax, employer health insurance deduction, ACA subsidies, federal student loan interest deduction and subsidies, etc. The problem with all of this is that it doesn't cause general inflation, it only raises the cost of t…

I agree with much of what you said including that costs are high due to government subsidies - I just think that the primary subsidy is keeping general interest rates low. That mortgage interest tax deduction really just further reduces the the effective interest rate for home loans. The primary subsidy isn't even acknowledged as an explicit policy, but obscured by describing it as a mechanical application of a purpo…

> I guess my point of disagreement is that since the low interest subsidy is basically turning any mildly dense area into a rent treadmill, then why isn't the goal to directly address that as the problem?

Because nobody wants to touch it with a ten foot pole.

There are basically two ways to get interest rates back up. The first is that you just do it, and nothing else. We've discovered that doing this at anything faster than glacially slow when people are as leveraged as they currently are causes the world to burn. If interest rates doubled over a short period of time, the thousands of dollars people are already paying in interest would also double, and eat all of their disposable income and then some, requiring them to borrow even more at the now-higher rates in order to make rent. Bankruptcies would follow. The higher interest rates would make it harder to get a huge mortgage at current housing prices, so housing prices would crash. People have borrowed money to invest in stocks because the return on stocks has been higher than the interest on money, and raising interest rates tends to be deflationary in general, so you raise interest rates fast and the stock market crashes. At the same time as the housing market. Nobody really wants this version. It's terrible.

The alternative is that you raise interest rates against a backdrop of a series of pro-inflationary policies, that allow wages and the price of everything other than housing/healthcare/education to catch up and rebalance. And you need for people to pay down their debts so that interest rates can rise without bankrupting everyone, which means they need money to pay them with. But money comes from two places. One is debt -- banks create money when they make loans. But we can't use this one because the whole point is we need less of that.

The other is the government creates it. They need to create enough money for people to pay off their debts with, which destroys it again. That would be trillions of dollars. And then enough on top of that for wages to catch up to housing prices. (A UBI would actually be a great way to deliver the money to people.)

The banks would hate this with the fire of a thousand suns, because it would mean that the total amount of outstanding loans would fall significantly. In other words, their industry would shrink, by a lot.

So those are your options. Lots and lots of bankruptcies and a huge economic crash, or printing trillions of dollars for people to pay their debts with. Either way the banks are stuffed -- and they're the ones with the largest influence on this kind of policy, so they're firmly in the "kick the can down the road" camp of leaving interest rates low.

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#318
post #314

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Government. Of course there will be research to determine the actual dollar amount. This seems a reductionist perspective. The government is made up of people like you and me. It is not an omnipotent entity. The way I'm interpreting what you've written, you could swap out Government for God. Like any other moral question, there is no one true answer to a question like "how many dollars/facilities constitutes basic…

I'm not religious so not sure what god has to do with this. Yes there are no true answer, its open for debate. Andrew Yang, 2020 candidate, for example propose $12000 a year. Its a start. >…But everyone is forced to pay taxes. Not if you are not working. No income (other than basic income) -> no tax. >If I choose not to work, the government still takes your money by force and gives it to me. sure, fine by me. I'll ju…

> Not if you are not working. No income (other than basic income) -> no tax.

I think you've completely missed my point here.

> For example me, I will still continue to work even if basic income enough to cover my needs. Why? because I enjoy it and fulfilling or maybe I just simply want to earn more money for luxury or whatever.

You comprise but a single datum — not enough upon which to base societal economic policy.

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#319

It's a general misunderstanding that Basic Income is some sort of job program, it's not. It's a job replacement program for a society where there aren't enough jobs for everyone because technology have taken over most. Basic Income should provide fundamental living cost support in a society that has no jobs so there is no "but" in there. Edit: Keep in mind we already have Basic Income it's just conditional. UBI is di…

True. In addition, from an employer's perspective, it unlocks easy employment of people without massive commitment from either side. Can I do a few hours work for this guy without losing my unemployment? Yes. Can I employ this person for a few hours without having to pay them while on paternity leave to make sure their kid gets a good start to life? Yes.

I am not surprised at all with this result. Why would anyone expect that conditional assistance would lead to people finding jobs. A good number of people might just be comfortable with the assistance and might decide to just stick with it.

Re: Basic income in Finland did not lead to finding work, researchers said

#320

Which would be a fine outcome. We're entering a real messy period where dignified, decent paying jobs are becoming scarce. All of our philosophies about work and welfare are rooted in a post WWII era where we were essentially rebuilding the world and there was more work than competent people. If we are going to insist that all productivity gains must now go directly to the capital class, we're going to need a UBI, un…

I disagree. Even the developed world is still lacking in many cities. New York City could be cleaner, have a nicer transit system and guide tourists better. You can also have more TSA workers.

There is lots of work to be done even in developed countries.

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