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The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

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Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#31

The post housing crash housing boom was almost entirely the result of the federal government--which has made, guaranteed, or bought significantly more than half the residential mortgages since 2008--deciding there should be a housing boom. If it is indeed coming to an end it is because the federal government collectively has decided not to double down and keep the party going. This isn't the weather or even the price…

The Federal Reserve (which orchestrates interest rates to manage inflation and achieve full employment [two of its mandates]) is not (edit: a branch) of the US government, and does not set government policy. Edit: This is incorrect. The Board Of Governors who set interest rates is a part of the federal govrnment as an agency (accountable to Congress), the individual Federal Reserve Banks are not.

You are simply wrong.

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is a policy making arm of the United States Federal Government. It was created by and can be abolished by or have any of its functions changed or decisions overruled by statute, it's members are officers of the United States within the meaning of Article II, section 2, clause 2 of the US Constitution appointed by the President of the United States by and with the consent of the Senate.

Please stop spreading this nonsense. You may as well be telling people that they don't have to pay taxes because of the yellow fringes on flags in court houses.

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#32
post #3

https://outline.com/ZCPPvZ

Why does HN allow intentional bypass of paywalls? It’s no different than providing links to pirated software. On the one hand, we complain about aggressive advertising while simultaneously doing everything possible to ensure publications don’t earn any money.

Because information wants to be free.

This is "hacker" news, after all.

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#33

The post housing crash housing boom was almost entirely the result of the federal government--which has made, guaranteed, or bought significantly more than half the residential mortgages since 2008--deciding there should be a housing boom. If it is indeed coming to an end it is because the federal government collectively has decided not to double down and keep the party going. This isn't the weather or even the price…

The Federal Reserve (which orchestrates interest rates to manage inflation and achieve full employment [two of its mandates]) is not (edit: a branch) of the US government, and does not set government policy. Edit: This is incorrect. The Board Of Governors who set interest rates is a part of the federal govrnment as an agency (accountable to Congress), the individual Federal Reserve Banks are not.

it's not political, it's just got a board entirely appointed by the president with consent of the senate and has a congressional mandate to do stuff...

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The Federal Reserve (which orchestrates interest rates to manage inflation and achieve full employment [two of its mandates]) is not (edit: a branch) of the US government, and does not set government policy. Edit: This is incorrect. The Board Of Governors who set interest rates is a part of the federal govrnment as an agency (accountable to Congress), the individual Federal Reserve Banks are not.

You are simply wrong. The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is a policy making arm of the United States Federal Government. It was created by and can be abolished by or have any of its functions changed or decisions overruled by statute, it's members are officers of the United States within the meaning of Article II, section 2, clause 2 of the US Constitution appointed by the President of the United St…

[removed]

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#35
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why does HN allow intentional bypass of paywalls? It’s no different than providing links to pirated software. On the one hand, we complain about aggressive advertising while simultaneously doing everything possible to ensure publications don’t earn any money.

It isn't quite the same, because these publications do offer their content for free... to the Google indexer. So they're kind of trying to have it both ways. That said, I agree with the broader point: if you value something that has a price on it then you really ought to pay for it at some point. You can object to anything you want ("there are still ads!", "why can't I pay per article?"), but it's all besides the poi…

I'm not sure, but some paid software is provided for free to some reviews or other people... By the same line of thought... Is fine to pirate them?

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#36
post #5

Doesn't surprise me, younger millenials won't have a home to sell and will thus have a hard time affording a home in an inflated market. Compounded with the fact that median wages haven't increased that much the last 30 years. Prices have to fall for that group to afford a home.

> Compounded with the fact that median wages haven't increased that much the last 30 years. Median income has gone up by about 150% (to 2.5x) in nominal terms between 1986 and 2016. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA646N

It increased a thousand fold in Venezuela and Zimbabwe - I'm guessing here but it should get the point across

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#37
post #5

Doesn't surprise me, younger millenials won't have a home to sell and will thus have a hard time affording a home in an inflated market. Compounded with the fact that median wages haven't increased that much the last 30 years. Prices have to fall for that group to afford a home.

> Compounded with the fact that median wages haven't increased that much the last 30 years. Median income has gone up by about 150% (to 2.5x) in nominal terms between 1986 and 2016. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA646N

Why look at nominal though? Inflation adjusted makes a lot more sense to me, especially when we're talking about household income.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N

The story here is quite different - only a 19% increase, and much more unstable over the years. Most of the increase happened before 2000. Almost no change since then.

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#38
Older Millenial here. Bought my house while prices were still low in late 2013. Cashed out in March of this year.

Thought it was crazy it was bubbling like this again. Time will tell if that was dumb or smart but I did pay off all my debt including student loans...

I personally think a crash is coming soonish. But that's just my gut.

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are simply wrong. The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is a policy making arm of the United States Federal Government. It was created by and can be abolished by or have any of its functions changed or decisions overruled by statute, it's members are officers of the United States within the meaning of Article II, section 2, clause 2 of the US Constitution appointed by the President of the United St…

[removed]

The Federal Reserve banks are not one in the same as the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. That's why they have different names. It's Board of Governors that determines the interest rate. It is a policy making part of the federal government.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed46.html

> The Federal Reserve System is supervised by the Board of Governors. Located in Washington, D.C., the Board is a federal government agency consisting of seven members appointed by the President of the United States and confirmed by the U.S. Senate. The Board has about 1,850 employees.

Please stop spreading this nonsense.

Re: The U.S. Housing Boom Is Coming to an End, Starting in Dallas

#40

The post housing crash housing boom was almost entirely the result of the federal government--which has made, guaranteed, or bought significantly more than half the residential mortgages since 2008--deciding there should be a housing boom. If it is indeed coming to an end it is because the federal government collectively has decided not to double down and keep the party going. This isn't the weather or even the price…

The Federal Reserve (which orchestrates interest rates to manage inflation and achieve full employment [two of its mandates]) is not (edit: a branch) of the US government, and does not set government policy. Edit: This is incorrect. The Board Of Governors who set interest rates is a part of the federal govrnment as an agency (accountable to Congress), the individual Federal Reserve Banks are not.

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