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Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

latimes.com

211–220 of 237 posts

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#211
post #206

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Elon Musk is hardly starved of hero-worshippers

Sure, but what percentage of the US population do you think hero-worship him vs. what percentage hate his guts? 5/95? 1/99?

I've not seen anything that would suggest either ratio.

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#212
post #206

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, but what percentage of the US population do you think hero-worship him vs. what percentage hate his guts? 5/95? 1/99?

I've not seen anything that would suggest either ratio.

So what's your guess?

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#213
post #143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Guys, guys, hear me out. I have a crazy idea. What if we use special cars only for the tunnel with some kind of ride sharing system? and then we put the cars on rails? This keeps them on track and also the rolling friction is much lower. Also, we could continuously charge the battery of the car if we have some kind of wire going alongside the tunnel and a slip contact. Actually we could make the cars much bigger as w…

If you can figure out how to let people transport their vehicles through your tunnel without your car having to make scheduled stops, or follow a single path then you've got a business.

If you want to transport your car somewhere there are already lots of business that exist, but I guess I could try to make another one.

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#214

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right, but 15 SUVs 5s apart carry 105 people, and if they can actually travel at an average 150mph, that's faster than the average speed of Skytrain's fastest line by another 3x — so, now we're looking at 315 people moved through the space at the same time. Factor in cost advantages of the tunnel — 4x cheaper mile-for-mile for the prototype, it seems like? — and the same dollars spent on Boring Co tunnels could actua…

>15 SUVs, Travelling 150 mph, a second apart You're fond of throwing in a lot of utterly implausible figures to support your argument here

Despite your pretend block quote, that isn't a direct quote from me (you're taking quotes from someone else in the thread and splicing them into my post, using your made-up version as a strawman). I said 5s apart, which is over 1000ft of spacing — nearly a quarter of a mile, plenty of room for braking — at 150mph; the 15 SUVs is because 75/5 = 15, and we're comparing it to a train system with mandatory minimum 75s gaps.

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#215

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Somehow you assume they will be able to get into that tunnel at these intervals

haha yep. This plan is like when a city widens a highway but doesn't touch other parts of the road network? What happens? It just moves the choke point somewhere else in the network.

Agreed 1s gaps are too tiny — seems unsafe and that'd be a lot of elevator traffic. 5s seems doable though: assuming 5s gaps, you need an elevator system capable of moving one car every 5s, and then the tunnel is optimally saturated. That doesn't seem insurmountably hard: two elevators that take 10s each to go from surface to tunnel would be enough, along with a bit of on-ramp tunnel to allow cars to accelerate to speed before merging. Throw in a third elevator or a fourth for redundancy while you're at it because elevators are way cheaper than a mile of tunnel, and seems doable.

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#216
post #210

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Never heard of horizontal scaling? My SO is a soils engineer/geo-physicist, so I know a bit about the issues at play, mostly over dinner conversations. When it comes to large infrastructure projects like these, the problems are multitude and all very individual, especially in such a geologically active zone as the LA Basin [0]. Though Musk et al. should be congratulated for the incredible achievement of even trying…

> My SO is a soils engineer/geo-physicist, so I know a bit about the issues at play what's this? PhD by association? I came to Bay Area from Japan, I was surprised to hear that high buildings are not a thing here because of earthquakes. For comparison, in Japan there are about 2000 earthquakes that person can feel every year. And somehow monorail/high-speed trains/tunnels/skyscrapers are everywhere. Lazy engineering…

>> My SO is a soils engineer/geo-physicist, so I know a bit about the issues at play

>what's this? PhD by association?

I mean, I did day that I only know a bit about it.

That said, there are differences in the dynamics of the soil between Japan and California; each situation is unique. When it comes to earthquakes, Japan typically has deeper earthquakes due to the subduction zone that it sits above and the earthquakes are compressional(very roughly), while in CA, the earthquakes tend to be shallower along the San Andreas and more strike-slip (again, very roughly) up to 30km down involving mostly the crust. In general, one should not expect that buildings in two different seismic zones should be similar.

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#217
post #205
post #144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, for a battery fire it's quite the opposite. It's going to release all of that stored energy and burn up the electrolyte one way or another. Flooding it with water is the best way to deal with all of that energy.

