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Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

cityobservatory.org

71–78 of 78 posts

Re: Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

#71
post #65
post #41

City Observatory is a publication that lobbies for urbanism. So you have to take that into context when considering their argument. Their argument is not that removing roads doesn't reduce quality of life – their argument is that cities _adapt_ and that tearing away infrastructure for cars in favor of housing and "human-scale" neighborhoods won't necessarily result in doom and gloom. Of course removing a highway will…

This is basically the Invisible Hand, and I don't see it. Seattle (at least anywhere within 30 minutes of downtown) is being taken over by tech workers making huge salaries. They're building condos, not stores. The stores that are being built are high-revenue specialty stores, like cannabis. When transportation becomes impractical, it first becomes impractical from the bottom (like artists and service workers) -- the…

It's illegal to build multi-family housing in 95% of Seattle's residential area; that's not a very invisible hand.

Re: Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

#72
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Easy: just imagine your life without a train. Replace it with "standing-room only bus (no wifi), and 2 transfers each way". Or "stuck in traffic". Still seem great? Rail is expanding in Seattle but it's slow going. West Seattle is planned for 2030, and Ballard for 2035. You don't build a rail system overnight, especially when you've got hills and oceans and lakes and existing development to contend with. We're the fa…

It doesn't help that public transport is okay by American standards, i.e. appalling. And that because of congestion, walking and cycling are so dangerous. Police have even stopped ticketing people blocking crossings because it happens too frequently (which is the wrong thing to do). Which means the alternatives are even less appealing, which means more people drive, etc. Of course, nothing will change as the rich peo…

The situation is worse than that; public transport in Seattle is excellent by American standards. Which is still crap.

Re: Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

#73
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can't you make this argument against any public service? We throw a bunch of other people's money at K12. I suspect most families would buy fewer years of schooling if they paid the true cost. We throw a bunch of other people's money at the military. If people had to pay the true cost of America's autonomy, they'd suck it up and learn Russian. The compelling cost argument, IMO, is that a subway system could offer mor…

>Can't you make this argument against any public service? >The compelling cost argument, IMO, is that a subway system could offer more mobility at the same price point. So, yes and yes?

If the principle is that we should not spend other people's money on transportation, or that transportation users should pay the full cost of their mileage, then we shouldn't build subways either. At least not at public expense.

Re: Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

#74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can't you make this argument against any public service? We throw a bunch of other people's money at K12. I suspect most families would buy fewer years of schooling if they paid the true cost. We throw a bunch of other people's money at the military. If people had to pay the true cost of America's autonomy, they'd suck it up and learn Russian. The compelling cost argument, IMO, is that a subway system could offer mor…

You can. But roads (the public service) are a separate concern from people moving around (private decisions). I want the roads to be built ahead of and shaping demand. But I also want emission costs to be fully internalized be the drivers. I expect this would cut down demand for excess commuting quite sharply. I don't mind people traveling in general, as long as we can sustainably afford it. Right now, we can't susta…

The theme of TFA is that they are not separate. The provision of roads influences how much people move around.

What's to say we can sustainably afford current levels of public transport? Should construction costs and associated disruptions to the city be fully internalized by riders?

Re: Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

#75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can't you make this argument against any public service? We throw a bunch of other people's money at K12. I suspect most families would buy fewer years of schooling if they paid the true cost. We throw a bunch of other people's money at the military. If people had to pay the true cost of America's autonomy, they'd suck it up and learn Russian. The compelling cost argument, IMO, is that a subway system could offer mor…

Yes, you can make that argument against any public service. And it is worth discussing for any public service. All public services have benefits, and all of them are capable of being overprovisioned. In the context of schools, literally everybody benefits from population wide literacy and education. The benefits are diffuse enough that it is worth subsidizing...although we're probably hitting diminishing returns on t…

>all of them are capable of being overprovisioned.

Do you think the voters of any major city would agree that it is too easy to get from place to place?

>Mobility can be much more efficiently provisioned to the public with transit.

I think this is at least sometimes true, depending on factors like geography, density, labor costs, etc. But it's orthogonal to whether there is too much or too little mobility. You could take the efficiencies of public transport and deliver better overall mobility with the same budget. That's an easier sell for the public than "that extra hour with your kids after work is unsustainable and you don't really need it" or "having your own house in the suburbs is wasteful, share an apartment with 3 other families in the center instead."

Re: Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

#76
post #41

City Observatory is a publication that lobbies for urbanism. So you have to take that into context when considering their argument. Their argument is not that removing roads doesn't reduce quality of life – their argument is that cities _adapt_ and that tearing away infrastructure for cars in favor of housing and "human-scale" neighborhoods won't necessarily result in doom and gloom. Of course removing a highway will…

The zoning reform that would legalize compact mixed-use neighborhoods could happen right now if people wanted it. One of the main objections is that car infrastructure is already oversaturated. After reducing road capacity, proposals to i.e. legalize shops and offices in currently residential zones would become even less politically viable.

Re: Why Carmaggedon never comes – Seattle edition

#77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can. But roads (the public service) are a separate concern from people moving around (private decisions). I want the roads to be built ahead of and shaping demand. But I also want emission costs to be fully internalized be the drivers. I expect this would cut down demand for excess commuting quite sharply. I don't mind people traveling in general, as long as we can sustainably afford it. Right now, we can't susta…

The theme of TFA is that they are not separate. The provision of roads influences how much people move around. What's to say we can sustainably afford current levels of public transport? Should construction costs and associated disruptions to the city be fully internalized by riders?

> What's to say we can sustainably afford current levels of public transport?

Add a full carbon tax to price of fuels, and the answer should quickly become apparent.

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