Releasing highly flammable hydrogen gas is definitely not "dealing with the energy". Both electrolysis and the reaction of water with lithium release plenty of it.

You're mistaken on that. Electrolysis is going to be far too slow to actually amount to any substantial amount of hydrogen and even if that wasn't the case burning all of that hydrogen would release only as much energy as it already took away from the reaction. Burning 100% of the hydrogen produced would still put you at a net 0 change in energy. For every joule worth of hydrogen that escaped without burning that's a joule of energy that you no longer have to deal with. Also it's a shorted out battery pack we're talking about. The voltage potential isn't going to be anywhere near as high as it would normally and if it was they you wouldn't have a flaming battery pack in the first place.

As to the notion that there's lithium metal in the batteries that could react with the water, you're thinking of non-rechargeable lithium batteries. Lithium ion cells use a lithium compound, not just pure elemental lithium. The formulation might be something like LiFePO4 but the point here is that it's not just lithium metal sitting around inside of it.

Also Tesla has an emergency response guide that includes instructions on fighting a battery fire. It's on page 22 (23 of the PDF) and it makes it clear that you want to douse the thing in as much water as possible and keep dousing it until it's totally gone. Tons of water is exactly what's called for when fighting these kind of fires.

https://www.tesla.com/sites/default/files/downloads/2016_Mod...

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#218
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not sure what you're purporting to show other than two people disagreeing with each other, without providing evidence... Sure, an individual subway car has "more capacity," but does a subway system have more capacity? For example, I rarely see BART trains come within five minutes of each other. A tunnel that allows cars within 10 seconds of each other could provide more capacity than a tunnel with higher-density…

Peak headtimes on BART are a train every 2-3 minutes, with trains carrying up to 1400 people (let's call it 1000 for the sake of argument). So at the low end, that's around 20,000 people an hour. If you had cars with a headway of 5 seconds then that's 1200 cars an hour, so you'd need an average occupancy of over 16 people per car. That's unrealistic, so yes, a subway tunnel has more capacity.

That's assuming there's only one tunnel. As the article mentions the point is to dramatically reduce the cost to bore tunnels, so you can bore more of them.

If you could bore 4x the tunnels, you'd need a capacity of 4 people per car to match peak BART. And... hey, that describes pretty much every car in existence. But using the BART comparison: recent estimates [1] put each additional mile of BART track at over $1 billion. So if it really costs $10MM/mile for the Boring Co, you could bore 32x the tunnels and beat BART capacity by a factor of two assuming even single occupancy vehicles, at about a third of the cost.

[1]: https://sf.curbed.com/2018/6/18/17464616/bay-area-subway-tra...

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#219
post #210

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Never heard of horizontal scaling? My SO is a soils engineer/geo-physicist, so I know a bit about the issues at play, mostly over dinner conversations. When it comes to large infrastructure projects like these, the problems are multitude and all very individual, especially in such a geologically active zone as the LA Basin [0]. Though Musk et al. should be congratulated for the incredible achievement of even trying…

> My SO is a soils engineer/geo-physicist, so I know a bit about the issues at play what's this? PhD by association? I came to Bay Area from Japan, I was surprised to hear that high buildings are not a thing here because of earthquakes. For comparison, in Japan there are about 2000 earthquakes that person can feel every year. And somehow monorail/high-speed trains/tunnels/skyscrapers are everywhere. Lazy engineering…

I haven't read much to suggest that the Bay Area's lack of tall buildings is the result of earthquake fears or "lazy engineering". Besides the fact that SF's tallest building, the Salesforce Tower, started construction in 2013, SF historically has had tall buildings, before and after the great earthquake. SF's and the rest of the Bay Area's lack of tall buildings seems to be a result of local dictate, in the same way that Kyoto lacks tall buildings. Similarly, it would be foolish/overly simplistic to blame the Bay Area's housing shortage on "lazy home builders".

Re: Elon Musk Unveils Boring Co's First Tunnel

#220
post #212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've not seen anything that would suggest either ratio.

So what's your guess?

Opinion about Elon Musk seems to be polarized in places like HN. Haven't heard of normal people caring substantively about him, certainly not in a way describable as "hating his guts".
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